NFL · resolved market
Cowboys vs. Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6f492eb15583ae324d43e987e3ad1b7bd1a86690b3b62a2843162278ff7af0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lionsof Cowboys, Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,677,885
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,771,446
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,677,885 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,772 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Cowboys | 38c | 3,119,158$1,195,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195,279.86 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Lions | 61c | 2,510,100$1,531,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979,087.53 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cowboys | 35c | 816,802$283,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283,041.58 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a55…f9bebacked Cowboys | 37c | 802,906$300,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300,982.82 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Lions | 62c | 576,774$360,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216,544.09 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Cowboys | 39c | 500,980$196,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196,392 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Lions | 62c | 268,095$167,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,833.96 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Cowboys | 39c | 249,948$96,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96,979.38 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Lions | 62c | 200,000$124,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,000 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Lions | 63c | 187,361$118,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,428.7 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Lions | 63c | 185,714$117,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,714.29 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Lions | 62c | 155,555$96,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,110.85 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Lions | 62c | 150,000$93,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,000 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Lions | 58c | 147,665$85,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,019.31 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Lions | 63c | 136,358$85,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,452.4 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Lions | 74c | 136,157$100,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,261.18 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Cowboys | 38c | 134,659$50,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,674.46 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Lions | 63c | 112,278$70,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,032.29 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Cowboys | 28c | 101,727$28,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,650.51 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Lions | 71c | 99,735$71,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,579.72 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Cowboys | 16c | 98,107$15,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,681.08 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Lions | 62c | 87,097$54,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,096.77 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Lions | 61c | 82,795$50,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,025.96 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +14.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lions | 62c | 81,989$50,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,147.32 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Lions | 63c | 72,289$45,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,815.96 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Lions | 62c | 71,301$44,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,981.38 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Lions | 60c | 70,000$41,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,199.99 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Lions | 62c | 64,006$39,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,167.63 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c81…fce3backed Lions | 71c | 62,713$44,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,182.58 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lions | 61c | 60,485$37,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,469.23 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Cowboys | 38c | 60,000$22,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,599.96 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Lions | 62c | 58,451$36,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,211.36 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…f6fabacked Lions | 78c | 58,209$45,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,062.76 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Cowboys | 38c | 58,120$22,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,085.49 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Cowboys | 37c | 57,000$21,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,119.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Cowboys | 37c | 53,836$20,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,093.51 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Lions | 68c | 48,472$32,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,596.17 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Lions | 61c | 47,290$28,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,344.71 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Lions | 62c | 46,665$28,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,904.62 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d9…717bbacked Lions | 60c | 40,000$24,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,899.99 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aeb…be79backed Cowboys | 39c | 34,079$13,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,362.36 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa22b…3525backed Cowboys | 40c | 33,721$13,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,543.66 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5d…f75dbacked Cowboys | 41c | 32,097$13,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,218.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Lions | 62c | 30,000$18,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,400 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Cowboys | 39c | 30,000$11,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,700 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Cowboys | 17c | 29,412$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +7.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Cowboys | 16c | 28,397$4,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,637.88 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lions | 62c | 26,851$16,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,151.79 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7153…bf80backed Cowboys | 21c | 25,821$5,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,534.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Lions | 72c | 25,292$18,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,053.9 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Cowboys | 20c | 25,081$4,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,908.96 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…89b9backed Lions | 59c | 25,000$14,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,149.97 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Lions | 74c | 23,797$17,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,168.6 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Cowboys | 19c | 23,382$4,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,356 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Lions | 63c | 22,000$13,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,140 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…046ebacked Cowboys | 16c | 21,432$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cowboys | 41c | 20,750$8,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,469.11 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Cowboys | 39c | 20,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,800 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Cowboys | 37c | 20,000$7,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,400 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Cowboys | 29c | 20,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Lions | 62c | 20,000$12,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,600 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Cowboys | 41c | 20,000$8,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,199.99 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Lions | 62c | 19,987$12,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,694.15 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Lions | 62c | 19,715$12,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,475.79 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Lions | 64c | 19,691$12,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,131.08 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lions | 59c | 19,573$11,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,024.83 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Cowboys | 28c | 19,448$5,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,369.34 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Cowboys | 17c | 18,751$3,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,226.84 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Cowboys | 31c | 17,025$5,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,319.95 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Lions | 61c | 17,000$10,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,630 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Cowboys | 39c | 17,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,599.93 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Cowboys | 30c | 16,496$4,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,997.5 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Lions | 60c | 16,360$9,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,546.64 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Cowboys | 40c | 16,291$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Lions | 62c | 16,129$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,129.03 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x901c…3cfebacked Cowboys | 14c | 15,701$2,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Lions | 59c | 15,620$9,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,404.29 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Cowboys | 13c | 15,499$2,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049.25 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b1…6695backed Cowboys | 39c | 15,434$6,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,019.38 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90db…f96cbacked Cowboys | 41c | 15,000$6,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd804…821cbacked Cowboys | 41c | 15,000$6,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,150 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9146…5f30backed Lions | 64c | 15,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe796…7f5ebacked Cowboys | 9c | 15,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.99 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Lions | 65c | 14,713$9,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,211.04 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Lions | 76c | 14,128$10,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,376.22 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe756…e006backed Cowboys | 41c | 13,890$5,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,695 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 24cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51b6…efecbacked Cowboys | 37c | 13,537$5,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,008.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…57b3backed Cowboys | 38c | 13,158$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28b1…5a3fbacked Cowboys | 38c | 13,151$4,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,997.5 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked Lions | 79c | 12,388$9,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,621.83 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf60…c76ebacked Cowboys | 41c | 12,000$4,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,920 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +45%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Lions | 62c | 11,680$7,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,438.4 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Cowboys | 36c | 11,284$4,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,062.4 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Lions | 75c | 11,254$8,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,784.01 | 276 | 44.2%122 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Cowboys | 10c | 11,051$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.78 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Lions | 62c | 11,000$6,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,180 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Lions | 64c | 10,938$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,937.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9e…eddcbacked Cowboys | 35c | 10,295$3,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,568.09 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 24cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Lions | 63c | 10,269$6,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,799.53 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +134.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Cowboys | 39c | 10,251$3,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,997.99 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cowboys vs. Lionsthis page
- 1H Spread: Lions (-1.5)Lions won
- 1H Spread: Lions (-2.5)Lions won
- Cowboys vs. Lions: 1H MoneylineLions won
- Cowboys vs. Lions: 1H O/U 26.5Over won
- Cowboys vs. Lions: 1H O/U 27.5Over won
- Cowboys vs. Lions: O/U 53.5Over won
- Cowboys vs. Lions: O/U 54.5Over won
- Cowboys vs. Lions: O/U 55.5Over won
- Cowboys vs. Lions: O/U 57.5Over won
- Spread: Lions (-10.5)Lions won
- Spread: Lions (-3.5)Lions won
- Spread: Lions (-4.5)Lions won
- Spread: Lions (-6.5)Lions won
- Spread: Lions (-7.5)Lions won
- Spread: Lions (-8.5)Lions won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.