Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf582a26dc28843817147187c9ee891916a42fe90e8b6e84f9350f8ef72753fdf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- L1ga Teamof L1ga Team, PlayTime
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $609,540
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $729,903
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $609,540 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 424 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PlayTime | 62c | 98,120$60,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,988.96 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed PlayTime | 59c | 23,796$14,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,064.01 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked L1ga Team | 37c | 20,000$7,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,600 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked L1ga Team | 33c | 15,100$4,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,131.91 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed PlayTime | 65c | 13,420$8,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,679.72 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed PlayTime | 62c | 11,754$7,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,297.03 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed L1ga Team | 51c | 11,409$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,608.63 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed L1ga Team | 50c | 11,228$5,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,559.79 | 471 | 46.1%217 W · 254 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked PlayTime | 39c | 8,602$3,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,324.61 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked L1ga Team | 39c | 8,484$3,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,162.2 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked L1ga Team | 38c | 7,872$2,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,879.73 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed L1ga Team | 57c | 7,777$4,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,344.11 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked L1ga Team | 36c | 7,717$2,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,907.57 | 944 | 42.3%399 W · 545 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked L1ga Team | 35c | 7,530$2,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,866.15 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed L1ga Team | 50c | 7,462$3,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,741.03 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked L1ga Team | 44c | 6,958$3,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,910.33 | 1,270 | 45.1%573 W · 697 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed PlayTime | 52c | 6,731$3,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,518.55 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed PlayTime | 70c | 6,666$4,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,666.18 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed L1ga Team | 39c | 6,296$2,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,839.69 | 474 | 50.8%241 W · 233 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed L1ga Team | 59c | 6,151$3,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550.18 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked L1ga Team | 36c | 6,000$2,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,857.88 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed L1ga Team | 56c | 5,124$2,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,262.89 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked PlayTime | 53c | 5,070$2,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,684.37 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked L1ga Team | 36c | 5,000$1,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,201.91 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a46…8112backed L1ga Team | 58c | 4,373$2,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,848.62 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked L1ga Team | 48c | 4,057$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,091.76 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked PlayTime | 63c | 4,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…6427backed L1ga Team | 70c | 3,962$2,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.64 | 77 | 70.1%54 W · 23 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…f65bbacked L1ga Team | 37c | 3,918$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,482.38 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked L1ga Team | 67c | 3,752$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.36 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked L1ga Team | 58c | 3,677$2,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.14 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed PlayTime | 47c | 3,600$1,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,692.98 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed L1ga Team | 30c | 3,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked L1ga Team | 58c | 3,200$1,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.98 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed L1ga Team | 29c | 3,034$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,164.53 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb2…5c04backed PlayTime | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed L1ga Team | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.99 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…2b13backed L1ga Team | 60c | 2,810$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.23 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed PlayTime | 68c | 2,666$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked PlayTime | 63c | 2,562$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625.07 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed L1ga Team | 38c | 2,526$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573.86 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a6…03abbacked L1ga Team | 59c | 2,487$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.78 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed L1ga Team | 46c | 2,450$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked PlayTime | 58c | 2,257$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.66 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed PlayTime | 58c | 2,249$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.35 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed PlayTime | 62c | 2,200$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.99 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed L1ga Team | 43c | 2,118$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.1 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed PlayTime | 67c | 2,118$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.89 | 795 | 59.4%472 W · 323 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed PlayTime | 31c | 2,115$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.55 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked L1ga Team | 58c | 2,088$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.14 | 195 | 47.7%93 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed PlayTime | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed L1ga Team | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.94 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed PlayTime | 71c | 1,968$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.61 | 963 | 57.3%552 W · 411 L | +48.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebb9…1d15backed L1ga Team | 31c | 1,945$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.84 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc592…1ccebacked L1ga Team | 42c | 1,900$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.6 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed PlayTime | 61c | 1,881$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.95 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | +20.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed PlayTime | 44c | 1,861$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.08 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2503…bb1cbacked L1ga Team | 65c | 1,852$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.73 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked L1ga Team | 37c | 1,844$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.43 | 612 | 56%343 W · 269 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked L1ga Team | 36c | 1,836$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.85 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked L1ga Team | 35c | 1,800$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.5 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed PlayTime | 64c | 1,800$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.7 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed PlayTime | 63c | 1,701$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.63 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed PlayTime | 43c | 1,695$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.51 | 679 | 32.5%221 W · 458 L | -27.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb238…4961backed L1ga Team | 48c | 1,676$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.68 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed L1ga Team | 36c | 1,630$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.3 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed L1ga Team | 79c | 1,621$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.66 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed L1ga Team | 40c | 1,600$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.44 | 241 | 54.8%132 W · 109 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…1ea1backed PlayTime | 69c | 1,584$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.95 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked PlayTime | 50c | 1,579$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.45 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked PlayTime | 26c | 1,575$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.8 | 917 | 56.5%518 W · 399 L | +79.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked L1ga Team | 55c | 1,537$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.65 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…6fe8backed PlayTime | 70c | 1,502$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.94 | 100 | 75%75 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed L1ga Team | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed L1ga Team | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +19.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed PlayTime | 51c | 1,484$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.27 | 295 | 46.1%136 W · 159 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed L1ga Team | 47c | 1,483$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.11 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed L1ga Team | 52c | 1,422$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.64 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed PlayTime | 57c | 1,415$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.09 | 356 | 37.1%132 W · 224 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5733…4c87backed L1ga Team | 37c | 1,350$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.9 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7df4…153cbacked PlayTime | 42c | 1,335$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.26 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed L1ga Team | 35c | 1,304$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.6 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…4699backed PlayTime | 45c | 1,284$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.07 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…79b6backed PlayTime | 55c | 1,271$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked L1ga Team | 35c | 1,234$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.91 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed L1ga Team | 62c | 1,231$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.78 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed L1ga Team | 37c | 1,216$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.22 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked L1ga Team | 37c | 1,200$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.43 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…03a6backed L1ga Team | 36c | 1,105$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.6 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked L1ga Team | 46c | 1,063$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.82 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d1…a9f7backed PlayTime | 42c | 1,054$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.57 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked PlayTime | 70c | 1,052$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.29 | 791 | 59.4%470 W · 321 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af2…a2bbbacked L1ga Team | 58c | 1,044$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.31 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed L1ga Team | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked PlayTime | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked PlayTime | 42c | 1,000$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed PlayTime | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 569 | 49%279 W · 290 L | +34.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked PlayTime | 43c | 1,000$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.5 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked PlayTime | 41c | 999.99$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc156…f76cbacked L1ga Team | 57c | 936.79$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.82 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs PlayTime - Game 2 WinnerPlayTime won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.