Asian League · resolved market
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-05-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84fcbafb96086771313f58c19fed1a0e44e8c6bfbc6cad9c852cf5ce8e7885c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,936
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,785
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,936 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 25c | 4,781$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.01 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 26c | 2,996$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.03 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…1f51backed No | 44c | 1,137$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 923.65$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.61 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 74c | 868.09$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.7 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 856.72$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.75 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 75c | 620.71$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.72 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 60c | 615.85$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.36 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…ea92backed Yes | 17c | 573.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x058d…bbabbacked Yes | 17c | 571.74$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 73c | 568.51$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.5 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 49c | 549.54$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.38 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 44c | 533.06$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.5 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe566…9cc5backed Yes | 68c | 496.46$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 7c | 482.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 75c | 409$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.25 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6013…9826backed Yes | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3663…8950backed Yes | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 76c | 263.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.36 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x780f…5f16backed No | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…4f53backed Yes | 20c | 252.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 59c | 223.73$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 41c | 221.82$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.25 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…4529backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 41c | 164$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.14 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 55c | 144.8$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.46 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 51c | 138.12$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.7 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4789…994abacked No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 75cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 22c | 130.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 82 | 14.6%12 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 74c | 130.09$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…0905backed No | 43c | 124.37$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.09 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked No | 33c | 121.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.52 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked No | 75c | 108.11$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 100.5$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a2…0593backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7210…521fbacked No | 75c | 92$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 57c | 79.35$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.23 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 26c | 77.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Yes | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Yes | 20c | 67.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e62…fd00backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e34…63f7backed Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x967b…46babacked No | 63c | 49.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…0b83backed Yes | 25c | 48.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7468…3d24backed Yes | 25c | 48.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 74c | 45.84$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x308d…3519backed Yes | 67c | 43.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa4…3409backed Yes | 28c | 42.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…a29ebacked Yes | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 61c | 30.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 61c | 28.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed No | 75c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 73c | 27.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 47c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9132…6607backed Yes | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed No | 76c | 20.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 40 | 85%34 W · 6 L | +6.7wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked No | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed No | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0e…accebacked No | 76c | 17.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…5703backed No | 76c | 17.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x193b…9c37backed No | 76c | 15.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-05-15?this page
- Will Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-05-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.