TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0b91…ae77

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
396
Categories scored
36
Categories below 50
19

Best Category: Middle East, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 59 out of 100; worst UFC at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT5630.4%17 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,643Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$1,302
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$8,121Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+59.6%+$4,839.25
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$400.8
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$645Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$645.12
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$487Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$487.09
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 100 seats?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$536Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$535.89
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 60 seats?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+426.7%+$565.47
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 70 seats?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$32.45
Will Tisza win 110–119 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$371.82
Will Tisza win 100–109 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$310.68
Will Tisza win 120-129 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$446Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$446.4
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$858Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+63.2%+$542
Will the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) win the Bangladesh parliamentary election by 9% or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$90.39
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 20–30%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$823Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$822.99
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 40–50%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,815Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$1,814.97
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 30–40%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,582Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+134%+$2,119.13
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+375.6%+$187.8
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$992Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+222.6%+$2,208
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will António José Seguro qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+122.2%+$550
Will António José Seguro win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$148.25
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4810.4%5 W · 43 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-76.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$673Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$672.99
Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Travelers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,766Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+229.7%+$4,055.45
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Travelers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,984Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,983.78
Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 Travelers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$278.27
Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 Travelers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.05
Will Akshay Bhatia win the 2026 Travelers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$429.83
Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 Travelers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.7
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Travelers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$351.8
Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,166Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+80.4%+$937.68
Will Sahith Theegala win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.34
Will Tom Kim win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.17
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,628Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,627.86
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$673Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$672.77
Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.47
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$456Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$455.9
Will Kristoffer Reitan win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.43
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$339
Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.93
Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 RBC Heritage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.34
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 RBC Heritage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$483Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+123.8%+$598.65
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 RBC Heritage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$447.54
Will Si Woo Kim win the 2026 RBC Heritage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.84
Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 RBC Heritage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.24
Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 RBC Heritage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.63
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 RBC Heritage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.7
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT4717%8 W · 39 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$810Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$809.83
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.85
Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.6
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,826Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,826
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+263.6%+$1,713.64
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$351.57
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,229Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,228.73
Will Morocco reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$650
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+247.1%+$494.12
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)backed Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.48
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,027Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,027.3
Will Cody Gakpo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$690.48
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$138.1
Exact Score: South Africa 1 - 2 Canada?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT3756.8%21 W · 16 L+5.2wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+17.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,302Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+134.1%+$1,746.24
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.58
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,908Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+196.8%+$3,756.14
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,267Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,266.85
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,744Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+63%+$1,098.67
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$5,655Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+197.9%+$11,189.4
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+157.1%+$477.34
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$190.47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$34.19
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,895Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+203.9%+$3,864.03
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$836Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$836.4
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$917Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$916.88
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.64
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,603Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$997.48
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$840Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+78.7%+$660.97
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$6,066Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$2,024.4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$231.11
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.8
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.73
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$66.88
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+36.9%+$295.39
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.55
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT3023.3%7 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arvell Reese be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$680
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,890Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+411.4%+$7,776.39
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,260Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$2,260
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+1,165.5%+$4,285.82
Will Rauw Alejandro perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$50.64
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$102.68
Will Karol G perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$502Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+413%+$2,072.54
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$854Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$854.01
Will the Texans win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$177.48
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$161.17
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$402
Will LAR/GB/BUF/SF/NE/HOU win their 2026 NFL Wild Card round games?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will LAR/GB/JAX/SF/LAC/HOU win their 2026 NFL Wild Card round games?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$16.79
Will LAR/GB/JAX/SF/NE/HOU win their 2026 NFL Wild Card round games?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will the Panthers win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$277.32
