F1 · resolved market
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3fb73a5b6f40340b3ba5afc9cdab684342f55eb28c349b21abdef52944423d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $215,683
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $193,232
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $215,683 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 75c | 24,945$18,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,336.06 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 58c | 19,470$11,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,297.15 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 69c | 12,834$8,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,929.83 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Yes | 34c | 9,796$3,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,353.81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…9419backed Yes | 19c | 9,339$1,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,730.91 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x837c…5771backed Yes | 11c | 8,872$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e9…3b95backed Yes | 2c | 6,953$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.67 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Yes | 19c | 5,072$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.85 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…10fabacked No | 40c | 5,059$2,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,055.56 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce9…0cf5backed Yes | 34c | 4,829$1,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,630.66 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 65c | 4,701$3,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665.94 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed No | 62c | 4,095$2,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.28 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…dc83backed Yes | 10c | 4,053$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 61c | 3,658$2,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.66 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Yes | 16c | 2,344$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.14 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 48c | 2,306$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.44 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x820a…ca12backed Yes | 48c | 2,079$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e96…b306backed Yes | 11c | 2,064$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed No | 68c | 2,037$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.6 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb585…53edbacked Yes | 26c | 1,915$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x208a…441ebacked Yes | 11c | 1,818$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…9099backed Yes | 60c | 1,800$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Yes | 14c | 1,518$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.68 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8523…1c9fbacked Yes | 49c | 1,518$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.82 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a9…d211backed Yes | 8c | 1,444$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.74 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bee…a715backed No | 76c | 1,315$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.05 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd041…357abacked Yes | 11c | 1,273$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed No | 51c | 1,257$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.84 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Yes | 30c | 1,253$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.98 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x046f…4680backed Yes | 16c | 1,205$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 79c | 1,114$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.08 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…a587backed Yes | 40c | 1,077$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.8 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Yes | 19c | 1,076$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 73c | 1,056$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.22 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 48c | 1,043$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…1f9abacked Yes | 9c | 1,013$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.77 | 247 | 20.6%51 W · 196 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eec…c524backed No | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc661…610abacked Yes | 35c | 999.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Yes | 7c | 973.87$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a11…ee9bbacked Yes | 10c | 954.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41dc…6bbebacked Yes | 25c | 900$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed No | 57c | 877.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.18 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…0bbfbacked Yes | 62c | 846.96$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6f…c488backed Yes | 43c | 831.89$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 11c | 790$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 144 | 29.9%43 W · 101 L | +14.2wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Yes | 50c | 780$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 46c | 766.6$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.09 | 112 | 66.1%74 W · 38 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…7b4dbacked Yes | 40c | 757.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes | 11c | 720$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b2…6d5fbacked Yes | 6c | 713.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e3…706fbacked Yes | 30c | 676.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d93…8161backed Yes | 9c | 666.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6924…1455backed Yes | 58c | 638.85$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.73 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4d…a681backed Yes | 15c | 625.59$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 52c | 599.98$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.99 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x203f…3ddebacked Yes | 9c | 583.21$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.49 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051f…66b0backed Yes | 52c | 582.54$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb37…ff74backed Yes | 19c | 574.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.75 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 36c | 538.15$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95d9…ab03backed Yes | 10c | 533$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b55…1167backed Yes | 64c | 509.93$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Yes | 50c | 504.57$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…b78abacked No | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 64 | 10.9%7 W · 57 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8d…038bbacked Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9186…9220backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x996f…e3d2backed Yes | 10c | 483.72$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…c9a2backed Yes | 10c | 481.03$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 77 | 15.6%12 W · 65 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 12c | 473.58$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.79 | 53 | 17%9 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Yes | 53c | 455.56$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked No | 40c | 449.98$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed No | 40c | 443.99$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.39 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ad…5692backed Yes | 10c | 430$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5754backed Yes | 56c | 424.14$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c1…16c0backed No | 59c | 407.33$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.33 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb943…375bbacked Yes | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea0…2563backed Yes | 49c | 395.43$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 79c | 376.67$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.42 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a26…4ce4backed Yes | 25c | 350$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe87…062abacked Yes | 10c | 314.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9db2…cc8cbacked Yes | 37c | 310.72$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 44cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4af0…9996backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3dc0backed Yes | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…df06backed Yes | 39c | 291.3$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.9 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec3…5022backed Yes | 10c | 290$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c2…87c3backed Yes | 35c | 268$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…946bbacked Yes | 11c | 267$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c85…d15dbacked Yes | 6c | 255.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5042…f296backed Yes | 6c | 245$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd33b…4e00backed No | 76c | 238.18$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.18 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0994…45adbacked Yes | 11c | 236.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…0145backed Yes | 23c | 235.61$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf268…960fbacked No | 78c | 233.59$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3147…7667backed Yes | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 71c | 225.87$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.58 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaf…4267backed Yes | 9c | 220.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x949c…ab2cbacked Yes | 11c | 218.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa919…65fabacked Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?this page
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?No won
- Will Fernando Alonso win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?No won
- Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.