TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Pistons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,542
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,921

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,542 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7b0c…3a96backed Cavaliers45c2,100$945 inWon+$1,1553129%9 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1543…baafbacked Pistons53c1,500$795 inLost-$79512741.7%53 W · 74 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Cavaliers48c1,472$711 inWon+$761.255251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Pistons51c841.08$429 inLost-$428.9590650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Pistons51c841.08$429 inLost-$428.9563746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aaa…0c04backed Pistons60c493.55$294 inLost-$294.513644.1%60 W · 76 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Cavaliers47c395.89$186 inWon+$209.5369848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01b8…82c1backed Pistons56c205.36$115 inLost-$1151040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc882…4e6bbacked Cavaliers45c111.11$50 inWon+$61.112360.9%14 W · 9 L+4.2wins+0.18per pick43cpaid+60.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Pistons11c108.32$12 inLost-$12.141,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked Pistons52c60.25$31 inLost-$31.443026.7%8 W · 22 L-6.6wins-0.22per pick49cpaid-47.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x39fd…3914backed Pistons56c53.57$30 inLost-$302433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa820…2dcebacked Pistons52c38.46$20 inLost-$208544.7%38 W · 47 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd3a…89b1backed Cavaliers51c36.44$18 inWon+$17.991060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+23.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee11…19a9backed Cavaliers55c33.85$19 inWon+$15.237949.4%39 W · 40 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Pistons45c33.85$15 inLost-$15.231,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked Pistons56c33.21$19 inLost-$18.68852.3%46 W · 42 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Cavaliers47c21.28$10 inWon+$11.281,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.