NFL · resolved market
Raiders vs. Broncos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a073dba2d819e790bac00f78b3bcc8cf0d408ca9ca7a6430ff4ec3669753c70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Broncosof Raiders, Broncos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,186,332
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,124,522
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,186,332 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 662 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Raiders | 21c | 1,254,538$260,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260,158.73 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Raiders | 19c | 377,927$71,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,806.17 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Raiders | 19c | 270,318$51,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,360.48 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Broncos | 79c | 240,910$190,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,000.2 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed Raiders | 19c | 195,377$36,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,520.11 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…817ebacked Raiders | 20c | 145,132$28,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,415.61 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Broncos | 79c | 133,145$105,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,960.5 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Broncos | 80c | 118,717$94,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,743.47 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Raiders | 19c | 103,959$19,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,725.55 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Broncos | 73c | 86,864$63,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,334.09 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Broncos | 80c | 73,739$58,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,108.69 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Broncos | 78c | 71,207$55,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,653.43 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Raiders | 24c | 51,878$12,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,706.82 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Raiders | 18c | 49,117$8,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,731.94 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Raiders | 35c | 47,471$16,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,512.58 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Raiders | 18c | 46,619$8,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,311.59 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Raiders | 19c | 40,000$7,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,599.98 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Broncos | 78c | 33,358$26,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,283.59 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Broncos | 60c | 32,234$19,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,865.62 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Broncos | 78c | 31,892$24,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,016.27 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Raiders | 29c | 31,239$9,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,094.45 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Raiders | 19c | 30,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,699.99 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Broncos | 80c | 30,000$24,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,999.97 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Broncos | 79c | 29,500$23,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,286.65 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Broncos | 62c | 26,597$16,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,106.98 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Broncos | 68c | 25,741$17,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,287.17 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…1556backed Broncos | 57c | 23,692$13,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,244.4 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd52…0001backed Broncos | 76c | 23,454$17,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,703.61 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Broncos | 78c | 22,318$17,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,917.23 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Broncos | 79c | 20,567$16,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,319.14 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Broncos | 80c | 20,000$16,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Raiders | 30c | 20,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Broncos | 68c | 19,800$13,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,366.04 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Raiders | 48c | 19,094$9,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,254.78 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Broncos | 76c | 18,578$14,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,458.67 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Broncos | 58c | 17,069$9,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,169.05 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Broncos | 80c | 15,687$12,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,147.13 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Raiders | 7c | 15,068$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.49 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Broncos | 80c | 15,000$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 39 | 79.5%31 W · 8 L | +7.2wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Broncos | 80c | 13,746$10,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,749.26 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd76e…225bbacked Raiders | 20c | 13,083$2,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,616.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Broncos | 78c | 13,000$10,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,860 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…082dbacked Raiders | 20c | 12,631$2,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,528.91 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Raiders | 25c | 12,372$3,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,096.94 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed Broncos | 57c | 11,540$6,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,962.35 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…70dabacked Broncos | 77c | 11,024$8,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,586.59 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Broncos | 79c | 10,351$8,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,173.63 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Raiders | 17c | 10,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.96 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596e…7b82backed Broncos | 80c | 9,838$7,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,967.62 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Raiders | 30c | 9,494$2,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,854.58 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc07c…c4b7backed Raiders | 19c | 8,947$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Raiders | 34c | 7,869$2,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,639.46 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Broncos | 67c | 7,785$5,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,568.46 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Raiders | 26c | 7,629$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Broncos | 76c | 7,104$5,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,728.97 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked Broncos | 79c | 6,983$5,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.43 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Broncos | 71c | 6,946$4,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,005.7 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…da55backed Raiders | 18c | 6,500$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x132a…abe8backed Raiders | 25c | 6,149$1,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.3 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Raiders | 20c | 6,105$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebaa…992ebacked Raiders | 20c | 6,101$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4635…9f6fbacked Broncos | 65c | 6,027$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,106.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Raiders | 1c | 6,022$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.22 | 148 | 6.8%10 W · 138 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +296.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe965…6559backed Broncos | 75c | 5,893$4,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.59 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…7295backed Broncos | 78c | 5,878$4,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.52 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Broncos | 79c | 5,853$4,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.43 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Broncos | 61c | 5,783$3,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,265.12 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked Broncos | 68c | 5,385$3,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725.05 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe81…5fe9backed Broncos | 77c | 5,037$3,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.18 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc96a…9c0fbacked Raiders | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8abd…a8c8backed Raiders | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Broncos | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 68cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3b99backed Raiders | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Raiders | 21c | 4,951$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.61 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c86…c4f6backed Broncos | 62c | 4,856$3,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850.61 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0b…ef7bbacked Raiders | 25c | 4,798$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +133.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9325…f40abacked Raiders | 18c | 4,700$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Broncos | 80c | 4,624$3,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.86 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Raiders | 33c | 4,518$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.98 | 276 | 44.2%122 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Raiders | 20c | 4,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Broncos | 78c | 4,362$3,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.93 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked Raiders | 20c | 4,250$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Broncos | 59c | 4,217$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,716.67 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Broncos | 72c | 4,139$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.34 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…353fbacked Raiders | 18c | 4,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Broncos | 80c | 4,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2c…bba5backed Broncos | 80c | 3,996$3,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Broncos | 71c | 3,974$2,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.97 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed Broncos | 76c | 3,947$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.37 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Broncos | 64c | 3,916$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.81 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Broncos | 71c | 3,763$2,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.99 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…a9f2backed Raiders | 20c | 3,750$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2669…ac68backed Raiders | 18c | 3,554$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Raiders | 19c | 3,531$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.28 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed Broncos | 80c | 3,268$2,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.62 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Broncos | 80c | 3,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Broncos | 76c | 3,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Broncos | 79c | 2,856$2,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.76 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Raiders | 20c | 2,821$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.64 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Broncos | 79c | 2,815$2,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.3 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raiders vs. Broncosthis page
- 1H Spread: Broncos (-4.5)Raiders won
- 1H Spread: Broncos (-6.5)Raiders won
- Raiders vs. Broncos: 1H O/U 20.5Under won
- Raiders vs. Broncos: 1H O/U 21.5Under won
- Raiders vs. Broncos: O/U 41.5Under won
- Raiders vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5Under won
- Spread: Broncos (-10.5)Raiders won
- Spread: Broncos (-8.5)Raiders won
- Spread: Broncos (-9.5)Raiders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.