TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
9zof 9z, magic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$330,669
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$364,715

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $330,669 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 326 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x880b…c98bbacked magic43c26,090$11,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,187.3841340.2%166 W · 247 L-2.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked 9z49c25,000$12,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,749.9877052.7%406 W · 364 L+28.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed magic51c20,000$10,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,189.0121548.4%104 W · 111 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x31b0…8bf3backed 9z50c12,810$6,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,423.14136.6%15 W · 26 L-5.5wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-30.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x634a…6de3backed magic50c11,979$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,999.8342751.5%220 W · 207 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4189backed magic48c10,029$4,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,804.6433452.1%174 W · 160 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed 9z53c10,000$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,70082143%353 W · 468 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked magic52c8,750$4,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,593.3325655.5%142 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf054…eae7backed magic30c8,439$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5006737.3%25 W · 42 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked magic16c8,430$1,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,348.8518950.8%96 W · 93 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0562…18a4backed magic31c7,275$2,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,276.6720947.8%100 W · 109 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked 9z48c6,874$3,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,549.6616245.1%73 W · 89 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked 9z63c6,372$3,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,379.442,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked 9z64c6,344$4,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,259.613,25950.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L+98.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed 9z48c5,555$2,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,888.5988242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed magic46c5,250$2,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,41528248.9%138 W · 144 L+21.4wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed 9z57c5,000$2,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,157.781,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked 9z55c5,000$2,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,228.072,22347.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L-5.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed 9z64c4,704$2,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,714.6287847.9%421 W · 457 L+16.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed 9z50c4,659$2,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,317.4864652.8%341 W · 305 L+26.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2a5…391cbacked 9z51c4,422$2,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,166.910550.5%53 W · 52 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d1d…8b42backed 9z59c3,800$2,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,552.621566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf424…9723backed 9z76c3,707$2,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.9521135.5%75 W · 136 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4068…aeb1backed 9z57c3,604$2,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,549.72850%14 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked magic42c3,520$1,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,471.151,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed 9z68c3,441$2,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,113.874,23849.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L+60.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed 9z49c3,355$1,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,717.9153746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked magic46c3,302$1,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,503.9476657.8%443 W · 323 L+3.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked 9z58c3,000$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,260.283,23651.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L+88.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed 9z66c2,995$1,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.3240558.8%238 W · 167 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4568…d9f6backed magic33c2,989$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.471241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd9d…f409backed magic29c2,935$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.352944.8%13 W · 16 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda1a…3407backed magic46c2,789$1,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,276.4428960.6%175 W · 114 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked magic49c2,765$1,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,354.8765950.4%332 W · 327 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…56efbacked 9z50c2,711$1,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,362.8611249.1%55 W · 57 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed 9z67c2,680$1,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.391,43139%558 W · 873 L-41.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked 9z54c2,647$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,226.7632542.2%137 W · 188 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f91fbacked 9z68c2,600$1,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8321100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed magic46c2,574$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.213545.9%62 W · 73 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed magic33c2,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82551252.3%268 W · 244 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked magic19c2,500$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.9961228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked 9z60c2,216$1,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.041,26346.9%592 W · 671 L+18.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked 9z51c2,200$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0781,02052.2%532 W · 488 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde19…3a14backed magic47c2,119$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012552.8%66 W · 59 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed magic37c2,041$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.85,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked 9z62c2,006$1,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.972,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a5e…8fd0backed magic52c1,982$1,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030.8622444.2%99 W · 125 L-16.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed 9z54c1,877$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.62,09241.6%871 W · 1,221 L-50.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x83b3…b3a2backed 9z51c1,859$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.118547%87 W · 98 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70dc…1783backed magic52c1,849$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.461650%8 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked 9z47c1,844$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.3210837%40 W · 68 L-0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c1b…de56backed magic37c1,802$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65910442.3%44 W · 60 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed magic32c1,762$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.8855845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc68…f899backed 9z57c1,727$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.024047.5%19 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed magic16c1,682$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.3722750.2%114 W · 113 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x835b…6f16backed 9z61c1,605$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.433748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+22.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed 9z50c1,509$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.4420249%99 W · 103 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed 9z55c1,500$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.9945455.1%250 W · 204 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed magic47c1,435$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.752,64551.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L+21.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked magic53c1,412$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.8815153.6%81 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed magic47c1,398$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.3797240.7%396 W · 576 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed magic42c1,381$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.1418543.8%81 W · 104 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked 9z61c1,350$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.51,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked 9z57c1,345$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.641,62944.8%730 W · 899 L+4.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc50c…fe5dbacked 9z75c1,325$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.384660.9%28 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed 9z73c1,296$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.2339468%268 W · 126 L+26.1wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+3.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked magic49c1,251$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.761,16748.2%562 W · 605 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed magic11c1,250$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.541716.5%69 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed 9z63c1,230$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.826,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed 9z58c1,225$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.520842.8%89 W · 119 L-14.6wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked 9z40c1,224$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.195,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed magic40c1,200$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.811,28322%282 W · 1,001 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed 9z56c1,192$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.361,37766.4%914 W · 463 L+77.0wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2662…3f84backed magic47c1,067$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020958.9%123 W · 86 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x681b…3d79backed 9z60c1,039$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.764546.7%21 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed magic42c1,010$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.2315436.4%56 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed magic50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014839.2%58 W · 90 L-15.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-29.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3741…517ebacked magic38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38019741.6%82 W · 115 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed 9z53c999.97$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.9928738%109 W · 178 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed magic51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,17854.5%642 W · 536 L-36.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked magic46c980.27$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.155843.5%243 W · 315 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72a6…cfefbacked 9z50c970$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4851681.3%13 W · 3 L+5.2wins+0.33per pick49cpaid+64.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed magic36c962.39$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.724,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0188…91babacked magic52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002142.9%9 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89bd…cc95backed magic39c950$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.07911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick33cpaid-55.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed magic41c925.01$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.1418442.9%79 W · 105 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed 9z60c924.67$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.8748939.7%194 W · 295 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d14dbacked 9z51c908$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.7411952.1%62 W · 57 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb378…e4c0backed magic5c900$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4538312.8%49 W · 334 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7efc…bea6backed 9z50c887.26$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.632931%9 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-41.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc064…6fa8backed magic22c856.49$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.3419658.2%114 W · 82 L+11.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c63…3cbbbacked magic52c852.25$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.1746565.6%305 W · 160 L+0.5wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x495d…68d8backed 9z49c816.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.3317754.8%97 W · 80 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6305…9d0bbacked 9z63c796.31$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe034…4fa9backed 9z59c794.37$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.461872.2%13 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick68cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed 9z60c765.74$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.641,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked magic33c755.29$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25053545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa033…4938backed 9z58c754$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.688545.9%39 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecee…a577backed 9z69c750$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.228226.8%22 W · 60 L-7.3wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-39.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2412…55a2backed 9z50c750$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3752240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.