Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c860352bf38c272137281da4842a910ece76c7d9503fa0e06bf8da968a4eb12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PlayTimeof L1ga Team, PlayTime
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $289,960
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $319,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $289,960 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PlayTime | 66c | 40,758$27,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,758.02 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed PlayTime | 69c | 23,024$15,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,162.09 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked L1ga Team | 31c | 21,504$6,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,703.03 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked PlayTime | 71c | 20,371$14,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,830.7 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked L1ga Team | 30c | 16,448$4,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,890.78 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed L1ga Team | 33c | 15,920$5,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,285.76 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed L1ga Team | 34c | 13,333$4,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,533.22 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed PlayTime | 71c | 12,138$8,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,562.15 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked L1ga Team | 34c | 10,184$3,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,508.74 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed PlayTime | 70c | 9,380$6,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,813.85 | 963 | 57.3%552 W · 411 L | +48.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed L1ga Team | 30c | 7,606$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed PlayTime | 70c | 6,397$4,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.1 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked L1ga Team | 10c | 5,765$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.54 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked L1ga Team | 12c | 5,550$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.59 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed PlayTime | 70c | 5,500$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.99 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed L1ga Team | 23c | 5,489$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.14 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…5667backed L1ga Team | 31c | 5,013$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555.2 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked L1ga Team | 28c | 5,000$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.12 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e0…6ec6backed L1ga Team | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed PlayTime | 71c | 4,888$3,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.39 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked L1ga Team | 32c | 4,450$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…f65bbacked L1ga Team | 23c | 4,402$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked L1ga Team | 11c | 4,339$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked L1ga Team | 28c | 4,107$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.46 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed L1ga Team | 27c | 4,000$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.69 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed PlayTime | 65c | 3,943$2,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.91 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…bb53backed L1ga Team | 34c | 3,858$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.68 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5733…4c87backed L1ga Team | 35c | 3,775$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.71 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed PlayTime | 71c | 3,044$2,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.8 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb2…5c04backed L1ga Team | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed L1ga Team | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed PlayTime | 71c | 2,800$1,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked PlayTime | 71c | 2,573$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.3 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed L1ga Team | 11c | 2,273$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 145 | 57.9%84 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed L1ga Team | 8c | 2,105$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.06 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed PlayTime | 71c | 2,061$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.6 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…b9b4backed L1ga Team | 5c | 2,009$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed L1ga Team | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked PlayTime | 69c | 2,000$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.81 | 1,151 | 47.8%550 W · 601 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked L1ga Team | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed L1ga Team | 31c | 2,000$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.49 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed PlayTime | 70c | 1,987$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.1 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked L1ga Team | 25c | 1,714$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked L1ga Team | 29c | 1,689$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.23 | 944 | 42.3%399 W · 545 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed L1ga Team | 30c | 1,658$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.25 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3886…b492backed L1ga Team | 2c | 1,570$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked L1ga Team | 35c | 1,570$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.97 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked L1ga Team | 5c | 1,568$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed PlayTime | 69c | 1,544$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.45 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c52…1a59backed PlayTime | 66c | 1,436$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.24 | 63 | 74.6%47 W · 16 L | +9.6wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked PlayTime | 70c | 1,400$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.95 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked L1ga Team | 29c | 1,365$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.63 | 1,270 | 45.1%573 W · 697 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed L1ga Team | 31c | 1,309$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.02 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed PlayTime | 71c | 1,272$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.4 | 211 | 58.3%123 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked PlayTime | 72c | 1,206$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.04 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed L1ga Team | 1c | 1,182$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed L1ga Team | 10c | 1,117$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.74 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked L1ga Team | 30c | 1,104$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed L1ga Team | 32c | 1,100$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 1,247 | 44.4%554 W · 693 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed PlayTime | 73c | 1,089$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.68 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed L1ga Team | 25c | 1,087$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.5 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b34…e95dbacked L1ga Team | 25c | 1,050$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebb9…1d15backed L1ga Team | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked PlayTime | 71c | 1,025$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.98 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked PlayTime | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 666 | 48.6%324 W · 342 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc564…e89dbacked PlayTime | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed L1ga Team | 9c | 999.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32c3…5b4ebacked L1ga Team | 34c | 942$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.28 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…2ef4backed L1ga Team | 10c | 930.88$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed PlayTime | 66c | 909.99$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.4 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed L1ga Team | 29c | 881.99$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.78 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed L1ga Team | 28c | 857.88$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.21 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed PlayTime | 65c | 855.77$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.52 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed L1ga Team | 29c | 800$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked PlayTime | 66c | 799.99$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.99 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb7…7028backed L1ga Team | 19c | 787.88$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b1…1b71backed L1ga Team | 32c | 772.22$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.8 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked L1ga Team | 31c | 749.3$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.87 | 301 | 55.5%167 W · 134 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed L1ga Team | 2c | 700$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 324 | 3.1%10 W · 314 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed PlayTime | 65c | 700$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc592…1ccebacked PlayTime | 64c | 700$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…f5eebacked L1ga Team | 32c | 656.67$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed PlayTime | 70c | 609$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.9 | 410 | 50.2%206 W · 204 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c65…2e0dbacked L1ga Team | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…8a5ebacked L1ga Team | 31c | 566.23$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.53 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed L1ga Team | 34c | 539.91$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.44 | 928 | 46.2%429 W · 499 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e6…9c8abacked PlayTime | 65c | 512.31$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.31 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked L1ga Team | 5c | 504.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked L1ga Team | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.56 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed L1ga Team | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f2…aeb7backed L1ga Team | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked L1ga Team | 10c | 499.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 145 | 15.2%22 W · 123 L | -16.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…eabbbacked L1ga Team | 34c | 499.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked PlayTime | 68c | 499.99$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.15 | 290 | 47.9%139 W · 151 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8408backed L1ga Team | 34c | 494.76$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.5 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6478…c969backed PlayTime | 72c | 449$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.72 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e12…e867backed L1ga Team | 32c | 442.06$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.46 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa2…6df9backed PlayTime | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed PlayTime | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked PlayTime | 71c | 421.41$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.12 | 395 | 50.1%198 W · 197 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs PlayTime - Game 1 WinnerL1ga Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.