TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-05-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$153,023
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$155,905

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,023 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbee5…a636backed No56c71,854$40,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,765.81540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-35.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes44c20,948$9,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,306.377751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x639c…31e2backed Yes44c9,259$4,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0741631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-37.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc3ac…b964backed No55c8,778$4,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,950.19560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes45c7,066$3,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,178.451,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Yes44c6,877$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0004852.1%25 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes45c5,296$2,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,365.2568150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed Yes44c4,616$2,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,031757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes44c4,464$1,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,985.7897146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes19c4,336$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.571,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed No42c4,127$1,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,413.2713952.5%73 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No38c3,818$1,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,351.5311454.4%62 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes58c3,748$2,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,173.822564%16 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No59c3,431$2,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,410.431,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes44c3,409$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5004751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Yes44c3,244$1,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,429.24942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x88bf…0933backed Yes63c3,175$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.992343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Yes44c2,273$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Yes44c2,273$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001275%9 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+51%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8808946.1%41 W · 48 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaee…c167backed Yes45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No60c1,962$1,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.2999340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes45c1,889$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.6553046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Yes44c1,705$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7509854.1%53 W · 45 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes43c1,683$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.7626345.2%119 W · 144 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No56c1,589$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.7853040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes44c1,400$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6168547.1%40 W · 45 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes44c1,398$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.0319560%117 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No78c1,204$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.2310644.3%47 W · 59 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes45c1,104$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.2772850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1362…f403backed Yes46c999.98$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.99742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes31c937.53$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.7798945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes45c880.33$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.8933346.8%156 W · 177 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes45c874.42$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.4670249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cc1…b159backed Yes2c868.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No79c856.03$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.1917753.1%94 W · 83 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd508…0009backed Yes46c799.89$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.9520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes44c769.45$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.4537649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21b5…1db6backed Yes47c638.28$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.991145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cff…eeb8backed Yes14c616.3$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.4890%0 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Yes45c550$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2461650%8 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+70.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Yes45c533.33$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24020043%86 W · 114 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes44c520.53$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.3329370.3%206 W · 87 L+41.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+30.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed No40c504$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3042240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed No53c497.21$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.699357%53 W · 40 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No60c484.59$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.53,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bfe…9be0backed Yes22c476.07$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.7720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Yes44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004656.5%26 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…af1bbacked Yes44c445.68$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf95…5c3ebacked No79c440.72$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.342100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0ec…a9c4backed Yes46c434.91$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.82458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes45c433$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.859848%47 W · 51 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes47c425.11$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.89555.8%53 W · 42 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+30.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No50c400.91$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.218560%51 W · 34 L+9.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes45c399.51$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.386546.2%30 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No78c301.47$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9147240.7%192 W · 280 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes18c280.88$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013518.5%25 W · 110 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid+15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes54c268.01$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.823548.9%115 W · 120 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes60c260.69$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.4512667.5%85 W · 41 L+11.2wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes43c213.88$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.975326.4%14 W · 39 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes33c210.59$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4696756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes19c200$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.544447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a9c…535ebacked Yes6c191$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.874924.5%12 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-48.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No61c171.31$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.3719847.5%94 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No41c164.55$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.6825652.3%134 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes21c146$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6652639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No56c145.08$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.3480358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes46c143$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.081,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes45c140.13$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.3226150.2%131 W · 130 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No56c137.14$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.818655.4%103 W · 83 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes12c136.58$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9471443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No55c133.83$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.6118651.6%96 W · 90 L+11.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No74c121.2$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4430735.2%108 W · 199 L-32.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No75c120.65$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9622946.7%107 W · 122 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No60c116.29$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.654949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa2f…c08dbacked Yes43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No57c114.53$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5310243.1%44 W · 58 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a85…e543backed Yes45c111.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.181266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0739…aba8backed Yes52c110.01$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.541241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa299…ac77backed Yes42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426746.3%31 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes46c95.48$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.9213942.4%59 W · 80 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Yes39c91.1$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5216657.2%95 W · 71 L+12.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b63…bdd3backed Yes16c90.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes45c83.55$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.69858.2%57 W · 41 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed No59c78.75$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.975664.3%36 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Yes45c77.23$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.754136.6%15 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes49c70$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4192346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked No54c68.95$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9810655.7%59 W · 47 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Yes44c68.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303046.7%14 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No77c65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9518967.2%127 W · 62 L+21.1wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe103…9526backed Yes44c58$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.77728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-47%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes44c56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6442947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes45c55.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515638.5%60 W · 96 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Yes44c54.75$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.093135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-32%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked No36c53.65$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.349437.2%35 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes44c52.26$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1915051.3%77 W · 73 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked Yes46c52$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.921442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60e6…1279backed Yes23c52$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.961540%6 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x27ba…c5e6backed No57c52$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes42c51.04$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.371,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.