TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7b58…eb2b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
170
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst Lol at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT3943.6%17 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+29%+$123.5
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.63
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$188
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.5
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$228.45
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.5
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.3
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$94.97
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,085Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+204.1%+$2,214.99
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$310
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$478Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+391.5%+$1,871.9
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$251.6
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.4
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$471Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$129
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,656Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+336.1%+$5,563.77
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$359.99
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.98
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$152
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+406.3%+$1,604.98
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$72
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$339.9
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$279
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT2568%17 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,379Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$671.45
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$794Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$206
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$102.8
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$526Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$258.9
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,180Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+54.6%+$644.74
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$27.5
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$75.09
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$63
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$118.5
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+32.1%+$124.71
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+27.2%+$42.06
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+35.1%+$46.8
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+72.4%+$75.6
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+126.6%+$142.05
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$295
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+189%+$28.35
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Park Sung-jae in jail by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election by less than 15%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$6.9
Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+334.8%+$66.96
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.9
Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+50.1%+$12.03
All 25 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.23per pick59cpaid-51.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Skillcamp Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked TLN Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$148
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$57.35
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.51
LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$48
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.5
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: G2 Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$46
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$49.31
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.6
All 14 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-41.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
AI — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+46.8%+$111.5
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.5
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$265.99
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$84
Moltbook shutdown by Feb 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$323Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$322.8
Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+27.4%+$86
Will Sydney Sweeney be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$682Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+30.8%+$210.25
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$674Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$674.27
Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$148
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$98
OpenAI browser by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+125.2%+$25.19
All 13 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $30M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$74
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+212.5%+$135.99
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+35.9%+$92.5
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+88.7%+$235
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+47.1%+$64
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.97
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.4
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+31.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick25cpaid-82.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick50cpaid-78.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-43.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-68.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick13cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+143.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+208.2%+$27.02
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+257.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+484.4%+$477.64
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$117
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.66
Will Bitcoin dip to $106,000 October 27-November 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$324
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+112.8%+$159
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+85.2%+$92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 2, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahce win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$22.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$9.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$11.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Predators vs. Kingsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.