TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-30?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$355,220
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$364,597

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $355,220 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No74c62,607$46,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,359.828,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes55c48,906$27,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,062.715,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes8c48,120$4,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,006.5831349.8%156 W · 157 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed No59c35,378$20,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,440.065147.1%24 W · 27 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdf95…5c3ebacked No52c24,318$12,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,640.341776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No70c4,970$3,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,498.231,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed No45c4,466$2,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,453.2314530.3%44 W · 101 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick25cpaid-4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked Yes20c4,167$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.687328.8%21 W · 52 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No42c3,750$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,175.221,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes27c3,700$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99943618.8%82 W · 354 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No62c3,248$2,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,242.3175240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Yes9c3,078$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.35927.6%7 W · 85 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-51.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes28c2,761$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.381,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No59c2,602$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.891,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b63…bdd3backed Yes8c2,517$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001315.4%2 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick15cpaid-41.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb41a…0a9bbacked No43c2,327$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,327.595248.1%25 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+37.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed No76c2,239$1,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.8420665%134 W · 72 L+24.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+20.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No73c2,186$1,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.11,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed No46c2,133$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,143.6419155.5%106 W · 85 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Yes49c2,100$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.7723542.1%99 W · 136 L-13.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed No39c1,909$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,156.6711338.9%44 W · 69 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed No43c1,785$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.332263.6%14 W · 8 L+4.4wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+35%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Yes20c1,750$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35021538.1%82 W · 133 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes43c1,742$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.451945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No59c1,737$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.471,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc595…994dbacked Yes31c1,682$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.886230.6%19 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No77c1,611$1,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.621765.4%142 W · 75 L+24.1wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+23.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes50c1,530$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7654022.5%9 W · 31 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-43.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes25c1,382$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.791,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked No77c1,299$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.76864.7%44 W · 24 L+8.9wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+27.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No80c1,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2501978.9%15 W · 4 L+4.2wins+0.22per pick57cpaid+74.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1f71…b2e4backed Yes14c1,194$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.11241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed No73c1,192$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32023549.4%116 W · 119 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf80f…34a9backed No42c1,177$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.444553.3%24 W · 21 L+7.5wins+0.17per pick37cpaid+35.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No57c1,169$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.522,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes32c1,041$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.7237540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3109122%20 W · 71 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2701,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes2c978.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5721132.7%69 W · 142 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked No74c956.99$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.2810667.9%72 W · 34 L+15.7wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+42.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x83e0…8f21backed No37c940.38$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.68250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+35.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes58c930.2$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.581,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x564f…d93bbacked Yes48c879.11$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.963046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75f0…2b66backed Yes27c831.13$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.452744.4%12 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes44c798.16$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.0682434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes36c756.91$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.4121640.3%87 W · 129 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed No41c735.62$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.6310649.1%52 W · 54 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No72c715.3$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.331,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes15c689.73$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.616412.5%8 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-70%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1530…6aaabacked No32c687.5$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.52450%12 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9462…4dbdbacked Yes8c687.48$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5530%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes37c669.88$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.7923254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No43c659.12$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.7245746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31f3…0eacbacked Yes27c651.66$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.854141.5%17 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes33c599.24$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.8536339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed No36c555.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.553348.5%16 W · 17 L+5.0wins+0.15per pick33cpaid+56.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes27c549.63$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.412541.6%52 W · 73 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7d…fa81backed No38c526.31$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.319652.1%50 W · 46 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No73c501.92$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.521,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Yes59c499.88$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.0317440.2%70 W · 104 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed No44c498.32$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.4913748.9%67 W · 70 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No69c493.14$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.0525044%110 W · 140 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed No57c464.94$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.143458.8%20 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+22%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x62ff…6b66backed Yes35c459.26$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6255…a29bbacked No44c449.92$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.932263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+24.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No73c410.26$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.771,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10026749.4%132 W · 135 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No78c400$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8820065%130 W · 70 L+18.0wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No44c388.16$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.9453836.8%198 W · 340 L-24.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Yes30c380$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.415143%65 W · 86 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked Yes58c368.8$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.361118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.8wins-0.34per pick52cpaid-63.4%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No64c345.88$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.531,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1be7…a6e3backed Yes57c344.05$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.111060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No69c313.37$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.0941145.5%187 W · 224 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes28c285$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806955.1%38 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3491…0242backed No36c257.92$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.273650%18 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No77c244$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.1228443%122 W · 162 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x00fd…32a0backed No42c238.09$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.093040%12 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+28.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0dc…f68fbacked No77c238.02$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.77475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick74cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No73c220$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.732,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Yes8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed No72c199.63$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.395141.2%21 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed No72c199.23$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.9619050.5%96 W · 94 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x279d…5e89backed No46c197.8$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+30.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked No64c197.46$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.5648547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81f8…4078backed No36c194.58$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.533633.3%12 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed Yes26c192.3$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505251.9%27 W · 25 L+7.4wins+0.14per pick38cpaid+40.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdb25…03e5backed Yes50c189.06$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.532748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Yes26c187.49$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.751729.4%5 W · 12 L-4.1wins-0.24per pick54cpaid-51%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6b04…f792backed Yes54c175.93$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952572%18 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed Yes60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5546…e3cfbacked Yes8c157.32$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.733312.1%4 W · 29 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-52%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2813…3177backed Yes7c156.51$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.64862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No54c153.19$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.1442946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes25c150.07$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0919150.3%96 W · 95 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb64f…c3a9backed Yes24c150$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-38.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcadd…c7e6backed Yes50c148.68$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.281752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Yes42c142.87$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4816842.9%72 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked Yes48c142.8$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.541050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab29…dcc4backed Yes50c141.06$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.27250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.