TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will EC Bahia win on 2026-05-30?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$164,107
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$186,498

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,107 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xec57…0fa7backed No33c8,605$2,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,879.5414530.3%44 W · 101 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick25cpaid-4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed No52c8,108$4,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2071643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No69c7,603$5,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,230.212,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No59c7,515$4,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,407.578,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab82…abe5backed Yes33c6,668$2,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,485.38333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes28c6,576$1,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,761.072,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No69c6,015$4,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,125.9975240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed Yes45c4,959$2,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,721.4410875%81 W · 27 L+16.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+25.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes48c3,430$1,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,774.885,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No53c2,914$1,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,534.6521640.3%87 W · 129 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes56c2,851$1,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,257.1530048%144 W · 156 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Yes48c2,163$1,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.4223549.4%116 W · 119 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes47c2,128$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.666864.7%44 W · 24 L+8.9wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+27.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No2c2,042$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.849122%20 W · 71 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Yes50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+47.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Yes49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0204443.2%19 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc16c…a3aabacked No52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002875%21 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+20.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes48c1,762$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.3327349.5%135 W · 138 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes50c1,717$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.441,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed No65c1,694$1,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.6319155.5%106 W · 85 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed No16c1,637$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.133458.8%20 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+22%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No50c1,400$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70023057.4%132 W · 98 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked Yes38c1,316$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.795747.4%27 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No57c1,301$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.161,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x75f0…2b66backed No4c1,258$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.312744.4%12 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes48c1,146$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.8327549.1%135 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes23c1,100$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.0846530.3%141 W · 324 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x31f3…0eacbacked No52c999.79$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.714141.5%17 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked Yes45c956.97$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.8410667.9%72 W · 34 L+15.7wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+42.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No62c918.03$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.421,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No9c905.87$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.851,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes48c766.85$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.41,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed No48c752.61$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.253348.5%16 W · 17 L+5.0wins+0.15per pick33cpaid+56.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes37c699.99$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-31.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed No4c699.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258818.2%16 W · 72 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick22cpaid+38.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a83…920dbacked Yes37c682.94$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.116251.6%32 W · 30 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e7d…fa81backed No53c671.05$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.669652.1%50 W · 46 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed Yes31c659.61$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.9910649.1%52 W · 54 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf703…541abacked Yes45c624.38$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.3810039%39 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes53c615.72$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.724022.5%9 W · 31 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-43.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked Yes51c577.14$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.87852.6%41 W · 37 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes28c562.13$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.511,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked No3c545.97$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.046412.5%8 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-70%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xab27…0c65backed Yes36c534.72$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.22250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked No59c526.79$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.041050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7bb…4d1ebacked No52c519.23$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf797…37ccbacked Yes48c519$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.882839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes52c487.45$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.5520065%130 W · 70 L+18.0wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No53c487.28$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.81,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Yes12c472.54$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.885837.9%22 W · 36 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf80f…34a9backed Yes38c467.04$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.594553.3%24 W · 21 L+7.5wins+0.17per pick37cpaid+35.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Yes46c459.63$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.4625044%110 W · 140 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No79c400$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.3827133.9%92 W · 179 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes50c364$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.6442962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed No47c345.39$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.7513748.9%67 W · 70 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes49c344.37$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.6333745.4%153 W · 184 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77fe…a351backed Yes12c315.33$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.854346.5%20 W · 23 L+5.1wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+46.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No70c304$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.741,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2ad…795fbacked No15c300$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick11cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x57f7…ae57backed No16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481040%4 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick17cpaid+125%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes49c272.71$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.8842946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xea87…1ad7backed No78c270.14$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101520%3 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-38.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No60c269.65$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.6636339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes47c265$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.451,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes38c258.58$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.3210242.2%43 W · 59 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Yes28c254.73$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.965147.1%24 W · 27 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7d1…c0f2backed Yes55c254$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.3771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1a8…6764backed Yes51c248.73$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.932653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed Yes62c243.55$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.962263.6%14 W · 8 L+4.4wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+35%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes18c222.05$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.751,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes42c221.73$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.61,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d17…0d91backed Yes65c221.25$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.15650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed No61c220.26$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.521729.4%5 W · 12 L-4.1wins-0.24per pick54cpaid-51%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Yes34c219.15$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.3715041.3%62 W · 88 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No71c212.76$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.7726745.3%121 W · 146 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes25c207.84$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.8448547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcadd…c7e6backed Yes37c196.56$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.31752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0876951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes49c194.59$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.3841145.5%187 W · 224 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Yes23c193.57$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.053836.8%14 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+35.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed No78c191.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.8651945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No47c189.93$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.5616842.9%72 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes46c186.24$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.3333560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes47c183.69$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.7865058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed No66c175.62$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.0725866.3%171 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed No45c173.92$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.41936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-40.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed No47c169.4$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7917440.2%70 W · 104 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No51c167.97$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.371,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes41c163.9$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.031,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdf8e…b1d0backed Yes12c161.72$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.721136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+122.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc582…853cbacked No12c160$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.63112.9%4 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick13cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaa4…8968backed Yes52c153.85$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.852100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+65.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2813…3177backed Yes51c143.28$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.73862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No49c141$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.091,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20bf…2be9backed Yes37c136.81$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.812944.8%13 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed No26c132.51$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.71421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No46c131.88$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9689846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes19c131.84$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.2853836.8%198 W · 340 L-24.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes50c130.79$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.43,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed No63c128.39$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816058.3%35 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.