NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd7136af7c3eeee83d6c94d1f8375eee170b75dd248820d3916250ba53ad3d73

Rebuilt 1 day ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: May 11, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $67,156
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $68,409

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,156 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfc0c…cfc9backed Over	50c	44,893$22,435 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,458.51	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under	49c	14,994$7,384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,383.6	698	48.6%339 W · 359 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under	50c	9,960$4,980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,980.03	906	50.2%455 W · 451 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under	50c	9,960$4,980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,980.03	637	46.6%297 W · 340 L	-16.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under	50c	7,500$3,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,750	616	38.5%237 W · 379 L	-8.1wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under	22c	4,524$1,007 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,006.56	1,317	47.8%629 W · 688 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55b6…09e2backed Over	78c	4,207$3,298 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$909.38	51	58.8%30 W · 21 L	+7.1wins	+0.14per pick	45cpaid	+29.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Under	50c	3,602$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,800.36	61	52.5%32 W · 29 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under	49c	3,392$1,653 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,653.06	145	38.6%56 W · 89 L	-12.9wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xdb55…51ddbacked Over	56c	1,908$1,070 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$838.88	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over	54c	1,852$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$851.85	404	51.5%208 W · 196 L	-7.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under	44c	1,523$667 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$666.96	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x967d…0c38backed Over	51c	1,349$689 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$659.83	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over	52c	1,192$617 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$574.9	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over	52c	924.11$479 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$445.06	552	51.3%283 W · 269 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	49c	923.51$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450.15	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under	43c	598.08$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.17	1,425	47.7%680 W · 745 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over	54c	482.35$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$222.44	305	51.5%157 W · 148 L	+5.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over	54c	429.86$233 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.57	931	48.4%451 W · 480 L	+34.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over	51c	358.81$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.81	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over	56c	354.59$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.59	524	61.6%323 W · 201 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x34ca…9de7backed Over	52c	288.46$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.46	95	58.9%56 W · 39 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d03…100ebacked Over	73c	249.78$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.02	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	62cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31a6…5aaabacked Over	63c	225.19$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.3	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under	32c	213$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.4	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	312	22.1%69 W · 243 L	+14.9wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+79.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef85…2c38backed Over	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b67…f13cbacked Over	68c	199.99$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64	54	57.4%31 W · 23 L	+4.2wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under	52c	192.4$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	241	59.8%144 W · 97 L	+9.8wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x53f1…35f8backed Over	52c	192.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.31	57	63.2%36 W · 21 L	+4.8wins	+0.08per pick	55cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Over	54c	185.19$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.19	130	37.7%49 W · 81 L	-14.4wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xee60…6902backed Over	50c	150$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75	376	65.4%246 W · 130 L	+62.0wins	+0.16per pick	49cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed Under	49c	137.95$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.25	53	43.4%23 W · 30 L	-5.6wins	-0.11per pick	54cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2025…13c0backed Over	79c	120.04$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.21	45	60%27 W · 18 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a2e…3ef0backed Over	50c	117.25$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.63	263	45.6%120 W · 143 L	-5.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under	44c	113.64$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	99	49.5%49 W · 50 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x051d…1992backed Over	52c	105.77$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.77	143	30.8%44 W · 99 L	+6.5wins	+0.05per pick	26cpaid	-10%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over	52c	105.77$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.77	1,573	53.4%840 W · 733 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa11f…1252backed Under	51c	104.11$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.29	202	47.5%96 W · 106 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Over	63c	102.38$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.87	163	69.9%114 W · 49 L	+18.6wins	+0.11per pick	59cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x27cf…979abacked Under	49c	100.77$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.81	57	36.8%21 W · 36 L	-7.6wins	-0.13per pick	50cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdb88…41b0backed Over	66c	100$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34	35	68.6%24 W · 11 L	+2.3wins	+0.07per pick	62cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09f1…8332backed Over	76c	100$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24	42	69%29 W · 13 L	+4.2wins	+0.10per pick	59cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked Under	49c	99.46$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.74	30	26.7%8 W · 22 L	-6.6wins	-0.22per pick	49cpaid	-47.6%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xd738…eeeebacked Over	52c	96.15$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.15	57	36.8%21 W · 36 L	