TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x82e2…0cf6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
81
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Tennis, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 56 out of 100; worst CS2 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.16per pick69cpaid-27.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Omega (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Playoffsbacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.91
Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs megoshort (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Group Stagebacked Esport Academy Copenhagen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.98
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Playoffsbacked ALGO Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.29
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs megoshort (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Group Stagebacked megoshort · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.39
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stagebacked Just Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.79
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs fnatic (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs Falcons Force (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #2 Group Cbacked Falcons Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$31.42
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Sashi Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.13
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: K27 vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$12.7
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.48
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Playoffsbacked UNO MILLE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: TEAM ORUGA vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series #7 Playoffsbacked Yawara Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs AaB esport (BO3)backed AaB esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 19 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick73cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$13.93
LoL: Maryville University vs Conviction (BO3) - North American Challengers League Playoffsbacked Maryville University · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
LoL: Ultra Prime vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$26.39
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$108.64
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagebacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$40
LoL: T1 Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Group Stagebacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+29.9%+$5.97
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Group Stagebacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+28.5%+$5.7
LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming (BO3)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+46%+$18.41
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT7100%7 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+58.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jackson State Tigers vs. Florida A&M Rattlersbacked Jackson State Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+309.8%+$120.2
Central Connecticut State Blue Devils vs. Stonehill Skyhawksbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. Southern Jaguarsbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+26.3%+$26.25
Alcorn State Braves vs. Florida A&M Rattlersbacked Florida A&M Rattlers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+25.6%+$10.25
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. UNCW Seahawksbacked UNCW Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+29.9%+$11.11
All 5 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+26.4%+$10.57
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+25%+$12.5
All 3 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick24cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-36.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$99.8
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangersbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-05-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-34.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Sky vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$60.53
Minnesota Lynx vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$63.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$166
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.