TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x55b6…09e2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
87
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 60 out of 100; worst NFL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT5158.8%30 W · 21 L+7.1wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+29.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$4,125Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+32.4%+$1,335.79
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 204.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10,374Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$4,639.54
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.65
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.25
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$807Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+98.1%+$792.49
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,298Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$909.38
Rockets vs. Pacersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+56.3%+$14.06
Rockets vs. Pistonsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+185.7%+$46.43
Pacers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+61.3%+$15.32
Nuggets vs. 76ersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+400%+$40
Hornets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Celtics vs. Clippersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+27.8%+$278.48
Nuggets vs. Raptorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+112.2%+$126.18
76ers vs. Grizzliesbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+85.2%+$42.59
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Knicks vs. Pelicansbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+78.6%+$22
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+72.4%+$30.63
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+212.5%+$212.5
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$679Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+44.2%+$300.02
Rockets vs. Kingsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Mavericks vs. 76ersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$73.44
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$155
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$646Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+39.4%+$254.15
Pacers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+108.3%+$43.33
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-41%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-5.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$67.55
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$16.75
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$44.47
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$85
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$554Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$554.5
Rams vs. Falcons: O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+83.9%+$98.15
Texans vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Eagles vs. Commandersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$4,020Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+37.4%+$1,504.8
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$600
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+203%+$101.52
Spread: Chiefs (-5.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$608Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+40.8%+$248.19
Spread: Chiefs (-4.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+100%+$150
Bears vs. Packersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Broncos vs. Raidersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+26.6%+$53.16
Bengals vs. Billsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$335.5
Seahawks vs. Falconsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+35.1%+$70.27
Spread: Lions (-3.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$245.5
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$550
Broncos vs. Commandersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,041Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+29.2%+$304.03
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$500
All 23 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$725Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$724.99
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28
Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.62
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$419.99
Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.34
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padresbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.05
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$106.33
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,952Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,951.83
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20,295Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$6,998.49
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)backed Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$724Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+107%+$775.5
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Germany (-5.5)backed Curaçao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,000.39
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.