NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Mavericks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc959219dd0503da0c15775c955b6a932407ab1fe3137cfe83c20c3ee6bba1af1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Nuggets, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,312,931
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,385,420
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,312,931 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33f6…e0debacked Nuggets | 70c | 563,154$391,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391,414.01 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Mavericks | 31c | 416,290$127,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289,217.94 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Mavericks | 31c | 232,021$72,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159,263.13 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd81…9640backed Mavericks | 60c | 110,000$66,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,999.99 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Mavericks | 31c | 99,458$30,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,803.87 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Nuggets | 68c | 75,000$51,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,999.99 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Nuggets | 69c | 71,226$49,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,121.75 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Nuggets | 40c | 55,474$22,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,182.4 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Nuggets | 39c | 50,143$19,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,688.89 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb889…a430backed Mavericks | 32c | 45,000$14,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,599.97 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Mavericks | 59c | 36,900$21,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,128.95 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Mavericks | 56c | 34,887$19,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,402.9 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Mavericks | 30c | 32,800$9,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,960 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Nuggets | 3c | 30,943$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Mavericks | 32c | 30,890$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,889.51 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Nuggets | 68c | 29,115$19,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,797.97 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Mavericks | 31c | 26,000$8,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,839.97 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Nuggets | 69c | 25,878$17,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,977.44 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mavericks | 30c | 24,500$7,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,035 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3033…eda3backed Nuggets | 68c | 21,324$14,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,500 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Mavericks | 31c | 20,100$6,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,869 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Nuggets | 69c | 20,000$13,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,800 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Mavericks | 30c | 19,825$6,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,812.59 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Mavericks | 40c | 19,486$7,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,647.07 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Nuggets | 68c | 19,250$13,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,089.85 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Mavericks | 60c | 17,931$10,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,210.7 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Mavericks | 56c | 17,007$9,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,491.58 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Mavericks | 46c | 16,074$7,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,747.18 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Mavericks | 32c | 15,625$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,625 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Nuggets | 68c | 15,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,200 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Nuggets | 69c | 14,880$10,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,338.43 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets | 39c | 14,696$5,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,762.84 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mavericks | 58c | 14,489$8,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,024.98 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…6dd0backed Nuggets | 53c | 13,037$6,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,858.08 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Mavericks | 60c | 12,060$7,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,768.79 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1692…831fbacked Nuggets | 43c | 11,904$5,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,165.46 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Nuggets | 68c | 11,053$7,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,516.23 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Nuggets | 70c | 10,703$7,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,474.99 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x674b…f1afbacked Nuggets | 2c | 10,193$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7d…f24abacked Nuggets | 69c | 9,913$6,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,840 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 76cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Nuggets | 47c | 9,559$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Nuggets | 41c | 9,000$3,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,690 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Nuggets | 51c | 8,968$4,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,534.04 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nuggets | 66c | 8,620$5,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,660.19 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…1ec1backed Nuggets | 39c | 7,099$2,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,749 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nuggets | 34c | 7,097$2,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,447.4 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Mavericks | 29c | 7,000$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,989.98 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Nuggets | 57c | 6,982$3,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,961.79 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…8a09backed Nuggets | 54c | 6,188$3,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,367.66 | 219 | 23.7%52 W · 167 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Mavericks | 78c | 6,000$4,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62b6…b6a7backed Nuggets | 42c | 5,915$2,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,493.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Nuggets | 48c | 5,701$2,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,739.52 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Mavericks | 79c | 5,690$4,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.87 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb78…5206backed Nuggets | 54c | 5,556$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Nuggets | 68c | 5,547$3,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,772.09 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nuggets | 28c | 5,532$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.6 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb44d…ba3abacked Mavericks | 69c | 5,262$3,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,617.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Nuggets | 58c | 5,147$3,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,008.99 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Nuggets | 35c | 5,074$1,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,783.74 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Nuggets | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,450 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Nuggets | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Nuggets | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…51e3backed Nuggets | 69c | 4,959$3,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,421.68 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…2021backed Nuggets | 50c | 4,676$2,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,324.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Nuggets | 72c | 4,621$3,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,305.91 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11cf…2674backed Nuggets | 70c | 4,271$2,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,989.79 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -6.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Nuggets | 71c | 4,225$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 626 | 52.2%327 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff12…09f9backed Mavericks | 56c | 4,218$2,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,870.05 | 193 | 88.1%170 W · 23 L | +48.6wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Mavericks | 49c | 4,209$2,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,157.06 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4974…419bbacked Nuggets | 68c | 4,125$2,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,805 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Nuggets | 44c | 4,058$1,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,803.77 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Mavericks | 31c | 4,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760.01 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Nuggets | 41c | 4,000$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Mavericks | 48c | 4,000$1,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,062.26 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Mavericks | 58c | 4,000$2,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680.63 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nuggets | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Nuggets | 39c | 3,938$1,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545.81 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Nuggets | 28c | 3,929$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Mavericks | 32c | 3,617$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,463.95 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Nuggets | 69c | 3,600$2,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,484 | 74 | 68.9%51 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Nuggets | 69c | 3,297$2,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,275 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Nuggets | 34c | 3,270$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.89 | 224 | 49.1%110 W · 114 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…f34ebacked Nuggets | 3c | 3,200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Nuggets | 63c | 3,194$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -9.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Nuggets | 31c | 3,185$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Nuggets | 44c | 3,156$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.65 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4da5…e32ebacked Mavericks | 32c | 3,141$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,141.5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Nuggets | 47c | 3,124$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.69 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Mavericks | 27c | 3,064$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,237.06 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…4f91backed Nuggets | 54c | 3,063$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.75 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Nuggets | 30c | 3,000$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.22 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Nuggets | 34c | 2,934$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.12 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Nuggets | 59c | 2,858$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Mavericks | 28c | 2,816$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,036.51 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Mavericks | 30c | 2,798$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950.45 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…b783backed Nuggets | 68c | 2,780$1,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,904 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Nuggets | 3c | 2,700$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 158 | 7%11 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed Mavericks | 47c | 2,667$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.93 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbda…6e2cbacked Nuggets | 69c | 2,609$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d13…d7b4backed Nuggets | 70c | 2,600$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Mavericksthis page
- Max Christie: Points Over 8.5No won
- Nuggets vs. Mavericks: 1H MoneylineMavericks won
- Nuggets vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Mavericks: O/U 235.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Mavericks: O/U 236.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Mavericks: O/U 237.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Mavericks: O/U 238.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Mavericks: O/U 239.5Over won
- Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.