TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$585,537
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$590,190

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $585,537 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 425 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Under51c171,849$87,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87,895.0487451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Over50c50,000$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,0002268.2%15 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+35.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Over47c50,000$23,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,50024650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Under52c47,266$24,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,578.4919754.3%107 W · 90 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over48c36,987$17,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,179.9755251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Over48c28,741$13,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,945.287650%38 W · 38 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Under53c26,228$13,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,795.6932351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over47c26,059$12,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,811.2748352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Over48c25,000$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,0001,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under52c20,075$10,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,438.951,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Over47c20,000$9,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,599.9749244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over47c19,521$9,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,283.294,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e1e…bb68backed Under53c13,314$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,0009556.8%54 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over50c12,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,00089853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over46c10,426$4,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,612.978,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Over46c10,350$4,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,588.9921549.8%107 W · 108 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Over50c10,022$5,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,009.6434456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Under52c9,615$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00011654.3%63 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under52c9,529$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.9990650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over48c9,065$4,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,724.342,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under52c8,685$4,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,485.1463746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over48c8,470$4,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,404.52,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Under66c7,431$4,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,875.011471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+16.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under52c7,165$3,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,757.521,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2579…9d48backed Over51c6,576$3,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,222.4719359.6%115 W · 78 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under52c6,493$3,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,374.451,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over47c6,383$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,382.9847856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Over47c5,971$2,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,164.6532846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Under53c5,196$2,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,753.6848845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over48c4,712$2,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,450.8264948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1f03…ede2backed Over56c4,470$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,970475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+41%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Over47c4,415$2,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,339.729447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dfb…0b3dbacked Over49c4,082$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,081.635940.7%24 W · 35 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed Over47c4,000$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1203240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Under51c3,687$1,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,880.887342.5%31 W · 42 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under52c3,667$1,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,909.5265045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Over47c3,548$1,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,881.1761638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cd1…285dbacked Over48c3,500$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8205347.2%25 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d9…9e0ebacked Over43c3,346$1,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,904.871942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Over47c3,234$1,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,702.7216946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21d4…84bdbacked Over47c3,141$1,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,664.757850%39 W · 39 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Over50c3,112$1,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5717146.5%33 W · 38 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd988…cbe4backed Under52c3,100$1,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6121625%4 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-53.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Over50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50044252.3%231 W · 211 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Over49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,529.9910248%49 W · 53 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,529.9950346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under52c2,918$1,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,504.5930448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1543…baafbacked Over37c2,789$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,757.0812741.7%53 W · 74 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over47c2,552$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,364.056,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under51c2,496$1,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,269.981,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fce…c02abacked Over32c2,421$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,646.465540%22 W · 33 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+54.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf3fd…ca86backed Under53c2,200$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,165.971450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over46c2,125$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,147.570246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Over46c2,105$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.8338434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd819…3091backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4574…f61ebacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+486.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Over57c1,944$1,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.5211946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Over48c1,940$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.830446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over48c1,841$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.082,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over60c1,813$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.342,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x476d…0c42backed Over49c1,810$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.658848.9%43 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Under1c1,800$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1831222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over62c1,796$1,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.4866248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under51c1,633$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.8164651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Over15c1,621$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,376.0217946.4%83 W · 96 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over46c1,592$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865.892,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2942…59abbacked Over49c1,520$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.218044.4%80 W · 100 L+15.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+36.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x329c…2485backed Over47c1,500$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7953441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over51c1,476$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.478450%42 W · 42 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x417d…f3c5backed Over51c1,451$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.771040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67d3…96cbbacked Under49c1,395$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.392254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xafaa…1721backed Over49c1,372$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Under34c1,243$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.666152.5%32 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Over47c1,200$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6362171.4%15 W · 6 L+4.2wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+33.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xeac8…7d97backed Under78c1,198$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.58560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick72cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over55c1,193$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.793,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Over44c1,147$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.518844.3%39 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under52c1,115$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.4362051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x38d7…af0dbacked Over49c1,113$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.38683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick49cpaid+68.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under51c1,109$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.851,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Under53c1,100$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5838951.7%46 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2976…d54abacked Over50c1,100$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550580%4 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.49per pick31cpaid+739.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xde6b…fae0backed Over51c1,082$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.98850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Over48c1,077$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.1516053.1%85 W · 75 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over49c1,057$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.2566352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x78b0…9f1abacked Over48c1,048$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.851361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+70.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f85…7e17backed Over49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.416656.1%37 W · 29 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+85.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed Over47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50056043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Over49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5108148.1%39 W · 42 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Over49c999.99$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.998348.2%40 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Under55c999.98$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.991,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over53c992.74$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.5124159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52f9…ad24backed Under51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Under53c938$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9932450.3%163 W · 161 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Over43c931.87$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.2311639.7%46 W · 70 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Under53c929.22$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.8542352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Under53c927.49$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.5712451.6%64 W · 60 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed Over42c926.18$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.1910146.5%47 W · 54 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+217.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.