South American Leagues · resolved market
Will SE Palmeiras vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab7513e98053f01d401cc0ecd26d6fc06f97d9e257f8a2e8a957d1074ee69034
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,278
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,994
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,278 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 79c | 10,011$7,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,132.76 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 20c | 6,464$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302.85 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 78c | 4,040$3,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.96 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180a…54a6backed Yes | 20c | 1,956$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 17c | 1,670$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.27 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 80c | 1,310$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.02 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 15c | 1,296$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.35 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea7…0607backed Yes | 14c | 1,240$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.57 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a1…7833backed Yes | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed Yes | 63c | 825.48$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.05 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 19c | 748.98$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.86 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 40c | 728.65$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.63 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d3…9fc7backed Yes | 66c | 677.3$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…a053backed Yes | 19c | 670.94$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 32c | 655$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.03 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 27c | 631.65$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.9 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 50c | 572.69$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.81 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…ba40backed No | 12c | 538.76$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.21 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…736ebacked Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…9fe7backed Yes | 18c | 399.38$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.84 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 23c | 384.4$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.23 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 45c | 375.31$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.12 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Yes | 32c | 373.49$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.73 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked No | 24c | 250.15$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.98 | 106 | 18.9%20 W · 86 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Yes | 16c | 232.34$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.32 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…9945backed Yes | 14c | 220.05$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 80c | 220$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…a351backed Yes | 56c | 165$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 72c | 163.97$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…3385backed Yes | 7c | 147.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Yes | 66c | 144.92$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.65 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 70c | 143.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.6 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Yes | 18c | 126.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 72c | 120.67$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.59 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 53c | 113.64$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.79 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…6ca4backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f4…f3dabacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 28c | 106$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…75f0backed Yes | 72c | 103.75$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.66 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 80c | 102.5$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Yes | 11c | 97.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 57c | 94.82$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.57 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Yes | 14c | 90.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 52c | 86.69$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.48 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…6c72backed Yes | 59c | 85.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d0…6fc8backed No | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Yes | 72c | 82$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.04 | 97 | 63.9%62 W · 35 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 38c | 81.05$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 23c | 79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed5…8165backed Yes | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b38…52c8backed No | 15c | 69.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.3 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked Yes | 77c | 64.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 71cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe00e…ea73backed Yes | 69c | 63.69$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd958…f975backed Yes | 17c | 61.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 36c | 60.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x866c…19c0backed Yes | 24c | 58.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 63c | 58$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089f…f599backed No | 73c | 55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4abb…d858backed No | 48c | 54.08$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 25c | 51.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.93 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2988…b479backed Yes | 23c | 50.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed No | 32c | 48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +7.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…189bbacked Yes | 72c | 47.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 67c | 43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked No | 47c | 41.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…108ebacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 183 | 59%108 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed No | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 60c | 37.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 71c | 36.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 31c | 33.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 50c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…25e8backed Yes | 50c | 30.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4df…e6cfbacked No | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 74c | 26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 108 | 75%81 W · 27 L | +16.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…e409backed No | 70c | 25.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdef…7f96backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed No | 76c | 16.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Yes | 61c | 16.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 44 | 75%33 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…2dbbbacked Yes | 73c | 13.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…1edcbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -5.9wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SE Palmeiras vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol end in a draw?this page
- Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-05-31?No won
- Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-31?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.