Will the Houston Texans win the AFC South?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$88.26
Spread: Eagles (-2.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Spread: Chiefs (-4.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+96.1%+$144.12
Texans vs. Chiefs: O/U 42.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+85.2%+$127.78
Jets vs. Patriots: O/U 42.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$220
Raiders vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+100%+$80
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT2347.8%11 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+36.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$105.41
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.73
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$378
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+677.6%+$404.95
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.8
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.04
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$313.83
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.13
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.38
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.66
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$31.54
Texas Longhorns vs. BYU Cougarsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$31.54
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Saint Mary's Gaelsbacked Texas A&M Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$35.67
VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.79
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.8
High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+400%+$99.44
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$31.54
Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Prairie View A&M Panthersbacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$235.96
Memphis Tigers vs. North Texas Mean Greenbacked Memphis Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$560
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Fresno State Bulldogsbacked Fresno State Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+268.6%+$201.44
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Davidson Wildcatsbacked Davidson Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$27.14
Kansas Jayhawks vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+72.4%+$135.41
All 23 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$817Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$817.27
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+58.7%+$221.99
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$125
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+156.4%+$366
Will Jensen Huang say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during NVIDIA keynote?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$23.76
Will Jensen Huang say "Human Robot" or "Human Robotic" during NVIDIA keynote?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+468.4%+$126.19
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$74.8
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$183.22
Will OpenAI’s GPT 5.1 win the Alpha Arena Season 1.5 competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek Chat V3.1 win the Alpha Arena Season 1.5 competition?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+58.7%+$296
Will Alibaba’s Qwen 3 Max win the Alpha Arena Season 1.5 competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$10.98
All 14 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick31cpaid+16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$1,059.97
Will the government shutdown last 2 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$778Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$778.26
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$343Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$343.37
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$33.73
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,269Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+60.9%+$773.22
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$862Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$862
Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$940Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$939.67
Will Trump and Mamdani shake hands for between 2 and 6 seconds on November 21 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$22.76
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+1,247%+$4,311.65
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$328.7
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$107
All 13 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$276
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$73.33
Will Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.69
Dems or GOP larger turnout in Texas Senate Primary?backed GOP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.3
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+56.2%+$359.99
Larger Margin of Victory: Mamdani vs Prop 50?backed Proposition 50 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$129.48
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$608Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$608.5
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$379Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$379.5
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+515.5%+$2,031.06
All 11 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-63.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$800
Will Oregon win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$224.89
Will Georgia win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Texas A&M win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$35.62
Will Notre Dame win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Florida State vs. Clemsonbacked Florida State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$115
Memphis vs. Rice: O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+100%+$50
O/U 52.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+100%+$23
Missouri vs. Vanderbiltbacked Missouri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Miami (-13.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.89
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+49%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+1,002.6%+$4,909.78
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.38
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$578Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$577.61
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.73
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Miami Heat?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Minnesota Timberwolves?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$116
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$518Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+78.6%+$407
Bulls vs. Cavaliersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+108.3%+$43.33
All 10 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+40.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$439.85
Will there be 18–20 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,551Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+107.2%+$2,734.02
Will there be 20 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,429Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,429.13
Will there be 14–16 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+42.9%+$14.66
Will there be 16–18 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$120.73
Will there be 14-16 inches of snow in NYC in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30.18
Will there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will there be 10-12 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+639.2%+$207.42
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on November 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$38
All 9 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick34cpaid+51.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $20 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $17 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+56.7%+$83.88
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+108.3%+$975
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+153.3%+$919.97
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 900k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,431Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$3,430.84
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 800k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$362.9
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$100.5
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$950Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+81%+$769
All 8 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-55.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$168
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$562Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$561.6
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$359.77
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$447.06
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,134.32
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,084Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,083.99
All 8 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-42.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-45.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+78.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid+17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-66.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+92.7%+$69.52
Will FC Porto win on 2025-11-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+96.1%+$40.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick13cpaid+97.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+78.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$39.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla say "Cybertruck" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+96.2%+$548.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+43.5%+$7.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$89.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Fnatic vs ULF Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked ULF Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,244Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,243.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$144
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$160
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.