TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$349,807
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$391,340

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $349,807 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 314 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x15a6…bf5dbacked No28c30,969$8,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,661.33650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes51c23,538$12,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,430.957944.3%35 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-25.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59e8…c5e8backed No68c22,985$15,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,533.2830%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x27b0…fc67backed Yes35c15,200$5,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,879.99633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Yes61c13,617$8,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,261.568939.3%35 W · 54 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed No0c12,850$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9591.7%1 W · 58 L-0.3wins0.00per pick2cpaid-59.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18c4…f6dcbacked No65c12,008$7,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,805.46250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked No45c9,054$4,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,053.5710652.8%56 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd9e…49b3backed No8c9,001$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.758529.4%25 W · 60 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e3e…713abacked Yes45c8,430$3,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,663.12650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85b8…6b6abacked No57c7,431$4,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,257.9411547%54 W · 61 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No55c6,137$3,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,378.872025%5 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-41.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb2d9…26a2backed No65c5,846$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,800366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+54.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x171c…f0a0backed Yes34c4,944$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,243.6475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+55.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked No0c4,934$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.211233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes72c4,780$3,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,326.7620843.3%90 W · 118 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No50c4,726$2,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,379.383256.3%18 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ce9…0cf5backed Yes38c4,436$1,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,751.8211836.4%43 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed No9c3,921$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.255028%14 W · 36 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-34.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes32c3,672$1,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,487.2610128.7%29 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes39c3,250$1,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,993.513219.7%26 W · 106 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea48…1094backed No1c3,162$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked No59c3,000$1,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,766.85959.3%35 W · 24 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e98…0bbfbacked Yes37c2,650$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,669.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Yes31c2,506$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,722.865759.6%34 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed No47c2,406$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,136.494148.8%20 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf72…6378backed No34c2,181$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73530%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1866…57b0backed No1c2,147$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes35c2,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3007739%30 W · 47 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked No68c1,958$1,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,337.2911266.1%74 W · 38 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked Yes39c1,903$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,152.815334%18 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked No77c1,884$1,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,448.489935.4%35 W · 64 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No65c1,759$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,138.4312353.7%66 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1190…9c52backed Yes41c1,747$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0371100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+146.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked Yes41c1,655$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.712673.1%19 W · 7 L+9.1wins+0.35per pick38cpaid+117.3%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xada4…c344backed Yes79c1,653$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.86366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-12.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd180…9d31backed No1c1,514$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No10c1,500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.837133.8%24 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-16.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x805a…0635backed No64c1,439$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.2515932.7%52 W · 107 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-25.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…45eebacked Yes35c1,429$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.571758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa01b…bc1dbacked Yes36c1,390$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.62548%12 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+43.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x820a…ca12backed Yes47c1,368$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.91333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-28.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1e1f…c855backed No73c1,318$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-38.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No47c1,310$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.911968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+25%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x65b9…ff15backed No63c1,305$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.36250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-29.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa76c…dc83backed Yes37c1,266$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.155418.5%10 W · 44 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ea0…2563backed Yes80c1,235$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.25650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeba4…69fbbacked Yes31c1,179$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.681145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Yes22c1,150$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+13.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes32c1,102$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.412669.2%18 W · 8 L+5.0wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+42.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8575…87febacked No49c1,085$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.591656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes37c1,081$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.08933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec5b…aff2backed Yes38c1,055$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c85…d15dbacked Yes33c1,011$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.222218.2%4 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick12cpaid-29.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked No67c1,000$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6704936.7%18 W · 31 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes33c1,000$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6706732.8%22 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x688d…59b6backed No60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-70.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed No68c942.24$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.7212246.7%57 W · 65 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7eb3…8e52backed Yes46c914.96$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+115.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5bb…51edbacked Yes62c898.1$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.411533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+62.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc932…e6a5backed Yes58c878.79$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.59633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6924…1455backed Yes66c859.3$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.3757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes37c854.44$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.281926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-48.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Yes35c777$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.0510051%51 W · 49 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No52c768.04$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.688622.1%19 W · 67 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26b2…6d5fbacked No6c736.87$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24c1…54b0backed No40c657.84$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.2130%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes22c655$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.93040%12 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x168a…da29backed No77c619.9$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.2314458.3%84 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2baf…8784backed Yes35c599.99$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+28.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked No58c579.55$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.147955.7%44 W · 35 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xed2b…d4eabacked Yes64c543.88$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.88450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b35…51b3backed Yes38c526.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.71475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+80.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33db…b673backed Yes24c509.21$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3871241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick28cpaid+47.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd041…357abacked Yes37c504.66$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.66333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick25cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42ab…3e26backed Yes34c500$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3301637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick30cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41dc…6bbebacked Yes60c499$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.61020%2 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-63.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6d2…7048backed No3c493.16$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes35c478.99$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.615317%9 W · 44 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-53.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x203f…3ddebacked Yes42c478.09$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.311241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed No69c471.76$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.821643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6854…67d0backed No27c464.52$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.68742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-35.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49b2…4aeebacked No66c455$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-42.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes25c440.29$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.148127.2%22 W · 59 L-6.2wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ecb…514cbacked No68c423$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa36c…5754backed Yes37c409.67$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.67742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb943…375bbacked Yes37c400$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252540%2 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick19cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes76c400$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick65cpaid+25.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe66e…946bbacked No65c400$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2603930.8%12 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No62c399.47$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.017950.6%40 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d54…6022backed Yes25c387.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.48250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick27cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Yes62c355.45$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.451136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-39%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Yes31c352.67$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.54540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87ec…1ee8backed Yes57c352.22$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.221520%3 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-60%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf1e2…1f9abacked Yes23c348.97$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.6524720.6%51 W · 196 L-0.5wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7967…2128backed Yes34c332.47$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.57580%4 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.42per pick38cpaid+128.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa2c9…2c23backed No64c328.41$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.182268.2%15 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick72cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x246d…c74dbacked Yes61c322.95$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab4d…3f0bbacked Yes37c319.02$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.98450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43e8…e758backed Yes48c316.44$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.442347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+40.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.