World Politics · resolved market
Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d3b0c55b590786ca889e68a0005ea626f5f8b856e1de0d353f3572168467c04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $927,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,009,074
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $927,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 360 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd748…2125backed Yes | 79c | 77,325$61,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,990.86 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 1c | 71,271$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.16 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 48c | 26,134$12,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,543.45 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 76c | 24,468$18,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,916.09 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 52c | 18,811$9,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,035.9 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x355f…0df8backed Yes | 64c | 18,213$11,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,607.1 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -5.6wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc708…70abbacked No | 47c | 15,354$7,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,148.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -68%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 18c | 15,011$2,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,381.3 | 190 | 27.9%53 W · 137 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 78c | 12,176$9,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,659.2 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…06e3backed No | 3c | 8,980$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7d08backed Yes | 72c | 8,503$6,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,342.59 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +11.0wins | +0.18per pick | 31cpaid | +90%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4b73…bd19backed No | 23c | 6,978$1,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,631.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90fe…8bfebacked Yes | 75c | 6,666$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed No | 68c | 6,576$4,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.12 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbc…309bbacked No | 31c | 6,546$2,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,015.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce5…7c13backed Yes | 50c | 5,855$2,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,947.52 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ba…e7ebbacked No | 28c | 5,459$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,544.23 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -86%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 48c | 5,404$2,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,608.72 | 140 | 27.9%39 W · 101 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…ef5fbacked No | 21c | 5,162$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.15 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…4ea5backed No | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…eec6backed Yes | 66c | 5,000$3,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -93.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x295b…2e44backed No | 2c | 4,850$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.3 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +56%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9db7…7e1fbacked No | 24c | 4,813$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.55 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc1…35c1backed No | 21c | 4,775$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…342bbacked No | 44c | 4,533$1,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,989.23 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 13c | 4,236$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.17 | 166 | 12.7%21 W · 145 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8733…a6f0backed Yes | 36c | 4,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,560 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 1c | 3,743$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.79 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes | 51c | 3,389$1,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645.08 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 6c | 3,370$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.87 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa95f…2bdbbacked Yes | 48c | 3,369$1,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.27 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x457f…b04abacked Yes | 61c | 3,277$1,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 66c | 3,232$2,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.87 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ce…beecbacked No | 65c | 3,202$2,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,089.37 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x978e…80bcbacked Yes | 64c | 3,200$2,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.76 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0086…47c1backed Yes | 17c | 3,191$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,662.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…2202backed Yes | 45c | 3,064$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.92 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed Yes | 70c | 2,879$2,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.01 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc821…3df4backed No | 2c | 2,726$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.34 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2aa…21fbbacked Yes | 68c | 2,681$1,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.11 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 32c | 2,636$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.96 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 14c | 2,598$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,238.58 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e29…75b6backed No | 36c | 2,592$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.81 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Yes | 69c | 2,507$1,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.03 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 25c | 2,482$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855.92 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b5…cf5fbacked No | 3c | 2,472$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd254…3e3bbacked No | 1c | 2,414$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf445…8184backed No | 14c | 2,362$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c69…9e30backed Yes | 61c | 2,302$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.39 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…20ccbacked Yes | 73c | 2,250$1,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.38 | 113 | 31%35 W · 78 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed No | 67c | 2,222$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.74 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x963a…fc4cbacked Yes | 74c | 2,177$1,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.8 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ec…7b2ebacked Yes | 65c | 2,000$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18aa…f6ecbacked Yes | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 109 | 28.4%31 W · 78 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 26c | 1,975$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.9 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Yes | 71c | 1,943$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2021…034fbacked No | 2c | 1,905$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe645…345abacked Yes | 28c | 1,890$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.69 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcd…2c60backed No | 18c | 1,807$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 42c | 1,805$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.02 | 148 | 34.5%51 W · 97 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6364…09a8backed Yes | 32c | 1,797$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.71 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 28cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f95…cdfcbacked No | 32c | 1,766$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 24c | 1,754$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.25 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +309.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 71c | 1,743$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.24 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5579…0a9cbacked No | 37c | 1,576$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e55…d5c5backed No | 29c | 1,520$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 16c | 1,500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf626…8a12backed Yes | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.8wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xba76…616bbacked Yes | 42c | 1,477$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2021…a8d5backed Yes | 35c | 1,421$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.25 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x038b…afc4backed Yes | 77c | 1,409$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.15 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb032…4e09backed Yes | 65c | 1,405$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…9f2fbacked No | 27c | 1,400$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.99 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…29debacked Yes | 51c | 1,374$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.22 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x838b…a603backed Yes | 12c | 1,353$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.92 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed Yes | 63c | 1,306$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.96 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc77…c035backed No | 66c | 1,291$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.75 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 72 | 25%18 W · 54 L | +9.7wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +262.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 66c | 1,241$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.1 | 232 | 25%58 W · 174 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd042…a60abacked No | 1c | 1,198$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…2821backed Yes | 20c | 1,140$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 60c | 1,110$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444 | 121 | 33.1%40 W · 81 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbe…f726backed No | 43c | 1,100$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2b…67fabacked Yes | 66c | 1,097$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.31 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6653…110dbacked Yes | 74c | 1,078$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 28cpaid | +231.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc9…1ec7backed Yes | 30c | 1,074$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.48 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 33cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0723…2762backed Yes | 72c | 1,050$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +254%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…e38bbacked Yes | 76c | 1,000$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6f…8afbbacked Yes | 24c | 999.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…bc19backed Yes | 72c | 990.61$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9f…de68backed Yes | 78c | 964.62$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed Yes | 73c | 955.01$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.7 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 21c | 951.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +15.3wins | +0.21per pick | 15cpaid | +188.8%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked Yes | 78c | 936.36$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.52 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d5…af7fbacked Yes | 62c | 871.57$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.27 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa81e…03dcbacked Yes | 80c | 870.26$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 65c | 850$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9e…8f12backed No | 18c | 840.03$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f30…c216backed Yes | 33c | 807.42$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 11c | 800.31$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.92 | 76 | 18.4%14 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?this page
- Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Christian Union win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Denk win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Forum for Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the JA21 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the New Social Contract win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Reformed Political Party win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Socialist Party win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Volt Netherlands win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.