NBA · resolved market

Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12ce853e432d32351f5cc5bb6b527d6d9d406a162c6d54f632df8bac53ffd920

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Pistons
Resolved: May 11, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,362,152
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,390,299

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,362,152 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 479 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc807…c12bbacked Pistons	50c	476,893$237,143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237,142.62	205	45.9%94 W · 111 L	-12.8wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Cavaliers	49c	476,417$234,332 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$242,084.97	698	48.6%339 W · 359 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6211…b89ebacked Pistons	51c	447,641$228,286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228,285.87	81	48.1%39 W · 42 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…f402backed Cavaliers	50c	218,762$108,777 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109,984.96	17	76.5%13 W · 4 L	+4.6wins	+0.27per pick	49cpaid	+59.6%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Cavaliers	51c	103,890$52,606 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51,283.72	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Cavaliers	50c	63,792$32,071 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31,720.94	649	48.2%313 W · 336 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Pistons	50c	53,930$26,965 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,964.99	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Cavaliers	51c	50,000$25,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,500	22	68.2%15 W · 7 L	+4.2wins	+0.19per pick	49cpaid	+35.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers	50c	34,947$17,526 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,421.25	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed Cavaliers	50c	25,498$12,749 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,748.97	25	64%16 W · 9 L	+4.3wins	+0.17per pick	47cpaid	+71.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Cavaliers	49c	24,878$12,083 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,795.44	552	51.3%283 W · 269 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x418d…88a3backed Cavaliers	50c	20,000$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,000	102	48%49 W · 53 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Pistons	50c	20,000$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	483	43.7%211 W · 272 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Pistons	49c	19,100$9,359 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,358.78	168	41.1%69 W · 99 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked Cavaliers	50c	17,518$8,759 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,759.13	54	42.6%23 W · 31 L	-3.6wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Pistons	50c	15,706$7,910 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,910.06	34	67.6%23 W · 11 L	+4.2wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Pistons	49c	14,935$7,318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,318.07	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4852…67c4backed Cavaliers	50c	12,172$6,086 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,086	56	55.4%31 W · 25 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Cavaliers	50c	11,094$5,547 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,546.77	145	38.6%56 W · 89 L	-12.9wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Cavaliers	50c	10,000$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,000	81	53.1%43 W · 38 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Cavaliers	50c	9,000$4,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,500	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+2.4wins	+0.13per pick	45cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Cavaliers	50c	8,700$4,350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,350	120	56.7%68 W · 52 L	+5.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Cavaliers	49c	7,584$3,716 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,867.93	662	48.5%321 W · 341 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Pistons	57c	7,072$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	43	48.8%21 W · 22 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04e6…3914backed Pistons	51c	7,000$3,570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,570	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Cavaliers	49c	6,658$3,262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,395.59	431	48.7%210 W · 221 L	-5.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Pistons	51c	6,658$3,396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,395.58	165	47.3%78 W · 87 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+56.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2579…9d48backed Cavaliers	51c	6,550$3,341 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,209.61	193	59.6%115 W · 78 L	+14.1wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+14%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Pistons	50c	6,500$3,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,250	170	52.4%89 W · 81 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f19…6aabbacked Cavaliers	50c	6,395$3,198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,197.61	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Cavaliers	49c	6,123$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,122.73	478	56.7%271 W · 207 L	+11.6wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Pistons	51c	6,000$3,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,060	795	49.7%395 W · 400 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x160d…5295backed Cavaliers	49c	6,000$2,940 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,060	83	45.8%38 W · 45 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Cavaliers	51c	5,611$2,862 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,749.39	304	46.7%142 W · 162 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Pistons	49c	5,000$2,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,450	186	51.1%95 W · 91 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7829…cfd3backed Cavaliers	51c	5,000$2,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,450	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-17%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47bc…9504backed Pistons	49c	5,000$2,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,449.99	54	59.3%32 W · 22 L	+5.4wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Pistons	51c	4,902$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	564	53.9%304 W · 260 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Cavaliers	50c	4,862$2,431 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,431	857	42.6%365 W · 492 L	-15.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5d7…bb10backed Pistons	51c	4,701$2,397 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,397.32	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Pistons	50c	4,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	579	50.1%290 W · 289 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dc4…7c1dbacked Pistons	50c	4,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-2.4wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed Cavaliers	50c	3,981$1,991 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,990.71	53	45.3%24 W · 29 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x48e0…826dbacked Cavaliers	50c	3,889$1,945 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,944.71	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Cavaliers	49c	3,887$1,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,987.27	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Cavaliers	50c	3,855$1,910 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,945.59	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Cavaliers	50c	3,780$1,890 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,889.78	650	45.1%293 W · 357 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Cavaliers	48c	3,528$1,694 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,834.68	616	38.5%237 W · 379 L	-8.1wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers	73c	3,407$2,493 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$914.48	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Cavaliers	50c	3,400$1,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,700	230	47%108 W · 122 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe16e…c3c7backed Cavaliers	37c	3,159$1,169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,990.34	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-3.2wins	-0.14per pick	44cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cavaliers	51c	3,082$1,571 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,510.89	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Pistons	3c	3,030$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.9	117	43.6%51 W · 66 L	-5.0wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Pistons	50c	3,000$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	197	47.7%94 W · 103 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Cavaliers	49c	3,000$1,470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,530	503	46.5%234 W · 269 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Cavaliers	50c	3,000$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,500	102	48%49 W · 53 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Pistons	51c	2,790$1,423 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,422.85	73	42.5%31 W · 42 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Cavaliers	49c	2,551$1,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,300.99	1,139	48.3%550 W · 589 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Pistons	17c	2,512$427 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$426.96	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-61.