TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdf95…5c3e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
74
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 55 out of 100; worst Serie A at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1957.9%11 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-05-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$6,721Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,720.57
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-05-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$123.41
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-05-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+81.4%+$134.82
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.49
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,387Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,386.91
Will Henan FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$107.24
Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.55
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$3,540Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+146.5%+$5,185.07
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+150%+$43.47
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,616Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+31%+$1,122.72
Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-05-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.48
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$4,038Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+128.1%+$5,171.74
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,757Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,757.06
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$89.46
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$461Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$460.9
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+145.2%+$298.13
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$627Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+54%+$338.48
Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-05-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,209Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,208.72
All 19 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$5,983Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$3,865.48
Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-05-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$11.88
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12,678Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+91.8%+$11,640.34
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$8,764Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$3,163.67
CR Flamengo vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$6,755Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$2,107.23
CR Flamengo vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10,115Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+54.9%+$5,557.31
Will Caracas FC win on 2026-05-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$98.57
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,235Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,235.42
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,736Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,736.46
Will Club Libertad win on 2026-05-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,763Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+190.1%+$3,351.33
Will Montevideo City Torque win on 2026-05-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,036Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+32.4%+$335.76
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,980Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+46.7%+$1,391.74
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,075Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$1,176.64
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.15
Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,856Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+46.8%+$868.66
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,948Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$1,209.73
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$314.77
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+24.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-06-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$740Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$739.58
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,542Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,541.65
Will Poland win on 2026-06-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$4,540Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$3,421.61
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+295%+$455.89
Will Albania win on 2026-06-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,506Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$1,045.81
Will Israel win on 2026-06-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,052Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$369.73
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$3,340Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+141%+$4,710.27
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$4,447Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$1,362.23
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$5,645Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+58.6%+$3,309.13
Will Austria win on 2026-06-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$447Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$447.14
Will Japan win on 2026-05-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.52
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-05-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.86
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+62%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-36.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+56.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,471Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+41.7%+$614.11
Will Paderborn win on 2026-05-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$784Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$328.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$61,437Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$18,265.94
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$7,326Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$3,949.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$92.34
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Saint-Etienne win on 2026-05-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,601Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$1,449.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.