CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05d5689e3bbdbd859f0f040240e2bc07073611e6638f79c105a89bc1272442fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- magicof 9z, magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,522
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,510
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,522 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed 9z | 40c | 11,049$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,399.97 | 502 | 54.2%272 W · 230 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked magic | 61c | 8,012$4,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,123.96 | 473 | 47.1%223 W · 250 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked magic | 61c | 6,460$3,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,547.12 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6e…fa6fbacked 9z | 38c | 4,994$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked magic | 62c | 3,702$2,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.32 | 1,167 | 48.2%562 W · 605 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7002…395cbacked 9z | 41c | 3,677$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.58 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked magic | 60c | 3,333$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.33 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…fa5abacked 9z | 40c | 2,763$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed magic | 60c | 2,419$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.5 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked 9z | 38c | 2,025$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.62 | 1,629 | 44.8%730 W · 899 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed magic | 61c | 1,721$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.19 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed magic | 61c | 1,017$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.77 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d04…7e8abacked 9z | 38c | 936.92$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa50…dc15backed 9z | 36c | 930.85$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.72 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked magic | 60c | 888$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.2 | 1,146 | 49.4%566 W · 580 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked 9z | 63c | 781.62$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.42 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed magic | 37c | 621.62$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.62 | 676 | 51.8%350 W · 326 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed magic | 64c | 537.02$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.57 | 2,030 | 53.7%1,091 W · 939 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed 9z | 37c | 464.45$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.85 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x565a…3207backed 9z | 41c | 461.82$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed 9z | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 305 | 27.5%84 W · 221 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed magic | 62c | 374.19$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.19 | 214 | 63.6%136 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…20e0backed magic | 62c | 360.02$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.02 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…e44ebacked 9z | 39c | 356.44$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.01 | 149 | 39.6%59 W · 90 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed magic | 61c | 342.85$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.79 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b4…2ce6backed 9z | 39c | 325.97$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 297 | 57.6%171 W · 126 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…cb4ebacked 9z | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.75 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked magic | 69c | 283.51$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.04 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed 9z | 38c | 260.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked 9z | 40c | 251.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked 9z | 38c | 250.57$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.22 | 492 | 45.9%226 W · 266 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed 9z | 31c | 247.72$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.89 | 1,041 | 39.9%415 W · 626 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed 9z | 62c | 238.42$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.82 | 267 | 43.1%115 W · 152 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed 9z | 33c | 184.91$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.82 | 1,489 | 58%863 W · 626 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed magic | 55c | 175.6$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.47 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed 9z | 37c | 161.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 616 | 38.1%235 W · 381 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed magic | 61c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | -13.4wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8b15…a031backed 9z | 37c | 132.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.86 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed 9z | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 500 | 50.6%253 W · 247 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…dcc7backed 9z | 45c | 130.6$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.77 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked magic | 63c | 129.49$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.91 | 256 | 50.4%129 W · 127 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed 9z | 39c | 129$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.31 | 277 | 44.4%123 W · 154 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffc…cfabbacked 9z | 40c | 125.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed 9z | 36c | 116.63$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed magic | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.37 | 1,007 | 48.5%488 W · 519 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed magic | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 347 | 42.9%149 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked magic | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed magic | 63c | 88.58$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 747 | 54.6%408 W · 339 L | +15.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…48e0backed 9z | 36c | 82.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 113 | 41.6%47 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…f58fbacked magic | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…927fbacked magic | 65c | 70.79$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1783backed magic | 66c | 70.12$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed 9z | 39c | 65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 428 | 45.6%195 W · 233 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked 9z | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…ed2bbacked magic | 67c | 61.4$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed magic | 60c | 61.4$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 541 | 48.6%263 W · 278 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed magic | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7c…1439backed magic | 60c | 59.78$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.91 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked magic | 52c | 58.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 983 | 52.4%515 W · 468 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5617…a1f2backed magic | 62c | 55.84$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked magic | 62c | 52.63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 258 | 55%142 W · 116 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda0d…fb82backed 9z | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed 9z | 39c | 50.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 333 | 48.9%163 W · 170 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…11f1backed magic | 74c | 50.5$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked 9z | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed magic | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked 9z | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 206 | 46.6%96 W · 110 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed 9z | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5626…ffe5backed 9z | 39c | 49.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -53%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed magic | 62c | 42.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68d…1f62backed 9z | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…f194backed 9z | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed magic | 67c | 38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked 9z | 34c | 36.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 313 | 39.6%124 W · 189 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked 9z | 36c | 35.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 210 | 42.9%90 W · 120 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2260…ed12backed 9z | 39c | 35.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed 9z | 32c | 35.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed magic | 63c | 33.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed magic | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x846d…67b3backed 9z | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 248 | 42.7%106 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked 9z | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed magic | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa150…44ebbacked magic | 63c | 23.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f5…e0c9backed magic | 63c | 23.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dff…a435backed magic | 63c | 22.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +153.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52ab…ecebbacked magic | 67c | 21.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…c58ebacked magic | 63c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed magic | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 687 | 49.6%341 W · 346 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b92…2241backed magic | 64c | 19.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510e…b8e0backed magic | 74c | 19.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -5.0wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52c5…5878backed magic | 63c | 16.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…8a6dbacked magic | 73c | 16.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsmagic won
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 1 Winnermagic won
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 2 Winner9z won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.