TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-31?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$545,669
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$590,816

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $545,669 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 349 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x73c5…2f80backed No45c29,531$13,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,221.41633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes58c25,917$15,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,860.215,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No47c16,363$7,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,675.38,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No31c15,351$4,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,688.035736.8%21 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+49.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed No40c14,414$5,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,725.7612434.7%43 W · 81 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No27c11,830$3,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,241.1319952.8%105 W · 94 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf95…5c3ebacked Yes61c9,848$5,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,865.481776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No61c9,802$5,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,989.0621132.7%69 W · 142 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes65c9,493$6,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,355.722240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Yes30c9,208$2,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,413.8421538.1%82 W · 133 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x95d4…3c50backed No55c8,391$4,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,610.563444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01af…7bc2backed Yes70c7,404$5,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,236.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5eb…93bfbacked Yes79c7,084$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,483.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No53c6,281$3,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,348.362,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes70c5,140$3,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,524.881,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Yes75c4,500$3,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,11511855.1%65 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No27c4,428$1,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,189.178643%37 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0724…9091backed No26c4,372$1,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,136.71714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick37cpaid-53.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No27c4,366$1,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17965058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No27c4,153$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,121.1933560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes77c3,680$2,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.591,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes72c3,518$2,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.582,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes73c3,498$2,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.4428940.1%116 W · 173 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb41a…0a9bbacked Yes54c3,287$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,516.785248.1%25 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+37.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6641…fccdbacked Yes32c3,191$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,157.91785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick56cpaid+61.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x44ac…dc9ebacked Yes75c3,074$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.14250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-33.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed No55c2,732$1,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,513.245147.1%24 W · 27 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Yes75c2,563$1,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.4323549.4%116 W · 119 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d1…c0f2backed Yes71c2,500$1,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Yes40c2,208$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,326.2414530.3%44 W · 101 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick25cpaid-4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0529…c9dabacked Yes69c2,200$1,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Yes53c2,051$1,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.6211338.9%44 W · 69 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No54c1,983$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.6821640.3%87 W · 129 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes44c1,958$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,090.21,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcab9…baf6backed Yes12c1,858$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,627.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.88per pick12cpaid+706.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No16c1,794$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.572,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aa7…736ebacked Yes78c1,786$1,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.593444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No21c1,776$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.9716647%78 W · 88 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed No1c1,768$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.57195.3%1 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick3cpaid+426.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed No1c1,750$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.33812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick3cpaid+837.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No22c1,718$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.9327349.5%135 W · 138 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x88bf…0933backed Yes44c1,679$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.356946.4%32 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No62c1,658$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.5837540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed No24c1,656$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.910446.2%48 W · 56 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6964…a82fbacked No1c1,601$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked No25c1,600$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005844.8%26 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No33c1,597$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.6223254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes73c1,587$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.681,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed No38c1,525$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.823348.5%16 W · 17 L+5.0wins+0.15per pick33cpaid+56.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3a05…cd14backed No1c1,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick2cpaid+525%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd19…3fb8backed No10c1,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15040%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked No1c1,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20472.1%1 W · 46 L+0.1wins0.00per pick2cpaid+59.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f38…b090backed Yes70c1,474$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.012100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f71…b2e4backed No46c1,429$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.821241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fcf…e455backed Yes71c1,340$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.63633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-54.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84bf…f543backed Yes78c1,289$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.61560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+61.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes75c1,253$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.588268.3%56 W · 26 L+8.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+14.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes75c1,241$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.1542250.2%212 W · 210 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ea7…0607backed Yes76c1,240$942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.63531.4%11 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-47.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Yes34c1,233$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.054231%13 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e88…9b64backed No10c1,200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201118.2%2 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick9cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes69c1,179$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.5728651.7%148 W · 138 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No27c1,135$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.484753.2%25 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf80f…34a9backed Yes16c1,134$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.384553.3%24 W · 21 L+7.5wins+0.17per pick37cpaid+35.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa5d3…9fc7backed Yes42c1,125$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.09650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes36c1,100$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70446530.3%141 W · 324 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed No63c1,087$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.059641.7%40 W · 56 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No19c1,055$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.0645746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No49c1,054$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.1975240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked No40c1,041$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.588833%29 W · 59 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x191a…b47dbacked No10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf99e…4d03backed Yes4c999.99$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.99450%2 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.46per pick4cpaid+1,288.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x31f3…0eacbacked Yes76c971.03$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.444141.5%17 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1510…fe91backed Yes74c960.37$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.372556%14 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick67cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes73c939.75$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.041,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30fd…783cbacked Yes64c937.5$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.51258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes57c913.96$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.1482434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes55c900$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40857540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes73c883.27$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.071,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked Yes46c808.76$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.241118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.8wins-0.34per pick52cpaid-63.4%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed No33c798.65$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.565728.1%16 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-30.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1530…6aaabacked No63c770.26$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.552450%12 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No27c750.48$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.6347756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52a1…7833backed Yes67c746.27$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.27650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e81…b4cebacked Yes70c714.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes70c714.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.2914446.5%67 W · 77 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Yes32c710$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.026647%31 W · 35 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+26.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe970…d76abacked Yes73c700$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1891266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd03d…107ebacked Yes3c666.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick30cpaid+1,062.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Yes47c650.61$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.513574.3%26 W · 9 L+6.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+28%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Yes77c644$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.061978.9%15 W · 4 L+4.2wins+0.22per pick57cpaid+74.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0aa9…f8a2backed Yes78c643.63$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.63250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-35.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No50c562.53$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.211,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6528…2dcebacked Yes70c532.93$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.88650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes75c518.7$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.812250%11 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No62c513.09$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.1936339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes36c511.11$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.117047.1%33 W · 37 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Yes79c503.43$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.434456.8%25 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes75c500.1$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.025168.6%35 W · 16 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+36.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3555…ba40backed No24c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203560%21 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+29.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.