NFL · resolved market
Raiders vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86053c341d92b99577c3c36abaa64fc5fc4bb6db5d5406539526e5802b3321e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $142,692
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,887
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,692 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 49c | 32,061$15,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,719.47 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x220c…43c8backed Under | 51c | 28,850$14,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,136.5 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c8…fed1backed Over | 50c | 28,837$14,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,418.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Under | 50c | 18,263$9,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,117.16 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Over | 50c | 10,493$5,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,246.5 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x905e…0adebacked Over | 51c | 8,127$4,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,144.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9af…6371backed Under | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -8.5wins | -0.29per pick | 50cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…1138backed Over | 51c | 7,920$4,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,039.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…89b9backed Over | 52c | 6,001$3,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120.72 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 106 | 39.6%42 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Over | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…a9f3backed Under | 49c | 4,721$2,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,407.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Under | 51c | 4,500$2,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,205 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf146…a957backed Under | 49c | 4,371$2,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,229.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 49c | 4,033$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,057 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Over | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Over | 34c | 4,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 3,641$1,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,838.21 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa412…25bdbacked Under | 49c | 3,516$1,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,793.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 49c | 3,386$1,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.95 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Over | 49c | 3,130$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536.01 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa025…e693backed Under | 49c | 2,945$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Under | 48c | 2,880$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.74 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 49c | 2,187$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.47 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Under | 50c | 1,883$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.5 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 49c | 1,779$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.97 | 314 | 50%157 W · 157 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 50c | 1,632$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.11 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Under | 49c | 1,050$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.5 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc7…cf77backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Over | 51c | 560$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.6 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc557…e530backed Under | 51c | 545.8$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.44 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb6…9aabbacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed3…bffcbacked Over | 51c | 425.49$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Over | 51c | 422$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.22 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf068…6184backed Under | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x37d1…0c60backed Under | 51c | 384.12$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Under | 50c | 324.43$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.6 | 313 | 50.2%157 W · 156 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b22…c59cbacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed Over | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 50c | 280$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 280 | 47.5%133 W · 147 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46ac…14d1backed Under | 49c | 254$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Under | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Under | 50c | 248.25$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.13 | 181 | 56.9%103 W · 78 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04ba…c2a0backed Under | 49c | 240$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…5505backed Under | 49c | 215$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Over | 53c | 213.21$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6b…fd54backed Under | 49c | 209$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b85…300fbacked Under | 49c | 209$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Over | 50c | 208.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.66 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e45…49c6backed Under | 49c | 207$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5122…3ba9backed Over | 51c | 204$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb33…c64bbacked Over | 51c | 201$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +175.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb58e…69e4backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…e124backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 166 | 48.2%80 W · 86 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x805e…e345backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b9…9ce4backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 315 | 40.6%128 W · 187 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e57…47a7backed Over | 51c | 197$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbecd…9df4backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6262…8c43backed Under | 49c | 196$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x180f…b456backed Under | 49c | 194$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…df78backed Over | 52c | 194$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.88 | 208 | 51%106 W · 102 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c45…de15backed Under | 49c | 194$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x096c…0e66backed Over | 51c | 193$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…5e8dbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef24…8273backed Under | 49c | 188$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b3…4e42backed Under | 49c | 188$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 187$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.5 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a7…cd16backed Over | 51c | 187$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3221…4e49backed Over | 51c | 186$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea1…f41dbacked Over | 51c | 183$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b74…abdcbacked Under | 49c | 182$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4308…9d1cbacked Over | 51c | 180$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf61…93b8backed Over | 51c | 180$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61c9…01c9backed Under | 49c | 176$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.76 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.39per pick | 41cpaid | +221.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd03f…11debacked Over | 51c | 173$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4319…ef66backed Over | 50c | 170$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2783…f64bbacked Over | 51c | 165$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b91…ae77backed Under | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 48c | 142$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.84 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 48c | 142$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.84 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 52c | 141$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.73 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf275…7050backed Under | 50c | 128.73$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.97 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7555…ce17backed Under | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2422backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 162 | 43.8%71 W · 91 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd73…3cc4backed Under | 49c | 101.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b79…3c8cbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 268 | 57.1%153 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raiders vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5this page
- 1H Spread: Broncos (-4.5)Raiders won
- 1H Spread: Broncos (-6.5)Raiders won
- Raiders vs. BroncosBroncos won
- Raiders vs. Broncos: 1H O/U 20.5Under won
- Raiders vs. Broncos: 1H O/U 21.5Under won
- Raiders vs. Broncos: O/U 41.5Under won
- Spread: Broncos (-10.5)Raiders won
- Spread: Broncos (-8.5)Raiders won
- Spread: Broncos (-9.5)Raiders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.