TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2669…ac68

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
38
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Dota2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 54 out of 100; worst Champions League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.3
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.84
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$11.72
Pelicans vs. Mavericksbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,388Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+119.7%+$2,859.36
Nets vs. Pacersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,506Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+56.8%+$855.54
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Suns vs. Warriorsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Heat vs. Clippersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,578Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+194.1%+$3,063.6
Lakers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+293.2%+$1,178.06
Jazz vs. Celticsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+212.5%+$275.95
Timberwolves vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,505Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$1,505.46
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,426Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$2,425.51
Spurs vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+78.6%+$785.71
All 14 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+58%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$652Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$651.78
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$436Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$229.86
Dota 2: GLYPH vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.44
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$383.87
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$23.41
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+424.2%+$193.33
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+499.1%+$289.45
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$61.77
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$465Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$465
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$432.52
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST50%0 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+87.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,252Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+61.3%+$767.25
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,078Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+114%+$1,229.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
PortlandFire vs. New York Libertybacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$67.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 12-15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$49.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raiders vs. Broncosbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$639.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$67.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$105.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.