TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: GLYPH vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
PARIVISIONof GLYPH, PARIVISION
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$239,008
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$277,905

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $239,008 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd3b0…329ebacked PARIVISION80c30,000$23,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,060.9480056%448 W · 352 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3837…c6b0backed PARIVISION80c12,475$9,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,494.95560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed GLYPH19c11,422$2,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,198.8845139.2%177 W · 274 L+0.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked GLYPH20c7,359$1,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,435.631,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf991…3965backed GLYPH24c6,826$1,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,615.5731248.4%151 W · 161 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked GLYPH20c6,571$1,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,314.2817452.3%91 W · 83 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed GLYPH18c6,558$1,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,194.6977941.1%320 W · 459 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked GLYPH20c6,103$1,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,213.881,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked PARIVISION79c6,086$4,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,278.0828159.8%168 W · 113 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed GLYPH19c6,039$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,160.281,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb234…1c20backed GLYPH18c5,810$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.8929042.1%122 W · 168 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed GLYPH21c5,788$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,210.19636.5%35 W · 61 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa7a4…5ca1backed GLYPH19c5,253$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked GLYPH16c5,006$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.9841944.2%185 W · 234 L-1.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed GLYPH21c4,951$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.7592846.2%429 W · 499 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef62…cf76backed GLYPH18c4,227$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74543344.8%194 W · 239 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad69…7397backed GLYPH18c4,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.9851140.3%206 W · 305 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed GLYPH20c3,600$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.9981029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f45…a77abacked GLYPH20c3,539$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.595244.2%23 W · 29 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-21.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe077…f5eebacked GLYPH18c3,394$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61113442.5%57 W · 77 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed GLYPH18c3,289$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.0445750.8%232 W · 225 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed GLYPH19c3,158$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60096357.3%552 W · 411 L+48.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed GLYPH18c3,053$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.5922848.2%110 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed PARIVISION76c3,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72069644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed GLYPH20c2,500$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50046451.5%239 W · 225 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x47bd…bc9dbacked GLYPH18c2,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45041055.6%228 W · 182 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked GLYPH15c2,492$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.221,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cd2…f5c4backed PARIVISION80c2,250$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4507864.1%50 W · 28 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked PARIVISION80c2,239$1,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.1517146.2%79 W · 92 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked GLYPH1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201153.5%4 W · 111 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-88.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked GLYPH17c1,678$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.281,27045.1%573 W · 697 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked GLYPH22c1,500$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.9917133.9%58 W · 113 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed GLYPH18c1,470$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.630336.6%111 W · 192 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d86…a6f9backed GLYPH24c1,120$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.0410040%40 W · 60 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe84a…702dbacked GLYPH18c1,089$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19615949.7%79 W · 80 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43e2…9aeebacked GLYPH18c1,008$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.521838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-24.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked GLYPH19c1,003$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.2289749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed GLYPH19c1,002$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.4468649.7%341 W · 345 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed GLYPH20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020145.3%91 W · 110 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x009b…26dabacked GLYPH17c999.98$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17021144.1%93 W · 118 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf34b…bcb3backed GLYPH18c943$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.7458156.6%329 W · 252 L+27.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked GLYPH18c888$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.8150749.7%252 W · 255 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed GLYPH10c857.86$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8596245.5%438 W · 524 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked GLYPH17c836.32$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.0294442.3%399 W · 545 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed GLYPH18c807$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.3361548.8%300 W · 315 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eab…d4bfbacked GLYPH5c802.74$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.472119%4 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick17cpaid-54%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa0b…2debbacked GLYPH18c800$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14419547.7%93 W · 102 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked GLYPH16c790.44$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.4736547.7%174 W · 191 L-1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2707…744fbacked PARIVISION78c749.99$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.51637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-36.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked PARIVISION76c746.42$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.1426846.6%125 W · 143 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked GLYPH12c696.37$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.851,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed GLYPH3c691.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.846132.1%13 W · 600 L-23.4wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2613…8527backed GLYPH16c689.08$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.731838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f3…becfbacked GLYPH12c672.22$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-38%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked GLYPH17c671.99$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.061,15147.8%550 W · 601 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d1f…6465backed GLYPH20c659.64$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.93911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.28per pick39cpaid-82.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed PARIVISION80c623.12$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.6222363.2%141 W · 82 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeedc…41d9backed PARIVISION79c618.14$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.63666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32e3…3a5cbacked GLYPH17c609.99$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.712146.3%56 W · 65 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed GLYPH20c600$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d8e…735bbacked PARIVISION80c600$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12010766.4%71 W · 36 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed PARIVISION77c588$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.2488539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked GLYPH18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10048539.2%190 W · 295 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked GLYPH18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,89447.7%903 W · 991 L+6.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa949…7f5bbacked GLYPH18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019849%97 W · 101 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d9…c3cabacked GLYPH17c554.98$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.944149.4%218 W · 223 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed GLYPH20c550$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11012536%45 W · 80 L-11.6wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-23.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x614b…ca37backed PARIVISION78c510.9$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.413459.7%80 W · 54 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed GLYPH18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6dc…12ecbacked GLYPH20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003542.9%15 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked PARIVISION80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1006744.8%30 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf27…026fbacked PARIVISION80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10065863.1%415 W · 243 L+17.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d42…cde0backed GLYPH18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905038%19 W · 31 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked PARIVISION77c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11532951.7%170 W · 159 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed GLYPH19c499.99$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9565441.9%274 W · 380 L-1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed GLYPH19c499.99$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9460251.2%308 W · 294 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed GLYPH19c499.99$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9529143.6%127 W · 164 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed PARIVISION80c489$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.87349.3%36 W · 37 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f04…1d79backed GLYPH19c399.97$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.8411331.9%36 W · 77 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked GLYPH18c390$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.213943.2%60 W · 79 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe075…bf89backed GLYPH18c388.89$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11e7…f559backed GLYPH20c377.23$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.764839.6%19 W · 29 L-6.5wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-31.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed GLYPH20c375$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757440.5%30 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbc9…6d89backed GLYPH19c370$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.92933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa83f…b857backed PARIVISION78c357.74$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.76547.7%31 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+34.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaaf…051bbacked PARIVISION77c353$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.192268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd717…3e33backed GLYPH22c350$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-65.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1190…936abacked PARIVISION78c350$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+22.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x022c…bf19backed GLYPH21c343$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked GLYPH18c328.52$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.252,36747.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L+17.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed GLYPH14c322.54$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1654246.7%253 W · 289 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b6d…dbbbbacked GLYPH23c300$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ef9…34c3backed PARIVISION80c300$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd49…3096backed GLYPH17c289.97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.55424.1%13 W · 41 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf49a…8981backed GLYPH19c286.16$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.376947.8%33 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dde…cff5backed GLYPH18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5033644%148 W · 188 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed PARIVISION77c272$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.561,24744.4%554 W · 693 L+17.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…b74fbacked GLYPH9c270.83$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258848.9%43 W · 45 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd3a…3203backed GLYPH21c261.5$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.924850%24 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7437…e1e9backed GLYPH20c254.81$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505135.3%18 W · 33 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.