TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
magicof 9z, magic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$263,650
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$298,359

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $263,650 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 318 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x634a…6de3backed 9z65c12,324$8,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,010.6642651.6%220 W · 206 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked 9z61c11,996$7,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,318.4341040%164 W · 246 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4189backed 9z25c11,349$2,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,842.5433452.1%174 W · 160 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19a3…6748backed 9z0c11,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed magic35c9,188$3,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,972.8721048.1%101 W · 109 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed magic39c8,379$3,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,11119643.4%85 W · 111 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed magic68c7,638$5,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,453.511,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed magic52c6,482$3,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,117.2481843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed magic70c5,750$4,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,698.154,22049.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L+61.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0562…18a4backed 9z56c5,370$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00020448.5%99 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83b3…b3a2backed 9z48c4,750$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,279.8118547%87 W · 98 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed 9z22c4,439$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.125,26231.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L-381.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked magic71c3,937$2,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,142.892,20547.6%1,049 W · 1,156 L-4.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8718…5040backed magic79c3,776$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.418670.9%61 W · 25 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked magic59c3,471$2,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.863,25650.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L+97.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecee…a577backed magic43c3,143$1,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,777.598226.8%22 W · 60 L-7.3wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-39.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked magic67c3,049$2,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.253,21751.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L+89.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed magic70c2,947$2,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.721,39638.9%543 W · 853 L-41.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c1b…de56backed magic37c2,685$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,685.2110442.3%44 W · 60 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e29…8931backed 9z65c2,646$1,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,707.231136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid+48.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35fb…e8aebacked magic67c2,500$1,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed 9z66c2,349$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,55048350.9%246 W · 237 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed magic46c2,132$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,156.555043.1%237 W · 313 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe72b…3c9cbacked 9z54c2,087$1,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.0828657.7%165 W · 121 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked 9z26c2,054$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.042,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked magic34c2,008$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.549343%40 W · 53 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked magic33c2,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,339.9875145.4%341 W · 410 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0188…91babacked magic43c1,894$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.21947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed 9z64c1,701$1,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,083.840558.8%238 W · 167 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked 9z27c1,651$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.011,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed 9z64c1,604$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.2545646.9%214 W · 242 L-1.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x611a…e171backed 9z66c1,600$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05617460.3%105 W · 69 L+0.7wins0.00per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed 9z65c1,600$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04051252.3%268 W · 244 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0c…51dbbacked magic42c1,434$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.1740148.4%194 W · 207 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked magic61c1,355$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.4265250.5%329 W · 323 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a5e…8fd0backed 9z67c1,348$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90022444.2%99 W · 125 L-16.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked magic36c1,300$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.9919346.1%89 W · 104 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked magic34c1,294$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.4861228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed magic33c1,285$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.1960853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5453…a834backed 9z25c1,280$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.731654.7%173 W · 143 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89bd…cc95backed 9z14c1,250$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick33cpaid-55.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked magic39c1,228$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.2163341.9%265 W · 368 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e69…7f76backed 9z51c1,200$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.9932346.1%149 W · 174 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked 9z47c1,192$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.255,02855%2,763 W · 2,265 L+112.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b14…039bbacked magic76c1,190$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.0211871.2%84 W · 34 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfd9d…f409backed 9z33c1,178$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.732944.8%13 W · 16 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked magic37c1,155$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.6417250.6%87 W · 85 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d1d…8b42backed 9z64c1,154$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.351566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed 9z25c1,139$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.4287047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed magic43c1,097$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.842,61051.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L+16.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked magic44c1,082$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.3755843.5%243 W · 315 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed 9z65c1,069$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70014839.2%58 W · 90 L-15.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-29.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked 9z34c1,054$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.212,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked magic76c1,027$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.794,66143.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed 9z27c1,020$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.146,46642.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L-78.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb775…36f5backed 9z60c1,018$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61122757.3%130 W · 97 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed magic42c1,009$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.272,05741.5%853 W · 1,204 L-50.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed magic38c1,000$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62032042.5%136 W · 184 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x932c…8658backed 9z21c999.98$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2107243.1%31 W · 41 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b78…e589backed magic80c953.99$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.3735861.7%221 W · 137 L+18.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x681b…3d79backed magic40c945.33$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.24546.7%21 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed magic76c921.05$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.0523354.9%128 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked magic35c855.21$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.191,15448.3%557 W · 597 L+4.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked 9z54c843.03$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.2421655.1%119 W · 97 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed magic35c800$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5201,27721.9%280 W · 997 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed 9z63c791.86$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c3a…7e08backed magic71c759.18$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.94875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked 9z67c748.88$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.4235341.6%147 W · 206 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed magic68c737.68$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.6898856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3b…9ed5backed magic43c717.13$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.761540%6 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed magic46c706.53$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.741,03739.8%413 W · 624 L+20.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed magic66c701$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.361,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed magic34c699.97$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.9841716.5%69 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31a6…0dcfbacked 9z23c650.39$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508138.3%31 W · 50 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed magic63c628.85$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.044,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed magic36c615.66$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.0348040%192 W · 288 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf424…9723backed magic48c603.21$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.9721135.5%75 W · 136 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d0c…1249backed 9z36c600$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21318338.8%71 W · 112 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc50c…fe5dbacked magic70c594.75$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.754660.9%28 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked magic50c583.38$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.252,60352.6%1,370 W · 1,233 L+97.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed magic42c581.09$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.6752951.4%272 W · 257 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked magic34c558.82$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.8253545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked magic44c550.87$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.877,89250.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L+182.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed 9z62c549.98$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.9950846.3%235 W · 273 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed 9z38c528$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.6462350.9%317 W · 306 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed magic41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2959442.6%40 W · 54 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed magic45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27528738%109 W · 178 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3d2…f38bbacked magic77c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1152152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc064…6fa8backed magic50c495.6$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.619658.2%114 W · 82 L+11.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed 9z63c476.19$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30034156.6%193 W · 148 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x847e…3c43backed 9z62c466.49$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.4929052.4%152 W · 138 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed 9z64c462.84$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.2238650.8%196 W · 190 L+11.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked magic43c455.86$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.192,59947.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L-30.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf11e…3bc1backed magic36c452$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.284949%24 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe843…0699backed 9z42c450$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.510133.7%34 W · 67 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7e3…22cbbacked magic54c447.41$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.413438.2%13 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked 9z23c445.83$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.271,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb963…3fa0backed 9z57c443.98$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.0750043%215 W · 285 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed 9z23c440$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.019542.1%40 W · 55 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+63.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb378…e4c0backed 9z66c430$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.838312.8%49 W · 334 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.