South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-05-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e0124ed86826b879968f953cf3021b9902c1c003de3eed9136d82cc591aecf5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,496
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,440
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,496 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Yes | 21c | 9,008$1,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.33per pick | 29cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 5,916$4,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.22 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 9c | 5,730$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.92 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16c…a3aabacked No | 75c | 1,319$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.67 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea7…0607backed Yes | 3c | 1,240$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 9c | 1,181$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.29 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 7c | 557.32$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 8c | 505.71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.31 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 25c | 495$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.75 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Yes | 29c | 486.06$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0f…3476backed Yes | 26c | 474.31$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x319f…500bbacked No | 76c | 430$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.2 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 7c | 364.91$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 6c | 352.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 14.1%11 W · 67 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 14c | 321.24$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1db…1619backed Yes | 10c | 298.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 26c | 269.23$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 75c | 253.66$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.48 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 76c | 252$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.03 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…c6b3backed No | 79c | 252$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +7.4wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 76c | 200.53$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.75 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 77c | 192.72$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.92 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 10c | 145.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 18c | 144.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 28c | 126.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 28c | 119.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Yes | 11c | 117.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7275…8b45backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb035…b728backed Yes | 24c | 81.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed No | 75c | 54.94$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 76c | 46.54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Yes | 25c | 43.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x71db…705abacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 183 | 59%108 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf95…5c3ebacked No | 67c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 75c | 33.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked No | 77c | 32.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe22f…49b1backed No | 70c | 32.01$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 68c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb0…daf4backed No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…e9c3backed No | 76c | 23.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae3…93c3backed No | 76c | 23.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b38…52c8backed No | 76c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b35…1dcebacked No | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked No | 75c | 17.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-05-31?this page
- Will SE Palmeiras vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol end in a draw?No won
- Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-31?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.