Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc04ce843041e82c784572dcb110c73b79ba5d36e5ce17d156e85b3fd4b2f06c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Aurora, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $234,582
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $284,183
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $234,582 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 298 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Team Spirit | 52c | 24,712$12,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,876.21 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Spirit | 53c | 18,853$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,853.05 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Team Spirit | 49c | 11,100$5,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,661 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.33per pick | 51cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Aurora | 51c | 10,450$5,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,329.5 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…64acbacked Aurora | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Team Spirit | 55c | 9,004$4,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,053.8 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Aurora | 47c | 8,900$4,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,182.96 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…7433backed Aurora | 46c | 7,523$3,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,482.64 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Team Spirit | 53c | 7,293$3,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,404.87 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Team Spirit | 48c | 6,511$3,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,390.53 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Aurora | 29c | 6,367$1,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875.65 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Aurora | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…eabbbacked Aurora | 49c | 5,688$2,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760.61 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Aurora | 48c | 5,242$2,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,494.6 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Aurora | 32c | 5,073$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610.4 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…273dbacked Aurora | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.96 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Aurora | 30c | 4,676$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.9 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Team Spirit | 52c | 4,673$2,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240.21 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Aurora | 29c | 4,563$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.38 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Aurora | 47c | 4,512$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120.49 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Team Spirit | 69c | 3,828$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.22 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora | 47c | 3,260$1,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,526.11 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Aurora | 37c | 3,023$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.55 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…40dfbacked Team Spirit | 78c | 2,968$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.75 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Aurora | 50c | 2,573$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.77 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Team Spirit | 63c | 2,333$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.59 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4925…4f82backed Team Spirit | 79c | 2,225$1,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.44 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked Team Spirit | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x495d…68d8backed Team Spirit | 59c | 2,029$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.91 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Aurora | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Aurora | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.89 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…04b2backed Aurora | 48c | 1,950$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59c…4da7backed Team Spirit | 77c | 1,872$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Aurora | 34c | 1,867$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.06 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc4…7c1dbacked Team Spirit | 71c | 1,843$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaf…d959backed Aurora | 49c | 1,768$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.29 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed Aurora | 50c | 1,687$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.74 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Aurora | 46c | 1,685$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.72 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Aurora | 46c | 1,676$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Team Spirit | 44c | 1,671$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.61 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Team Spirit | 42c | 1,630$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.34 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Aurora | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b7…500fbacked Team Spirit | 77c | 1,494$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.35 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Aurora | 44c | 1,400$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.86 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a90…1dddbacked Aurora | 52c | 1,320$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Team Spirit | 60c | 1,283$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.82 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -14.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked Aurora | 49c | 1,261$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.66 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf917…bde0backed Team Spirit | 52c | 1,250$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Aurora | 50c | 1,212$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a2…c0c5backed Team Spirit | 59c | 1,178$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.8 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Aurora | 56c | 1,100$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.5 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed Aurora | 23c | 1,075$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.29 | 67 | 25.4%17 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora | 25c | 1,067$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.84 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…09aebacked Team Spirit | 53c | 1,017$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.95 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38d7…af0dbacked Aurora | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Aurora | 53c | 1,000$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Aurora | 47c | 1,000$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Aurora | 54c | 999.99$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.99 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Team Spirit | 53c | 934.83$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.83 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ef…b4f0backed Aurora | 49c | 916.39$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Team Spirit | 53c | 849.45$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.11 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed Aurora | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 145 | 62.1%90 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb835…2e51backed Aurora | 49c | 842.04$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…5ff5backed Aurora | 52c | 824.51$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.75 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Aurora | 22c | 813.29$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.4 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c27…cb5bbacked Team Spirit | 66c | 799.99$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Aurora | 49c | 795.25$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.33 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Aurora | 51c | 782.35$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Team Spirit | 52c | 761.59$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.56 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c8…a9ffbacked Aurora | 49c | 710.06$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…3c7abacked Aurora | 33c | 700$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed Aurora | 22c | 681.82$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Aurora | 44c | 671.94$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.97 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44aa…d1d5backed Aurora | 57c | 670$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.9 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Team Spirit | 53c | 655.94$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.18 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d9…9e0ebacked Aurora | 56c | 646.17$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.86 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Aurora | 37c | 645.44$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.83 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ee…878ebacked Team Spirit | 76c | 639.73$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.16 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Team Spirit | 76c | 639.13$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.39 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Aurora | 49c | 639.03$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.49 | 198 | 57.1%113 W · 85 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Aurora | 43c | 637.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.48 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Aurora | 42c | 620.45$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.35 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked Team Spirit | 68c | 600$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Aurora | 34c | 600$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.95 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Aurora | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Aurora | 50c | 599.46$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.86 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6f…3be7backed Aurora | 49c | 571.9$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Team Spirit | 43c | 566.21$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.74 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…7b70backed Team Spirit | 43c | 536.06$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.55 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3b…3f07backed Aurora | 23c | 527.36$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed Aurora | 32c | 521.96$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.93 | 111 | 31.5%35 W · 76 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…f0f0backed Team Spirit | 77c | 519.48$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.48 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Aurora | 47c | 515$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.6 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…3fa8backed Team Spirit | 59c | 501.89$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.89 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Team Spirit | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Aurora | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa376…c17dbacked Aurora | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…f61ebacked Aurora | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked Team Spirit | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c4…0216backed Team Spirit | 77c | 490$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.7 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Athis page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)Team Spirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.