TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Cavaliers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cavaliersof Pistons, Cavaliers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,222,386
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,678,339

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,222,386 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9ac2…be3dbacked Cavaliers60c616,130$369,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246,452.051369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf98…6e0abacked Pistons38c587,683$221,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221,792.411070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+35.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Pistons40c520,168$208,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208,067.2916841.1%69 W · 99 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Pistons41c496,941$203,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203,745.872648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6211…b89ebacked Cavaliers59c301,732$178,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123,709.968148.1%39 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Cavaliers64c257,040$164,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92,556.7485742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Cavaliers59c210,169$124,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86,169.4936549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xff12…09f9backed Cavaliers76c160,105$122,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,811.4819388.1%170 W · 23 L+48.6wins+0.25per pick63cpaid+46.2%equal weight75+0.22 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Cavaliers54c136,005$73,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62,450.3869848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Cavaliers59c133,330$78,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54,665.311137.8%42 W · 69 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde7b…5f4bbacked Pistons25c112,836$28,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,383.594825%12 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-33.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Pistons41c102,041$42,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,322.7364948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…f402backed Cavaliers59c99,999$59,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,999.681776.5%13 W · 4 L+4.6wins+0.27per pick49cpaid+59.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked Pistons41c97,561$40,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,0005036%18 W · 32 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-23.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Pistons6c96,052$5,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,888.319937.2%74 W · 125 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Pistons40c94,999$38,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,199.6434456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Cavaliers63c92,813$58,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,036.2666248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Cavaliers59c79,960$47,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,783.7620454.9%112 W · 92 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Pistons1c64,934$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.875213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09b5…7e72backed Cavaliers59c60,950$35,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,989.53844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Cavaliers76c56,268$42,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,641.41,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Cavaliers59c51,627$30,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,140.637355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Cavaliers59c50,000$29,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,5001,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Cavaliers75c47,034$35,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,618.611,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4900…4a72backed Pistons40c44,297$17,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,710.915940.7%24 W · 35 L-12.5wins-0.21per pick62cpaid-41.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x60d0…2e36backed Pistons0c41,236$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.243342.4%14 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Pistons0c41,000$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599618.8%18 W · 78 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick16cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Cavaliers60c40,000$24,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,00014538.6%56 W · 89 L-12.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Pistons50c38,154$19,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,076.8616547.3%78 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+56.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Cavaliers59c37,634$22,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,429.955350.9%27 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers59c33,138$19,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,634.914,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8516…93a0backed Pistons41c31,707$13,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,0008035%28 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Pistons41c30,976$12,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,70025248.4%122 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Cavaliers69c30,941$21,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,587.761,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x418d…88a3backed Cavaliers62c30,100$18,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,33110248%49 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Cavaliers58c30,000$17,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,449.861,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked Cavaliers58c28,000$16,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,759.9918553%98 W · 87 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Cavaliers74c26,846$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,845.9571654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cavaliers76c25,282$19,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,067.512,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4feabacked Pistons0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Cavaliers59c25,000$14,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,25017553.7%94 W · 81 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed Pistons41c23,072$9,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,459.854139%16 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Pistons42c23,011$9,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,632.7516039.4%63 W · 97 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Pistons53c22,382$11,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,962.668451.2%43 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Pistons1c21,749$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.5864517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Pistons26c21,569$5,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,691.9132846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe538…c28bbacked Pistons2c20,712$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3944746.8%22 W · 25 L+7.1wins+0.15per pick32cpaid+3.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Cavaliers59c20,668$12,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,526.5142348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Pistons40c20,000$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,00018651.1%95 W · 91 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Cavaliers58c20,000$11,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,399.8721549.8%107 W · 108 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers71c19,459$13,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,550.378,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b52…568ebacked Cavaliers67c19,369$13,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,319.054963.3%31 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Cavaliers57c18,721$10,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,976.9763746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Cavaliers58c18,000$10,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,56013642.6%58 W · 78 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Pistons41c17,809$7,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,301.6937539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ebb…cb1abacked Pistons42c16,667$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,0002748.1%13 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe749…b85ebacked Pistons9c16,465$1,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,447.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers59c16,000$9,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,559.934,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d57…18ddbacked Cavaliers63c15,915$9,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,927.012157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+10.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa4e3…1080backed Pistons41c15,173$6,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,210.767842.3%33 W · 45 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Pistons6c15,167$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907.9336023.1%83 W · 277 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Pistons14c15,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10015140.4%61 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Cavaliers58c15,000$8,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,299.999159.3%54 W · 37 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Cavaliers60c14,588$8,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,817.6142645.5%194 W · 232 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c8c…c7b4backed Pistons31c14,548$4,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,552.8835650%178 W · 178 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Pistons41c14,000$5,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,739.9124252.5%127 W · 115 L+18.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6eb7…a0f1backed Pistons47c12,988$6,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,044.072536%9 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8504…88dcbacked Cavaliers57c12,624$7,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,424.51952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Pistons41c12,429$5,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,095.995848.3%28 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1895…efd2backed Pistons26c12,247$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1509346.2%43 W · 50 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Cavaliers59c12,000$7,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,919.9243438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b1e…82c9backed Pistons42c11,905$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0006243.5%27 W · 35 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Cavaliers60c11,738$7,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,730.0920946.9%98 W · 111 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Cavaliers59c11,500$6,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,71586641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Pistons13c11,466$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,519.721,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Cavaliers49c11,252$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,752.1725925.9%67 W · 192 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Cavaliers59c11,220$6,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,600.211,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a47…235bbacked Pistons39c11,176$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4007115.5%11 W · 60 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-50.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Pistons45c11,111$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00014766%97 W · 50 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe908…c1fdbacked Pistons41c10,500$4,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,3051181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.30per pick51cpaid+91.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf6f2…b422backed Pistons42c10,440$4,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,360.411558.3%67 W · 48 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Cavaliers59c10,100$5,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,149.9247043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Cavaliers60c10,002$5,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,032.242,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x96dd…17febacked Pistons50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0008661.6%53 W · 33 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Cavaliers59c10,000$5,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,1008445.2%38 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4eef…3fcbbacked Pistons41c10,000$4,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,10011955.5%66 W · 53 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Pistons10c10,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-61.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Cavaliers59c10,000$5,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,10013148.1%63 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1607…79bebacked Pistons1c10,000$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.154719.1%9 W · 38 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick13cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc30…1b31backed Pistons40c10,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.93650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Pistons0c9,977$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.335502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Pistons43c9,801$4,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,209.8938143%164 W · 217 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x24b3…a5a4backed Pistons41c9,756$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00011249.1%55 W · 57 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Cavaliers48c9,679$4,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,033.046459.4%38 W · 26 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Pistons42c9,524$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0009743.3%42 W · 55 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c34…c469backed Pistons0c9,448$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15446.8%3 W · 41 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-68%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9b7…8030backed Cavaliers75c9,181$6,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,277.42580%20 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x160d…5295backed Cavaliers56c9,000$5,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,959.988345.8%38 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+20.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Pistons50c8,713$4,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,356.712143%52 W · 69 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0899…0507backed Pistons35c8,429$2,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,929.991241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+48.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.