TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$262,666
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$265,131

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $262,666 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 244 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes27c15,000$4,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,095.215337.7%20 W · 33 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-37%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x65b9…ff15backed No71c9,713$6,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,791.48250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-29.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Yes12c7,429$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.258939.3%35 W · 54 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Yes0c7,000$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaf65…b793backed Yes4c6,539$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No73c6,090$4,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,670.065759.6%34 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No78c5,573$4,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,246.727944.3%35 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-25.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x837c…5771backed Yes26c4,866$1,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,267333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No74c4,700$3,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,231.135757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked Yes7c4,667$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3305334%18 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8e7…e22ebacked Yes9c4,291$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa76c…dc83backed Yes7c4,229$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2805418.5%10 W · 44 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7c…dc9abacked Yes30c4,204$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes7c3,661$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.398127.2%22 W · 59 L-6.2wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4f9…9419backed Yes24c3,500$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.992420.8%5 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-34.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd30b…1b50backed Yes4c3,270$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145110%0 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5f11…4529backed Yes5c3,063$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16440%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ab2…a2b7backed No73c2,341$1,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.06425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-65.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35f1…1475backed Yes5c2,192$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10080%0 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Yes8c2,057$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.421233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x805a…0635backed No75c2,037$1,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.5915932.7%52 W · 107 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-25.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes2c2,031$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.05591.7%1 W · 58 L-0.3wins0.00per pick2cpaid-59.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e3e…713abacked Yes30c2,031$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.64650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd180…9d31backed Yes6c1,909$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf72…6378backed Yes18c1,849$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.7730%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d43…920fbacked Yes28c1,772$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.51425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-66.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes2c1,750$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6614429.9%43 W · 101 L+14.2wins+0.10per pick20cpaid+69.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed Yes2c1,582$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.65028%14 W · 36 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-34.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8e4…ff59backed Yes18c1,568$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick30cpaid+107.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9531…9099backed Yes19c1,500$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.4320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1df6…cba0backed Yes7c1,499$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed No77c1,499$1,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.211643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe6b…bc2abacked Yes29c1,384$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0459…437fbacked No73c1,371$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.992528%7 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-50%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No76c1,351$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3221968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+25%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x799c…bcefbacked No78c1,290$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.57580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Yes30c1,137$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.62025%5 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-41.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa492…adbebacked Yes8c1,129$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.013026.7%8 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf006…e53ebacked Yes30c1,107$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c09…4073backed Yes6c1,101$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.613633.3%12 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+191.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No72c1,074$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.842669.2%18 W · 8 L+5.0wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+42.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x11ca…89babacked Yes10c1,032$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x481d…9098backed Yes25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b19…5dccbacked Yes27c1,000$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27530%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd5a…63f9backed No70c1,000$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2972100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c29…79b6backed Yes26c999.98$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.9870%0 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x81f2…4b52backed Yes11c902.37$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Yes28c886.52$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-50.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1a9…d211backed Yes3c864.16$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.05348.8%3 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-61.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes23c801.52$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.4610128.7%29 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes30c800.32$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.291926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-48.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd041…357abacked Yes26c766.9$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick25cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64a7…2133backed Yes5c736$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.842718.5%5 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-60.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa516…235cbacked Yes11c735.13$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-55.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40c4…adbebacked Yes16c721.82$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.67520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-67.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f1c…8dc1backed Yes27c718.58$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d8b…c132backed Yes28c711.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e96…b306backed Yes28c705.58$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19620%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x904f…50c6backed Yes5c700$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.315922%35 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5113…f0babacked Yes13c699.98$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.51533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes28c695.15$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1936410.9%7 W · 57 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick9cpaid-18.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe87…062abacked Yes11c688.45$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.3360%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2df…2f79backed Yes15c666.65$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-44.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes29c627.49$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick25cpaid-58.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5ad…5692backed Yes14c608.99$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.8870%0 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Yes3c603.86$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.51216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick9cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cda…cf57backed Yes28c598.59$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bef…aaabbacked Yes25c574.57$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…b5bfbacked Yes4c571.95$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4daa…0e1dbacked Yes27c549.81$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15040%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed No72c529.2$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.481464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.20per pick45cpaid+53.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes30c520.98$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.293040%12 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf006…bb6cbacked No76c520.67$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.761266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…9a01backed Yes5c500$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24100%0 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked No72c499.98$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1412673.1%19 W · 7 L+9.1wins+0.35per pick38cpaid+117.3%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x90cc…4d2cbacked Yes6c491.59$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x688d…59b6backed Yes28c475$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.38714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-70.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x203f…3ddebacked Yes27c469.09$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.241241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x578e…c3c0backed Yes28c462.67$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf96…fce2backed Yes11c439$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x050d…d5b0backed Yes28c438.83$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cb3…e057backed Yes28c438.77$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8815…438dbacked Yes15c418$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.453716.2%6 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-44.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Yes9c403.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes7c400$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286827.9%19 W · 49 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+19.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb943…375bbacked Yes8c400$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32540%2 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick19cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5860…8b52backed No74c399.97$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-55%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x051f…66b0backed Yes26c382.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002536%9 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f3c…78a5backed Yes13c380.77$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3ce9…0cf5backed Yes16c375.34$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6911836.4%43 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8da…098abacked Yes28c360.43$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+80.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc120…51dcbacked Yes28c358.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8668…7f8fbacked Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes27c355.47$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.725317%9 W · 44 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-53.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c28…8c77backed Yes29c348.43$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fd6…bc47backed Yes6c346.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94b6…2c4ebacked Yes6c338.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5de…1987backed Yes30c334.88$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.461020%2 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-48.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd796…4364backed Yes26c324.07$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.