NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Cavaliers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52f953bd31997875e5f782fbed7f85b8707aa8fefe95b6854cf5b8c69370b3f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Pistons, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,222,386
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,678,339
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,222,386 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ac2…be3dbacked Cavaliers | 60c | 616,130$369,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246,452.05 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf98…6e0abacked Pistons | 38c | 587,683$221,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221,792.41 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Pistons | 40c | 520,168$208,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208,067.29 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Pistons | 41c | 496,941$203,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203,745.8 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6211…b89ebacked Cavaliers | 59c | 301,732$178,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123,709.96 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cavaliers | 64c | 257,040$164,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92,556.74 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Cavaliers | 59c | 210,169$124,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86,169.49 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff12…09f9backed Cavaliers | 76c | 160,105$122,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,811.48 | 193 | 88.1%170 W · 23 L | +48.6wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Cavaliers | 54c | 136,005$73,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,450.38 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Cavaliers | 59c | 133,330$78,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,665.3 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked Pistons | 25c | 112,836$28,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,383.59 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Pistons | 41c | 102,041$42,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,322.73 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…f402backed Cavaliers | 59c | 99,999$59,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,999.68 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.6wins | +0.27per pick | 49cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Pistons | 41c | 97,561$40,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,000 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Pistons | 6c | 96,052$5,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,888.3 | 199 | 37.2%74 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Pistons | 40c | 94,999$38,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,199.64 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Cavaliers | 63c | 92,813$58,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,036.26 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed Cavaliers | 59c | 79,960$47,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,783.76 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Pistons | 1c | 64,934$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.87 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Cavaliers | 59c | 60,950$35,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,989.5 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cavaliers | 76c | 56,268$42,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,641.4 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Cavaliers | 59c | 51,627$30,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,140.6 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Cavaliers | 59c | 50,000$29,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,500 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Cavaliers | 75c | 47,034$35,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,618.61 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4900…4a72backed Pistons | 40c | 44,297$17,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,710.91 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -12.5wins | -0.21per pick | 62cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed Pistons | 0c | 41,236$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.24 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Pistons | 0c | 41,000$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 96 | 18.8%18 W · 78 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Cavaliers | 60c | 40,000$24,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,000 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Pistons | 50c | 38,154$19,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,076.86 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Cavaliers | 59c | 37,634$22,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,429.95 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers | 59c | 33,138$19,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,634.91 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8516…93a0backed Pistons | 41c | 31,707$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,000 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Pistons | 41c | 30,976$12,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,700 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Cavaliers | 69c | 30,941$21,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,587.76 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Cavaliers | 62c | 30,100$18,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,331 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Cavaliers | 58c | 30,000$17,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,449.86 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Cavaliers | 58c | 28,000$16,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,759.99 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Cavaliers | 74c | 26,846$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,845.95 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cavaliers | 76c | 25,282$19,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,067.51 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4feabacked Pistons | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Cavaliers | 59c | 25,000$14,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,250 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Pistons | 41c | 23,072$9,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,459.85 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Pistons | 42c | 23,011$9,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,632.75 | 160 | 39.4%63 W · 97 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Pistons | 53c | 22,382$11,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,962.66 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Pistons | 1c | 21,749$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.58 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Pistons | 26c | 21,569$5,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,691.91 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe538…c28bbacked Pistons | 2c | 20,712$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +7.1wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Cavaliers | 59c | 20,668$12,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,526.51 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Pistons | 40c | 20,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Cavaliers | 58c | 20,000$11,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,399.87 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers | 71c | 19,459$13,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,550.37 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b52…568ebacked Cavaliers | 67c | 19,369$13,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,319.05 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Cavaliers | 57c | 18,721$10,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,976.97 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Cavaliers | 58c | 18,000$10,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,560 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Pistons | 41c | 17,809$7,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,301.69 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…cb1abacked Pistons | 42c | 16,667$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe749…b85ebacked Pistons | 9c | 16,465$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers | 59c | 16,000$9,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,559.93 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…18ddbacked Cavaliers | 63c | 15,915$9,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,927.01 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e3…1080backed Pistons | 41c | 15,173$6,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,210.76 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Pistons | 6c | 15,167$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.93 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Pistons | 14c | 15,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Cavaliers | 58c | 15,000$8,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,299.99 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Cavaliers | 60c | 14,588$8,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,817.61 | 426 | 45.5%194 W · 232 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8c…c7b4backed Pistons | 31c | 14,548$4,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,552.88 | 356 | 50%178 W · 178 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Pistons | 41c | 14,000$5,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,739.91 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…a0f1backed Pistons | 47c | 12,988$6,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,044.07 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8504…88dcbacked Cavaliers | 57c | 12,624$7,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,424.5 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Pistons | 41c | 12,429$5,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,095.99 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1895…efd2backed Pistons | 26c | 12,247$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Cavaliers | 59c | 12,000$7,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,919.92 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…82c9backed Pistons | 42c | 11,905$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Cavaliers | 60c | 11,738$7,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,730.09 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Cavaliers | 59c | 11,500$6,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,715 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Pistons | 13c | 11,466$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.72 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Cavaliers | 49c | 11,252$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,752.17 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Cavaliers | 59c | 11,220$6,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600.21 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Pistons | 39c | 11,176$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Pistons | 45c | 11,111$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 147 | 66%97 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe908…c1fdbacked Pistons | 41c | 10,500$4,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,305 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.30per pick | 51cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f2…b422backed Pistons | 42c | 10,440$4,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,360.4 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Cavaliers | 59c | 10,100$5,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,149.92 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cavaliers | 60c | 10,002$5,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,032.24 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96dd…17febacked Pistons | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Cavaliers | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked Pistons | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Pistons | 10c | 10,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Cavaliers | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…79bebacked Pistons | 1c | 10,000$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.15 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc30…1b31backed Pistons | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Pistons | 0c | 9,977$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Pistons | 43c | 9,801$4,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,209.89 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24b3…a5a4backed Pistons | 41c | 9,756$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Cavaliers | 48c | 9,679$4,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,033.04 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Pistons | 42c | 9,524$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c34…c469backed Pistons | 0c | 9,448$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -68%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b7…8030backed Cavaliers | 75c | 9,181$6,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,277.4 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Cavaliers | 56c | 9,000$5,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,959.98 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Pistons | 50c | 8,713$4,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,356.7 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0899…0507backed Pistons | 35c | 8,429$2,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,929.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Cavaliersthis page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Pistons won
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Pistons won
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 8.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Dean Wade: Points O/U 0.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Jarrett Allen: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 206.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 211.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 212.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5Over won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Tobias Harris: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 18.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.