World Politics · resolved market
Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8147e29f9e0d127ddc8578665cacdf885f3b14b84b21f5b3f5d9494c3af4bb62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,671,168
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,447,663
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,671,168 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 293 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc708…70abbacked Yes | 18c | 153,309$26,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,931.43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -68%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…06e3backed Yes | 1c | 82,918$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 68,953$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.91 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db7…7e1fbacked Yes | 4c | 51,122$2,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,171.55 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b8…13a2backed Yes | 29c | 33,468$9,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,748.15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -81%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…342bbacked Yes | 7c | 32,405$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150.42 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 3c | 32,096$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.14 | 190 | 27.9%53 W · 137 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc821…3df4backed Yes | 1c | 28,633$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.17 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8733…a6f0backed Yes | 6c | 28,375$1,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,718.14 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x355f…0df8backed Yes | 14c | 24,150$3,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,457 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -5.6wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x136a…319dbacked Yes | 18c | 23,720$4,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,371.14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 4c | 21,618$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.65 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 7c | 19,134$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.37 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07a6…ebe8backed Yes | 25c | 18,897$4,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,817.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18e7…3b2abacked Yes | 18c | 17,742$3,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,228.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7d08backed Yes | 1c | 16,560$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.79 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +11.0wins | +0.18per pick | 31cpaid | +90%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3f…49ccbacked Yes | 17c | 15,367$2,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,686.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…7028backed Yes | 5c | 14,123$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 3cpaid | +1,179.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2021…034fbacked Yes | 1c | 12,927$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked Yes | 3c | 12,236$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.57 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 11,983$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.73 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfab4…daf9backed Yes | 9c | 11,437$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f30…c216backed Yes | 10c | 9,976$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac80…97b1backed No | 79c | 9,714$7,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,084.18 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f71…8a3abacked Yes | 19c | 8,567$1,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,612.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f6…46eabacked Yes | 1c | 8,174$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…faadbacked Yes | 5c | 8,156$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.79 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +742.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0939…b5a6backed Yes | 22c | 7,495$1,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,646.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed Yes | 2c | 7,430$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.75 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 14c | 6,811$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.96 | 166 | 12.7%21 W · 145 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b49…95e9backed Yes | 17c | 6,779$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…b521backed Yes | 18c | 6,402$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4f…5e76backed Yes | 16c | 6,262$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.06 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b8…b68cbacked Yes | 0c | 6,009$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a2…9452backed Yes | 3c | 5,879$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.27 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6364…09a8backed Yes | 15c | 5,861$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 28cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6587…35d9backed Yes | 8c | 5,613$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb28c…be33backed Yes | 8c | 5,530$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.11 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccc…5d5abacked Yes | 11c | 5,331$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9f…de68backed Yes | 7c | 5,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 6c | 4,859$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.61 | 140 | 27.9%39 W · 101 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes | 6c | 4,791$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.58 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62cf…0806backed Yes | 14c | 4,647$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7e…5ce1backed Yes | 26c | 4,574$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…758ebacked Yes | 16c | 4,470$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.28 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x863a…f88fbacked Yes | 11c | 4,120$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 79c | 4,083$3,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.19 | 247 | 36.8%91 W · 156 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…20ccbacked Yes | 3c | 4,067$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.04 | 113 | 31%35 W · 78 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 17c | 4,044$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.2 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…3a87backed Yes | 12c | 4,016$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba5…6916backed Yes | 16c | 3,873$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.75 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 7c | 3,589$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.64 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0086…47c1backed Yes | 2c | 3,546$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab03…5c70backed Yes | 17c | 3,523$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b91…ae77backed Yes | 3c | 3,370$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa79…8a47backed Yes | 19c | 3,370$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.73 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd0…0f6abacked Yes | 1c | 3,300$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0049…3a9abacked Yes | 2c | 3,152$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.65 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 7c | 3,072$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.43 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18aa…f6ecbacked Yes | 20c | 3,000$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.7 | 109 | 28.4%31 W · 78 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b97…5a5ebacked Yes | 7c | 3,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 11cpaid | +81%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…7101backed Yes | 10c | 3,000$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6970…684abacked Yes | 17c | 2,953$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…9043backed Yes | 8c | 2,869$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b5…c668backed Yes | 4c | 2,771$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 24cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e55…d5c5backed Yes | 13c | 2,662$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b2…b89bbacked Yes | 0c | 2,640$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc781…59d7backed Yes | 19c | 2,570$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.85 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -7.2wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe9…8308backed Yes | 7c | 2,519$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.98 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 3c | 2,500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 180 | 36.7%66 W · 114 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked Yes | 2c | 2,500$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 96 | 13.5%13 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Yes | 15c | 2,471$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -78%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe101…1301backed Yes | 24c | 2,465$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x569f…f97cbacked Yes | 29c | 2,305$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x998d…b62cbacked Yes | 25c | 2,238$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +165.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes | 6c | 2,220$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.03 | 160 | 29.4%47 W · 113 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 7c | 2,168$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.6 | 72 | 25%18 W · 54 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…6193backed Yes | 26c | 2,104$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.49 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d03…fabfbacked Yes | 24c | 2,067$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 12c | 2,000$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.5 | 148 | 34.5%51 W · 97 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd256…b945backed Yes | 16c | 2,000$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.73 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6f…8afbbacked Yes | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…e5ecbacked Yes | 22c | 1,928$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…6901backed Yes | 15c | 1,907$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14f7…a7a9backed Yes | 27c | 1,897$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…093abacked Yes | 21c | 1,883$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460d…5ec7backed Yes | 29c | 1,867$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7815…5400backed Yes | 8c | 1,796$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…fe03backed Yes | 17c | 1,632$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f91…9388backed Yes | 17c | 1,630$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x372a…7201backed Yes | 23c | 1,611$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 1c | 1,579$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 167 | 6.6%11 W · 156 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0330…eb8fbacked Yes | 12c | 1,561$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.05 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba7…9e91backed Yes | 10c | 1,522$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7b…cdbebacked Yes | 7c | 1,505$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785b…7d17backed Yes | 18c | 1,500$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +464%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.21per pick | 21cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked No | 77c | 1,497$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.34 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed1d…8707backed Yes | 5c | 1,496$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.04 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe66a…adb0backed Yes | 21c | 1,487$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?this page
- Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Christian Union win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Denk win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Forum for Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the JA21 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the New Social Contract win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes won
- Will the Reformed Political Party win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Socialist Party win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Volt Netherlands win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.