World Politics · resolved market
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe76e95073201f88e3d07d782dc42b6354a07f34ed829c37db2a62a26c04c98fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $195,811
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $159,090
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $195,811 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0490…c81fbacked Yes | 16c | 10,655$1,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670.96 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8597…daeebacked Yes | 41c | 5,372$2,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,187.85 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 8c | 5,103$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.57 | 190 | 27.9%53 W · 137 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd748…2125backed Yes | 40c | 5,026$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016.11 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc781…59d7backed Yes | 40c | 4,832$1,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925.59 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -7.2wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6f…8afbbacked Yes | 32c | 4,541$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.44 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed No | 58c | 3,658$2,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536.84 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked No | 47c | 3,175$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,672.3 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 19c | 3,125$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.83 | 121 | 33.1%40 W · 81 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…f8b1backed No | 64c | 2,627$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.53 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked Yes | 1c | 2,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 96 | 13.5%13 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7d08backed No | 67c | 2,110$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.32 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +11.0wins | +0.18per pick | 31cpaid | +90%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb782…955cbacked Yes | 17c | 2,061$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.36 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked Yes | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.46 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8731…1181backed Yes | 15c | 1,882$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.25 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed1d…8707backed Yes | 9c | 1,759$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.4 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3f…a942backed No | 67c | 1,751$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Yes | 36c | 1,511$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.51 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed Yes | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed Yes | 25c | 1,302$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.14 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 39c | 1,292$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.25 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 52c | 1,285$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.39 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f866backed Yes | 27c | 1,244$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.82 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c47…c146backed Yes | 51c | 1,162$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df1…72e7backed No | 70c | 1,143$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.86 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Yes | 59c | 1,001$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | +29.2wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +132.4%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x8dfe…c769backed Yes | 36c | 964.75$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 915.53$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6e…99eabacked No | 73c | 853.39$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.87 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 7c | 800.22$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.01 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3154…e615backed Yes | 31c | 799.18$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.87 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 7c | 754.23$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.61 | 140 | 27.9%39 W · 101 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…86a9backed Yes | 35c | 749.23$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.31 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245c…2486backed No | 63c | 684.33$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.92 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.21per pick | 44cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a2…9981backed Yes | 8c | 655.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd256…b945backed Yes | 28c | 619.99$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.49 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fdb…6919backed Yes | 19c | 615$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x022a…2da6backed Yes | 33c | 606.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…2202backed Yes | 27c | 559.89$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.07 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 58c | 545.45$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.67 | 76 | 18.4%14 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73dc…8d32backed No | 65c | 536.84$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.84 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 148 | 34.5%51 W · 97 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 63c | 438.85$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.66 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 27c | 408.31$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.51 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 34c | 400.68$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.41 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 16c | 400$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 380 | 23.9%91 W · 289 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…e5f0backed No | 64c | 400$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac9…420cbacked Yes | 44c | 397.56$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf6…559dbacked Yes | 21c | 393.35$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.93 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33f7…7a46backed Yes | 14c | 382.28$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.42 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79b…c37cbacked Yes | 26c | 381.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f23fbacked No | 53c | 378$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.66 | 182 | 14.8%27 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +218.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…3df6backed Yes | 10c | 377.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.08 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x701c…e096backed Yes | 10c | 368.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78ca…967dbacked Yes | 43c | 350.08$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a6…8297backed Yes | 15c | 347$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.05 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25a3…ce19backed Yes | 14c | 339.2$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.1 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…0571backed No | 52c | 321.09$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.12 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x210c…2edabacked No | 60c | 312.25$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.83 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1601…ed94backed Yes | 24c | 303.7$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +2,128.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…cf00backed Yes | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 278 | 28.1%78 W · 200 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed No | 58c | 299.99$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.99 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +223.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 10c | 258.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 220 | 29.5%65 W · 155 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 11c | 230$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 17c | 215.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b91…ae77backed Yes | 7c | 214.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d77…fdbebacked Yes | 26c | 213$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.38 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…c137backed Yes | 30c | 211.74$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.86 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…cc93backed Yes | 28c | 210$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.9 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…d95cbacked No | 67c | 206.67$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.62 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…f218backed No | 50c | 200$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf65…fde8backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55d7…35f4backed Yes | 38c | 197.54$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a4…996dbacked Yes | 45c | 196.77$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.39 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -5.4wins | -0.34per pick | 46cpaid | -82.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc3da…d974backed Yes | 29c | 190.11$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.09 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7031…0a23backed Yes | 47c | 178.56$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90a…06b7backed Yes | 13c | 177$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedad…1af7backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Yes | 13c | 163.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -60%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fec…c965backed Yes | 37c | 163.19$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.23 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb28c…be33backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…79d0backed Yes | 58c | 150$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb59…1e96backed Yes | 41c | 146.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ab…402cbacked Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd1…070dbacked Yes | 29c | 135.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed Yes | 22c | 134.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e01…757abacked Yes | 34c | 133$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.43 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7152…b4bcbacked Yes | 45c | 127.78$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53cb…f7bdbacked Yes | 40c | 126.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe5…711abacked No | 65c | 114.83$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96b3…c9f7backed Yes | 57c | 114.45$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6537…b1d5backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x084d…5bf6backed Yes | 40c | 111$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 347 | 26.8%93 W · 254 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…db6ebacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?this page
- Will the Christian Union win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Denk win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Forum for Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the JA21 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the New Social Contract win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes won
- Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Reformed Political Party win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Socialist Party win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Volt Netherlands win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.