TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe3f5…e0c9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
88
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: UFC, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 56 out of 100; worst La Liga at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT2245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Young Ninjas vs Misa Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #3 Group Abacked Young Ninjas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.24
Counter-Strike: Young Ninjas vs Misa Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Young Ninjas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+81.7%+$23.83
Counter-Strike: Young Ninjas vs Misa Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Young Ninjas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.39
Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs INFURITY Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Sangal ALTERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.84
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked TDK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.99
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+76.7%+$10.37
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK - Map 1 Winnerbacked TDK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.74
Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)backed magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+58.2%+$8.47
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.49
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 2 Winnerbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.81
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.97
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.41
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.59
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+56.4%+$8.17
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.36
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+69%+$10.24
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+208.3%+$31.24
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+95%+$11.39
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.49
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.9
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+48.9%+$7.02
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.07
All 22 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.18per pick44cpaid-36.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.16
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.62
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.73
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.64
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+212.2%+$56.22
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.15
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.62
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.41
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.44
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+150.9%+$22.08
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.06
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 201.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.83
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+117.8%+$16.84
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.65
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$7.69
All 15 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick59cpaid-45.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Getafe CF vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$7.07
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.02
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.38
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.18
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.45
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.17
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.64
Will SD Huesca win on 2026-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+67%+$9.38
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.16
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.66
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+18.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick34cpaid+133.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-64.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+116%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+69.1%+$20.37
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+162.9%+$24.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Viking FK win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$4.41
Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$5.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-05-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.16
Adelaide United FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+91.7%+$13.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$11.74
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.