TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x64a7…2133

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
344
Categories scored
34
Categories below 50
20

Best Category: AI, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category AI at 55 out of 100; worst Valorant at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT9322.6%21 W · 72 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 93 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Joao Felix attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$190
Will Karim Benzema attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Luka Modric attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will Gareth Bale attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Dana White attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Lionel Messi attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Jose Mourinho attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+697.5%+$649.38
Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$143.9
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.25
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+203%+$101.52
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.3
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$133.02
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$158
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.6
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.43
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$213
Showing 25 of 93 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT4032.5%13 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Will Derby County FC win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Bolton Wanderers FC win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$34.52
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-08-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+48.2%+$14.45
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$106.36
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.76
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$29.35
Will Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.68
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$11.7
AFC Bournemouth vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
F1last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2718.5%5 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-60.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will Kimi Antonelli win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Charles Leclerc win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.01
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.14
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$91.34
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.99
Will Lewis Hamilton win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$58.99
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$340.4
Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Kimi Antonelli win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.84
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Mercedes have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$69.99
Will McLaren have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Ferrari have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT2638.5%10 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$91.11
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$78.23
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$21.19
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$156
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.3
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+308.2%+$528.5
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+116.9%+$23.38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.95
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$199.5
Will Iran strike UAE again in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$90
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.6
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$140
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+77.9%+$197
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Commoditieslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-21.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 10-August 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+50.7%+$55.92
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$325.2
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$671Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$670.5
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$66
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$11.83
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 3?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$165
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on June 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$116
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.96
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.19
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$11.84
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,450 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$37
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$28.85
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+58.7%+$22.2
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+31.6%+$12
All 20 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+58.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.33
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+300%+$562.5
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$23.6
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$34.05
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.72
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+900%+$90
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$46.67
Will there be fewer than 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Moltbook shutdown by Feb 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$72
Will Claude 5 be released by February 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+41.1%+$6.9
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,001Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+66.5%+$665.74
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+177%+$177.01
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves backed Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 13 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-47.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.99
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-Inbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+150%+$22.5
LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.12
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$52.5
LoL: paiN Gaming vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked paiN Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
LoL: LOS vs RED Canids (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.5
LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.1
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.5
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$283.29
LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.38
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
All 12 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$126
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$116
Starmer out by June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$90
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$240
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+43%+$214.68
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+27.6%+$6.89
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$46.67
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+89.2%+$13.39
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+122.2%+$36.67
All 9 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick34cpaid-75.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Valorant — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Cloud9 GC vs SEN Otters (BO3) - VCT Game Changers North America Group Stagebacked SEN Otters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.61
Valorant: Team Envy vs Sentinels - Map 1 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs Trace Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Trace Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Valorant: Joblife vs Fnatic - Map 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.99
Valorant: Team Envy vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+121.1%+$167.04
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.55
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Omegabacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.7
Valorant: Nova Esports vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Omegabacked Wolves Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$272.5
All 9 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-29.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stagebacked illwill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.66
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.46
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stagebacked TNC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$179.99
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Monte (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffsbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.17
Counter-Strike: Monte vs NIP (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffsbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$553Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$552.5
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$374.46
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.38
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$153
All 8 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-67.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-74.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie Alast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestoneslast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-66.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+84.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-27.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+400%+$300.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$30.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-05-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.