AI · resolved market
Moltbook shutdown by Feb 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3411f3513ffd87cccb855dd14fa9f4b5b9d9181bc43e78e4a7cd08b9a720300
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $286,592
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $251,963
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $286,592 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x36ec…0a8fbacked Yes | 9c | 8,567$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf769…0114backed Yes | 8c | 8,200$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3c…8727backed Yes | 11c | 7,600$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…d427backed Yes | 8c | 6,247$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 5c | 5,750$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.5 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb88d…6c32backed Yes | 9c | 5,556$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d6…adabbacked Yes | 10c | 5,279$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 3,942$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.38 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 4c | 3,709$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.88 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc03e…93edbacked Yes | 6c | 3,532$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 4c | 3,130$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.76 | 288 | 26.7%77 W · 211 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…bfbabacked Yes | 7c | 2,668$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81ef…39c1backed Yes | 8c | 2,558$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 10c | 2,500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 4c | 2,471$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.1 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,330$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 217 | 13.4%29 W · 188 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…a29fbacked Yes | 4c | 2,308$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x737e…c602backed Yes | 5c | 2,259$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc790…8260backed Yes | 5c | 2,196$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa36f…ac47backed Yes | 7c | 2,178$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 2,157$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.09 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,125$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 263 | 12.9%34 W · 229 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x991b…f19abacked Yes | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357d…8c4fbacked Yes | 9c | 1,761$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked Yes | 4c | 1,760$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.18 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,650$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.8 | 76 | 7.9%6 W · 70 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 6c | 1,600$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.7 | 71 | 7%5 W · 66 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 6c | 1,579$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 86 | 5.8%5 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca3…335dbacked Yes | 8c | 1,550$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4c…b4f4backed Yes | 3c | 1,525$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed Yes | 8c | 1,500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe937…d46abacked Yes | 4c | 1,500$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29e5…0cb0backed Yes | 3c | 1,494$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1c…d8debacked Yes | 7c | 1,428$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79f7…087cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,337$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf61f…3ce1backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…9767backed Yes | 5c | 1,243$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.13 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 5c | 1,236$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…9ac1backed Yes | 8c | 1,230$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…5792backed Yes | 8c | 1,225$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaac…e5bebacked Yes | 8c | 1,181$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b9…a8cdbacked Yes | 3c | 1,162$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdf…8e4ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,061$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…0fb8backed Yes | 13c | 1,047$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891c…e455backed Yes | 5c | 1,034$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b58…eb2bbacked Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 3c | 992.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 211 | 0.9%2 W · 209 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 8c | 930$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.1 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe399…7dc1backed Yes | 9c | 902.89$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb59f…35c5backed Yes | 11c | 900$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe559…de84backed Yes | 9c | 900$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Yes | 7c | 888$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 3c | 870$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…afc4backed Yes | 9c | 820.72$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 10c | 783.07$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.67 | 301 | 27.2%82 W · 219 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Yes | 3c | 776.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x452a…6fe1backed Yes | 5c | 718.09$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…b662backed Yes | 9c | 693.06$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf82a…d221backed Yes | 4c | 644.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd636…c5dbbacked Yes | 3c | 618.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb631…8a87backed Yes | 13c | 599.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdc…5247backed Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 3c | 553.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 297 | 7.7%23 W · 274 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d7…f73abacked Yes | 2c | 550.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa601…cad0backed Yes | 8c | 530$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6641…99f9backed Yes | 3c | 506.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…bda0backed Yes | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc241…1487backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5447…23c7backed Yes | 3c | 500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…f17cbacked Yes | 3c | 489.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4430…541fbacked Yes | 14c | 485.28$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f62…e744backed Yes | 7c | 482.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 3c | 468.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 73 | 1.4%1 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d50…a391backed Yes | 7c | 460$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 4c | 459.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…d9cabacked Yes | 4c | 436.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked Yes | 3c | 430$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 54 | 5.6%3 W · 51 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5d…c8b4backed Yes | 4c | 424.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2732…e1a5backed Yes | 10c | 401.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed Yes | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd25e…f458backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ee…81cbbacked Yes | 5c | 394.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 11c | 392.74$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.49 | 204 | 18.6%38 W · 166 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…0f43backed Yes | 9c | 390$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 35cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed Yes | 4c | 388.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9842…2ac6backed Yes | 3c | 354.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27da…db81backed Yes | 5c | 300.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06db…5244backed Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64a7…2133backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaff…fe2dbacked Yes | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa008…f4acbacked Yes | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 7c | 295.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 207 | 31.9%66 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda4e…f81cbacked Yes | 9c | 284.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4c…d670backed Yes | 7c | 275.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce2…de3dbacked Yes | 7c | 275$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b3…7cfabacked Yes | 8c | 256.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c6…ed57backed Yes | 8c | 255$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x538c…d669backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ac…1a82backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4256…e529backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.