TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-05-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$84,869
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$98,129

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,869 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed No50c6,000$2,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0301,74950.7%887 W · 862 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No48c5,681$2,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,937.5317249.4%85 W · 87 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes40c4,471$1,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,777.382,52039.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5886…fe3bbacked Yes3c4,232$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.3230%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes45c4,096$1,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,857.65,96346%2,744 W · 3,219 L+46.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78fc…8c88backed Yes6c3,200$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick11cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcff0…fa1abacked Yes9c2,650$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.5616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick14cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f70…ce77backed Yes8c2,650$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.5520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick14cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes49c2,614$1,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,277.672,52842.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L+53.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Yes7c2,450$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1721442.9%6 W · 8 L+4.8wins+0.35per pick8cpaid+320.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked Yes51c1,960$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.26per pick44cpaid+66.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4be6…dc20backed Yes7c1,859$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No50c1,600$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80018353%97 W · 86 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Yes3c1,406$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.843246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes50c1,268$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.361,76650.2%887 W · 879 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No49c1,200$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61212552.8%66 W · 59 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60012050%60 W · 60 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed Yes3c1,050$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301526.7%4 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.24per pick3cpaid+663.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5c14…68f3backed Yes7c1,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7060%0 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes52c965.4$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.844537.8%17 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No51c851.7$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.1839954.6%218 W · 181 L+16.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes51c784.31$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40016647.6%79 W · 87 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedd1…45a9backed Yes12c750$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.5728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick11cpaid+152.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No53c723.97$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.691,52254.9%835 W · 687 L+5.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No50c700$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35013154.2%71 W · 60 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No48c645.02$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.331,11649.5%552 W · 564 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fa6…1f51backed Yes47c632.23$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-46.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No49c623.28$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.1121552.1%112 W · 103 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5124…d922backed Yes7c600$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick10cpaid+108.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30017247.1%81 W · 91 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x57f7…ae57backed Yes14c600$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811957.9%11 W · 8 L+7.9wins+0.42per pick16cpaid+242.1%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No50c592$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29616856%94 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d4e…6478backed Yes41c566.58$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.581844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No49c528.7$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.971,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No50c502.26$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.171,66236.2%602 W · 1,060 L-34.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25015349.7%76 W · 77 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x750b…609fbacked Yes6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes52c480$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.618353.6%98 W · 85 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xceb1…bd4fbacked Yes7c454.32$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8944.4%4 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.38per pick6cpaid+717.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes37c402.13$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.5996846.1%446 W · 522 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20014453.5%77 W · 67 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Yes53c392.45$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2088350.6%42 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f53…acb1backed Yes3c390.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes74c389.56$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.9447155.8%263 W · 208 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20024654.1%133 W · 113 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Yes53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe867…0905backed Yes52c353.85$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18410041%41 W · 59 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No48c343.92$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.8410846.3%50 W · 58 L+8.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b76…c036backed Yes11c336.01$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.122119%4 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick19cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x156e…cf6fbacked Yes64c313.47$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.214247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15015854.4%86 W · 72 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15016152.2%84 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Yes21c286.07$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.966943.5%30 W · 39 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No42c277.66$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.7184347.7%402 W · 441 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes50c274.99$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.9930049.7%149 W · 151 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No50c260$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13015050.7%76 W · 74 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No50c260$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13014452.1%75 W · 69 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Yes52c256.62$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.243452.9%18 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No47c246.18$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.372342%304 W · 419 L-29.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes50c229.65$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.3619856.1%111 W · 87 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yes46c222$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.0847860.3%288 W · 190 L+15.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x850c…5f62backed Yes50c222$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1111266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes26c221.27$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0424448.4%118 W · 126 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed No45c210.74$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.7411839.8%47 W · 71 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Yes52c209$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.682927.6%8 W · 21 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-32.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No77c200.99$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.8525653.5%137 W · 119 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10220138.3%77 W · 124 L-1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed No48c199.99$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.9918543.8%81 W · 104 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Yes36c198.93$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.935626.8%15 W · 41 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-39.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes51c198.07$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.011,23549.9%616 W · 619 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6828253.5%151 W · 131 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes53c188.66$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.991,46435.6%521 W · 943 L-33.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Yes51c174.58$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.041553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde3d…6b1fbacked Yes48c166.67$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No50c160$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8012652.4%66 W · 60 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes63c159.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.912362.6%77 W · 46 L+17.0wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No50c156$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7818256%102 W · 80 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No50c156$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7815054%81 W · 69 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7e4…15eebacked No16c150$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1261136.4%4 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick13cpaid+151.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No70c148.61$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5772944.2%322 W · 407 L-29.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No49c147.14$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.5859342.5%252 W · 341 L-28.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No50c140$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7016154.7%88 W · 73 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82e2…0cf6backed Yes72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dca…a234backed Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102317.4%4 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-44.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd868…7f60backed Yes10c120$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12749.5%7 W · 67 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-53.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32f7…f399backed Yes52c115.38$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4395…8fd0backed Yes44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Yes52c107.31$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.820150.7%102 W · 99 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No50c106.87$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8789955.1%495 W · 404 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No51c103.2$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.8617058.2%99 W · 71 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012941.1%53 W · 76 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4923755.3%131 W · 106 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5016555.8%92 W · 73 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5013351.9%69 W · 64 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5017953.6%96 W · 83 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Yes12c97.86$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.649942.4%42 W · 57 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x90e4…58eabacked No56c95.57$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.051540%6 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-37%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No50c93$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9417757.6%102 W · 75 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed No48c83.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3311030.9%34 W · 76 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked No50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4010156.4%57 W · 44 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.