TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jalen Duren: Points O/U 13.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,650
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,658

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,650 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe768…b331backed No53c401.84$215 inWon+$186.9239864.3%256 W · 142 L+33.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x906b…9805backed No58c346.68$200 inWon+$146.682842.9%12 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Yes46c282.43$130 inLost-$13027746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Yes42c239.46$101 inLost-$100.5756050.4%282 W · 278 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed No52c215.56$112 inWon+$103.471,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed Yes43c116.61$50 inLost-$50.149947.5%47 W · 52 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72f8…cf5dbacked Yes48c104.65$50 inLost-$49.88520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-58.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Yes48c94$45 inLost-$45.1240053.5%214 W · 186 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52f2…5a5dbacked No59c88.47$52 inWon+$36.1717547.4%83 W · 92 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed Yes44c82.06$36 inLost-$36.2790863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x94a4…6f8fbacked Yes49c71.64$35 inLost-$351216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.27per pick44cpaid-57.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Yes42c57$24 inLost-$24.0123741.4%98 W · 139 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1815…e217backed No55c56.98$31 inWon+$25.648855.7%49 W · 39 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ef6…38b5backed Yes45c56.63$25 inLost-$25.481526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-39.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x02dc…a212backed No55c56.63$31 inWon+$25.482356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1a7…40f7backed No56c53.57$30 inWon+$23.573770.3%26 W · 11 L+7.0wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+40.8%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Yes48c52.19$25 inLost-$2566046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…aa3cbacked Yes46c43.48$20 inLost-$209046.7%42 W · 48 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9422…f273backed No54c40.23$22 inWon+$18.4619555.4%108 W · 87 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x267e…584bbacked Yes45c34.76$16 inLost-$15.64650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Yes46c27.52$13 inLost-$12.5829449.7%146 W · 148 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e40…1945backed No56c24.62$14 inWon+$10.772568%17 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+11.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe9ac…e166backed No56c21.31$12 inWon+$9.3118757.2%107 W · 80 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked No53c21.25$11 inWon+$10.0526957.2%154 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed No53c20$11 inWon+$9.496956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.