-4.0wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked Under	50c	95.53$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.32	107	46.7%50 W · 57 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed Over	52c	92.16$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.64	249	36.9%92 W · 157 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x389d…995fbacked Under	49c	89.99$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.1	88	43.2%38 W · 50 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under	52c	85.63$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.53	557	51.9%289 W · 268 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Under	52c	85.63$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.53	331	59.2%196 W · 135 L	+10.5wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c6e…c234backed Over	54c	82.33$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.89	18	72.2%13 W · 5 L	+2.7wins	+0.15per pick	57cpaid	+28%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd3a…89b1backed Under	50c	80$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.2wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bca…f109backed Over	74c	78$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.16	60	56.7%34 W · 26 L	-5.9wins	-0.10per pick	66cpaid	-14%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over	13c	77.54$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.42	766	53.5%410 W · 356 L	+65.5wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xba5c…c5edbacked Over	52c	76.92$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.92	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x614b…ca37backed Over	68c	75.54$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.53	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	-4.1wins	-0.14per pick	57cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xcc4b…0da9backed Over	77c	67.53$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.53	46	58.7%27 W · 19 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xec98…167fbacked Over	52c	57.69$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.69	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.15per pick	60cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3146…d153backed Under	50c	50.62$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.31	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-4.6wins	-0.23per pick	48cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcf5e…95e3backed Over	78c	50.55$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.2	210	46.2%97 W · 113 L	-5.5wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b3…4756backed Under	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	107	43.9%47 W · 60 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-11%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Over	61c	49$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.11	164	29.9%49 W · 115 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+24.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under	43c	46.51$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	97	48.5%47 W · 50 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc97f…b5e5backed Under	43c	45.14$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.41	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee11…19a9backed Under	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	79	49.4%39 W · 40 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5215…b02fbacked Over	51c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.6	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.23per pick	44cpaid	+37.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x173a…6610backed Over	61c	39.2$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.32	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c9b…7349backed Over	77c	38.96$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.96	215	74.4%160 W · 55 L	+8.5wins	+0.04per pick	70cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under	52c	38.75$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	602	50.5%304 W · 298 L	+14.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3704…5487backed Under	53c	37.57$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	108	47.2%51 W · 57 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cb1…1002backed Under	48c	36.98$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.83	88	46.6%41 W · 47 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3085…7568backed Over	61c	35.04$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.69	113	29.2%33 W · 80 L	-5.7wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7515…0d06backed Over	68c	33.68$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.91	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa05a…4635backed Over	52c	30.48$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.73	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-4.9wins	-0.27per pick	55cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x3bba…a2eabacked Over	76c	28$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.72	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	-2.6wins	-0.10per pick	61cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa163…3ccbbacked Over	52c	27$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.09	130	36.2%47 W · 83 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Under	52c	26.66$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.86	218	49.5%108 W · 110 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x584d…d358backed Over	52c	26.21$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.58	79	70.9%56 W · 23 L	+9.6wins	+0.12per pick	59cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x499c…2f8ebacked Over	78c	25.64$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.64	52	51.9%27 W · 25 L	-6.2wins	-0.12per pick	64cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ab4…a81bbacked Over	51c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.8	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+2.5wins	+0.13per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a7d…8ee2backed Over	74c	15$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.9	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-1.8wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-25%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5this page
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Pistons won
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Pistons won
Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 8.5No won
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5No won
Dean Wade: Points O/U 0.5No won
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Jalen Duren: Points O/U 13.5No won
Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
James Harden: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
James Harden: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Jarrett Allen: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
Pistons vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylinePistons won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 206.5Over won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 211.5Over won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 212.5Over won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5Over won
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Cavaliers won
Tobias Harris: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
Tobias Harris: Points O/U 18.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event