TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb943…375b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
193
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT17649.4%87 W · 89 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 176 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warsaw: Elizara Yaneva vs Gabriela Knutsonbacked Elizara Yaneva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.53
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Lorenzo Comino vs Dusan Obradovicbacked Dusan Obradovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.24
National Bank Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Amanda Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$214.2
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$299.61
Lexington: Spencer Johnson vs Jay Dylan Friendbacked Jay Dylan Friend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$235.9
Warsaw: Gabriela Knutson vs Ella Seidelbacked Ella Seidel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.43
National Bank Open: Donna Vekic vs Viktorija Golubicbacked Donna Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.55
National Bank Open: Lois Boisson vs Antonia Ruzicbacked Antonia Ruzic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$229.47
National Bank Open: Kimberly Birrell vs Viktorija Golubicbacked Kimberly Birrell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.9
Liberec: Jan Kumstat vs Gonzalo Buenobacked Gonzalo Bueno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.36
ITF Bali: Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Isaac Becroftbacked Sam Ryan Ziegann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.82
Vancouver: J.J. Wolf vs Mark Lajalbacked Mark Lajal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$278.8
Canadian Open, Qualification: Dalibor Svrcina vs Titouan Droguetbacked Titouan Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$300.95
National Bank Open, Qualification: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Rebecca Sramkovabacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.03
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Diana Shnaider vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Liudmila Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$300.29
San Marino: Vilius Gaubas vs Thiago Monteirobacked Vilius Gaubas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$301.63
San Marino: Facundo Acosta vs Juan Carlos Pradobacked Juan Carlos Prado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.6
San Marino: Alexandre Muller vs Mili Poljicakbacked Mili Poljicak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$519Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+155.8%+$808.8
Samsun: Paul Inchauspe vs Yanki Erelbacked Paul Inchauspe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+100.2%+$255.12
Bonn: Max Dahlin vs Daniel Galanbacked Max Dahlin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+233.6%+$659.91
Liberec: Martin Krumich vs Sumit Nagalbacked Martin Krumich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$398.02
Targu Mures: Laura Samson vs Mia Risticbacked Laura Samson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+101.1%+$296.69
Los Cabos Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Arthur Geabacked Arthur Gea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+150%+$436.87
Vancouver: Benjamin Bonzi vs Jay Dylan Friendbacked Jay Dylan Friend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$374.16
The Memphis Classic: Sloane Stephens vs Darja Vidmanovabacked Sloane Stephens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$272.04
Showing 25 of 176 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick19cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.59
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$393Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$393.18
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$427.5
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.76
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.58
All 5 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+160.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$321.07
Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+150.6%+$307.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$417.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$255.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+25%+$124
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Mystics vs. Seattle Stormbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$274.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$398.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.