TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-05-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$226,128
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$222,093

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,128 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3ac…b964backed Yes29c50,000$14,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,499.98560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes66c30,580$20,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,099.4198945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3c7…c83bbacked No71c30,465$21,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,834.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbee5…a636backed Yes29c24,999$7,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,249.71540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-35.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No27c20,762$5,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,147.071,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No71c20,660$14,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,953.7377751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No40c13,469$5,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,139.729239.1%36 W · 56 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes67c11,415$7,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,693.3541339%161 W · 252 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No38c10,670$4,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,666.5599340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No33c8,078$2,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,413.861,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No39c7,616$2,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,662.627549.3%37 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes49c4,420$2,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,154.148560%51 W · 34 L+9.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No71c4,366$3,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,251.861,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88bf…0933backed No39c3,965$1,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,420.332343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No48c3,566$1,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,837.171443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No62c3,273$2,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,253.5768150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce5e…c0fabacked No71c3,000$2,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes40c2,939$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.0952639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes61c2,684$1,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,636.4848344.9%217 W · 266 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes58c2,623$1,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,510.4119347.2%91 W · 102 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No71c2,448$1,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.3397146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes52c1,934$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,012.7310644.3%47 W · 59 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes30c1,781$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.953040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Yes54c1,657$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.1213952.5%73 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Yes58c1,615$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.93955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+27.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No71c1,600$1,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46417258.1%100 W · 72 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No43c1,402$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.613,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No71c1,400$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4068547.1%40 W · 45 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes56c1,356$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.0844447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1530…6aaabacked No48c1,267$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No72c1,263$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.8718655.4%103 W · 83 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No71c1,200$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34812263.1%77 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Yes29c1,138$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked No45c1,117$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.082755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed No70c1,092$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.5913553.3%72 W · 63 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No75c998.09$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.1112667.5%85 W · 41 L+11.2wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes56c886.6$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.561,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes51c829.57$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.2523548.9%115 W · 120 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cff…eeb8backed Yes16c768.98$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.790%0 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No66c747.1$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.1822946.7%107 W · 122 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No71c700$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20312661.1%77 W · 49 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb943…375bbacked No37c662.64$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Yes62c600$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3724868.8%33 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No71c600$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17415858.2%92 W · 66 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No71c592$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.6811055.5%61 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No71c587.28$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.2753046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No55c582.49$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26116657.2%95 W · 71 L+12.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Yes34c570.59$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.513135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-32%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No71c550$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.570249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No71c550$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.572850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked No49c523.86$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.179437.2%35 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f0f…e25fbacked Yes31c516.13$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601540%6 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+27.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14514359.4%85 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1459848%47 W · 51 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No42c476.48$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.3847240.7%192 W · 280 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No59c465.62$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.0817753.1%94 W · 83 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Yes59c454.96$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.23333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-47.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Yes56c446.43$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-47.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No34c403.25$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.9710273.5%75 W · 27 L+13.5wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+28.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No71c400$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11616960.9%103 W · 66 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No71c400$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11614257.7%82 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14c2…7d55backed Yes20c367.24$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4540%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No45c349.17$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.0978344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No47c335.37$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.0754949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No40c331.4$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.1945140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8715060%90 W · 60 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8713158.8%77 W · 54 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes25c299.39$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.895326.4%14 W · 39 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a59…ba82backed Yes56c266.08$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf474…2775backed Yes57c264.43$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.941850%9 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No71c260$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.411759%69 W · 48 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No71c260$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.412162%75 W · 46 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No72c238.36$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9719052.1%99 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked No47c238.31$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.291752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f6b…b245backed Yes65c231.55$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-38.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked No75c229.36$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.527564%48 W · 27 L+8.8wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No71c201.55$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.6911454.4%62 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No73c200.99$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3529370.3%206 W · 87 L+41.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+30.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed Yes8c199.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked No37c193.53$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.532552%13 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef2c…227dbacked Yes57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+32.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No71c169.01$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0120043%86 W · 114 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No71c160$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.414459.7%86 W · 58 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No71c156$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2414660.3%88 W · 58 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No71c156$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2414459.7%86 W · 58 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked No54c154.07$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.8717137.4%64 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No71c140$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.616955.6%94 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No44c135.31$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.3730735.2%108 W · 199 L-32.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No65c130.76$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.7712343.9%54 W · 69 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bfe…9be0backed Yes58c130.71$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.8120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed No71c127.03$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.841855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd220…0c5cbacked No72c125$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No72c119.99$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.626050.4%131 W · 129 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No75c116$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2919073.7%140 W · 50 L+18.6wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x18c2…529abacked No30c116$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.2520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x330f…55e2backed Yes78c115.38$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No70c107.88$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0792346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No74c106.12$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9225851.2%132 W · 126 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x13c9…5e53backed Yes75c100$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa299…ac77backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306746.3%31 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.