TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6b97…b74f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
148
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Dota2, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 53 out of 100; worst Premier League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT8848.9%43 W · 45 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 88 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$76.33
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$628Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$627.92
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$110.38
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$90.43
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$108.45
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.84
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$501.05
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$121.15
Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked HULIGANI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.43
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.47
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$125.6
Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.63
Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.99
Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$47.77
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs OG - Game 1 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 1 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+153.4%+$42.96
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$23.53
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.76
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.73
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.88
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.79
Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Poor Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+234.1%+$434.37
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.26
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$410.47
Showing 25 of 88 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT4443.2%19 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$374.16
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$205.37
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Betclic Apogee Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Betclic Apogee Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+47.4%+$31.64
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$23.02
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.9
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.68
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$358.01
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+113%+$255.6
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$100.45
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$53.67
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$58.22
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.34
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+300%+$300
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+108%+$48.62
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$38.18
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks - Map 2 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$25.84
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+61.2%+$189.68
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 2 Winnerbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.65
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.88
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.07
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+117%+$86.94
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.62
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.21
Ismaïla Sarr: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$25.61
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$10.21
Norway vs. France: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$15.91
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
England vs. Ghana: England O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$202.95
All 11 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$49.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 328: Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Grant Dawson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.