TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf5d9…9e0e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
151
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NHL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 54 out of 100; worst MLB at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT7247.2%34 W · 38 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Game Hunters (BO3) - Circuit X Base Recife Playoffsbacked Game Hunters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.76
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.88
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca (BO5) - ESL Challenger League North America Finals Playoffsbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$31.51
Counter-Strike: magic vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$1,129.22
Counter-Strike: illwill vs fnatic (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$49.94
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$337Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+122.5%+$412.92
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs AM Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked AM Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$473Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$227.5
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$385
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stagebacked Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.04
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffsbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$400.33
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Finals Playoffsbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.28
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$385
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,088Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+61.8%+$672.26
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.82
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$96.15
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs NRG (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$366.2
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TYLOO (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$247.72
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MIBR (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Liquid (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,686Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,686.22
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Group Stagebacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$462Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$138
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stagebacked Lazer Cats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,413Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+126.8%+$1,791.15
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 3 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$150
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,560Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,440
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$409Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$409
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$522Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$521.65
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.56
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$330
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$93
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$5,170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,170
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,920Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$2,080
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$460.09
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,441Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+132.2%+$1,904.87
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$679.99
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$663Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$587.5
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$790Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$210
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 212.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$387.61
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$275
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$638Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$638
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,404Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$802.2
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 205.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$765Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$735
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 212.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$891Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+73.1%+$651.36
All 19 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.79
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$423Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$422.92
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$35.98
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$66
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$127.12
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 12.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,456Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,456.28
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,920Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$2,080
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,169Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,168.86
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$345
Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF Hurghada: Elizaveta Rozhkova vs Summer Yardleybacked Elizaveta Rozhkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+110.5%+$168
Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$4,231Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+77.3%+$3,272.19
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Alexandra Eala vs Oleksandra Oliynykovabacked Oleksandra Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,493Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+123.2%+$1,839.84
Geneva Open: Valentin Royer vs Francisco Comesanabacked Valentin Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Qinwen Zheng vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Jelena Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$460
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tomas Etcheverry vs Mattia Belluccibacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+88.8%+$366.9
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Mayar Sherif vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,835Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,834.97
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Andrea Pellegrinobacked Andrea Pellegrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,350Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,649.95
Cagliari: Matteo Berrettini vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$268
All 11 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+28.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,975Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$525
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$670Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$330
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$119.28
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,588Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+41.7%+$662.5
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,005Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$495
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$361.86
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,056Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$319.58
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs South America Rejects (BO5) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$644Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$643.58
All 8 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-36%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+48.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+99.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$1,220
Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$600
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-26%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pisa SC vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$370
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$89.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,559Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,559.31
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.