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Cavaliers	51c	2,250$1,148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,102.5	702	46.4%326 W · 376 L	-20.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Cavaliers	49c	2,105$1,032 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,073.71	149	40.9%61 W · 88 L	-11.6wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0636…c529backed Pistons	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,020	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.18per pick	43cpaid	-51%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Cavaliers	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$980	136	42.6%58 W · 78 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Cavaliers	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	116	54.3%63 W · 53 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c0…24eebacked Cavaliers	49c	2,000$980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,020	84	51.2%43 W · 41 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Pistons	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+3.6wins	+0.26per pick	38cpaid	+60.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc661…610abacked Pistons	51c	1,951$995 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$994.86	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-5.1wins	-0.27per pick	48cpaid	-55.1%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x7f1c…390dbacked Pistons	51c	1,913$976 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$975.86	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Cavaliers	49c	1,686$827 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$858.79	348	50.9%177 W · 171 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fbc…095ebacked Pistons	51c	1,665$849 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$849.15	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.27per pick	47cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0de…8048backed Cavaliers	51c	1,558$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$757.48	52	40.4%21 W · 31 L	-8.6wins	-0.17per pick	57cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x329c…2485backed Cavaliers	50c	1,500$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$750	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x08c4…e6a5backed Pistons	50c	1,406$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	66	47%31 W · 35 L	-5.4wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Pistons	43c	1,380$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	115	58.3%67 W · 48 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+88.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked Cavaliers	52c	1,200$622 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$578	117	57.3%67 W · 50 L	+9.6wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Cavaliers	50c	1,200$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$600	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons	51c	1,193$608 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$608.43	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Cavaliers	49c	1,111$544 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$566.61	197	45.2%89 W · 108 L	-7.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Cavaliers	50c	1,100$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$550	451	46.1%208 W · 243 L	-10.4wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Cavaliers	50c	1,100$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$550	160	50%80 W · 80 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09f1…8332backed Cavaliers	77c	1,100$843 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$257	42	69%29 W · 13 L	+4.2wins	+0.10per pick	59cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Pistons	51c	1,078$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	167	40.1%67 W · 100 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Cavaliers	50c	1,044$519 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$524.41	1,399	46.4%649 W · 750 L	-13.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed Cavaliers	50c	1,029$514 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$514.61	194	45.9%89 W · 105 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Cavaliers	49c	1,024$507 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$517.09	1,322	49.9%660 W · 662 L	+13.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc5b…5443backed Cavaliers	50c	1,010$505 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$505	125	42.4%53 W · 72 L	-11.1wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Pistons	60c	1,008$604 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$603.55	488	45.3%221 W · 267 L	+18.9wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Pistons	49c	1,005$492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$492.45	304	48.4%147 W · 157 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19ed…6febbacked Cavaliers	50c	1,001$501 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500.64	25	68%17 W · 8 L	+3.9wins	+0.16per pick	52cpaid	+43.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7265…8712backed Pistons	50c	1,000$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c0b…bfc2backed Pistons	51c	1,000$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	49	46.9%23 W · 26 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29fe…2ebfbacked Cavaliers	51c	1,000$510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$490	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.24per pick	40cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb046…00bcbacked Cavaliers	50c	1,000$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Cavaliers	50c	1,000$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	443	45.1%200 W · 243 L	+2.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xf7d6…cab5backed Pistons	49c	1,000$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490	167	50.3%84 W · 83 L	-12.0wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Pistons	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	79	50.6%40 W · 39 L	+6.1wins	+0.08per pick	43cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Cavaliers	50c	1,000$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	663	52.6%349 W · 314 L	+30.1wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x73da…b7acbacked Cavaliers	50c	1,000$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	200	57%114 W · 86 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd942…f9d3backed Pistons	51c	1,000$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	211	42.7%90 W · 121 L	-7.7wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f36…2819backed Cavaliers	50c	1,000$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	52	42.3%22 W · 30 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)this page
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Pistons won
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Pistons won
Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 8.5No won
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5No won
Dean Wade: Points O/U 0.5No won
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Jalen Duren: Points O/U 13.5No won
Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
James Harden: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
James Harden: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Jarrett Allen: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
Pistons vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylinePistons won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 206.5Over won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5Over won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 211.5Over won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 212.5Over won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5Over won
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Cavaliers won
Tobias Harris: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
Tobias Harris: Points O/U 18.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event