NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 212.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5985b270ef3fcd4f34ddc5c8748651c79553d9dc8533d61f1e4d879bd89a4f4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $436,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $454,778
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $436,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 267 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Over | 51c | 120,000$61,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,799.98 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 49c | 111,115$54,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,446.22 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…f402backed Under | 50c | 55,147$27,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,573.5 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.6wins | +0.27per pick | 49cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Under | 50c | 40,525$20,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,262.41 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Over | 50c | 39,115$19,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,578.61 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 51c | 35,098$17,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,314.8 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 47c | 21,720$10,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,208.36 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 48c | 21,275$10,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,212.27 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Over | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Over | 50c | 19,802$9,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,901.02 | 160 | 39.4%63 W · 97 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 52c | 16,524$8,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,931.41 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…50aebacked Under | 48c | 16,401$7,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,872.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 52c | 15,943$8,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,611.35 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 59c | 7,647$4,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,107.47 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Over | 54c | 6,500$3,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,990 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 48c | 5,555$2,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,690.49 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 48c | 5,484$2,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,631.97 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 48c | 5,330$2,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,763.85 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 52c | 4,808$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.69 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Over | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x38d7…af0dbacked Over | 52c | 3,448$1,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,655.25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.62 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd988…cbe4backed Under | 49c | 2,743$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.17 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 50c | 2,742$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.29 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 49c | 2,614$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.7 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 41c | 2,543$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.15 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 46c | 2,352$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.48 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Over | 55c | 2,250$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a2…6fc8backed Under | 47c | 2,201$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.42 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…5c97backed Over | 51c | 2,024$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.53 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Over | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Over | 43c | 2,000$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fb…e5fdbacked Over | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +6.5wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +82%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 1,708$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.94 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 47c | 1,701$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.49 | 304 | 48.4%147 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 45c | 1,659$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.29 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 48c | 1,545$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.49 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ed…d916backed Over | 52c | 1,516$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.98 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 49c | 1,437$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.74 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 48c | 1,389$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.95 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 51c | 1,347$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.31 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 46c | 1,282$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.84 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 52c | 1,085$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.09 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Over | 51c | 1,036$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.85 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…59abbacked Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +15.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 60c | 910$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.15 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 47c | 904.57$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.1 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14fe…e0fdbacked Over | 40c | 900$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Over | 49c | 899$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.49 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Under | 48c | 842.67$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.48 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b36…56cebacked Over | 48c | 834.27$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.27 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x135d…56c0backed Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b45…d196backed Under | 55c | 634$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.83 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 44c | 633.79$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.87 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Over | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 587.85$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.23 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 49c | 574.11$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.28 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 42c | 569.84$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.33 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 53c | 537.23$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.06 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e8…6e04backed Over | 50c | 520$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 51c | 498.93$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.18 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f8…2869backed Over | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 174 | 59.2%103 W · 71 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 478.05$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.84 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 42c | 468.02$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.57 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad7c…6244backed Over | 51c | 410$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.9 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a5…0565backed Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 41cpaid | -82%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x344f…1a45backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Over | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 272 | 46.7%127 W · 145 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa79d…ee14backed Under | 51c | 391.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.62 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 253 | 60.1%152 W · 101 L | +26.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 56c | 381.95$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.14 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1131…b63ebacked Under | 57c | 352.02$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 51c | 335.4$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.65 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 48c | 333.87$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.36 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 42c | 332.4$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.61 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 55c | 327.88$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.94 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed Under | 46c | 326$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.96 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Over | 49c | 325$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.75 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 49c | 322$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.95 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc097…4020backed Over | 50c | 309.99$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.41per pick | 39cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Under | 53c | 308.26$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.96 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 51c | 304$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.96 | 255 | 59.2%151 W · 104 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 48c | 300$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf038…03b1backed Over | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 285.44$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.66 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…821abacked Under | 50c | 273.59$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.81 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe9…a36dbacked Over | 50c | 258$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…13c0backed Over | 49c | 251.19$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.11 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Over | 51c | 236.16$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.72 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 67c | 228.44$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.42 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…2895backed Over | 50c | 220$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Over | 50c | 213.19$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.6 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.8wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 50c | 211.44$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.72 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95fc…10f6backed Over | 52c | 210.17$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.88 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 212.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Pistons won
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Pistons won
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 8.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Dean Wade: Points O/U 0.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Jarrett Allen: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Pistons vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 206.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 211.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5Over won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Tobias Harris: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 18.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.