NFL · resolved market
Cowboys vs. Lions: O/U 54.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bd86f19803847c5d88f475d55cf35e27d4994d9a4546e43c40d6c1e3983482f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $493,782
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $520,003
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $493,782 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 51c | 138,436$70,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,788.94 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Under | 50c | 90,421$45,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,107.21 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Under | 49c | 77,670$37,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,967.57 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 48c | 60,117$28,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,657.32 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Over | 52c | 50,000$26,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,999.98 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Under | 48c | 40,004$19,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,101.84 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Over | 66c | 33,519$22,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,518.52 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 53c | 32,822$17,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,442.14 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 39c | 23,822$9,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,527.98 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 53c | 16,758$8,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,830.97 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca8…bf49backed Under | 69c | 16,306$11,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,261.17 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaba4…00eabacked Over | 50c | 10,499$5,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,249.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 53c | 10,388$5,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,920.1 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe163…b0f1backed Under | 50c | 10,340$5,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,170 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under | 47c | 10,332$4,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,856.03 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,599.99 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Over | 51c | 9,518$4,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,664.05 | 168 | 60.7%102 W · 66 L | +18.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 20c | 8,560$1,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,712 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +17.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 8,027$3,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,615.3 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 49c | 6,457$3,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,155.69 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Over | 51c | 5,882$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,882.35 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 53c | 5,726$3,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,682.47 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Under | 47c | 5,555$2,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,610.85 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Over | 50c | 5,373$2,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,686.5 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…89b9backed Over | 58c | 5,015$2,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,096.29 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 51c | 4,948$2,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,424.52 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Over | 51c | 4,578$2,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,258.55 | 155 | 55.5%86 W · 69 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Over | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Under | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Over | 50c | 2,317$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.46 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Over | 53c | 1,647$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.09 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 34c | 1,370$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.92 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 52c | 1,339$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.72 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.47 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b8…1df6backed Under | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Under | 49c | 999.91$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.96 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0495…c68fbacked Under | 51c | 985$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 49c | 690$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.06 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff9f…0951backed Under | 48c | 683.31$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 20c | 651.01$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.87 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…5e8dbacked Under | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Under | 48c | 537.5$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 95 | 36.8%35 W · 60 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 511.33$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.53 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Over | 50c | 511.1$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.55 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 116 | 40.5%47 W · 69 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 46c | 500$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 315 | 40.6%128 W · 187 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Under | 48c | 495.21$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.7 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 33c | 485$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.3 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 53c | 458.77$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.45 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 48c | 433.17$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.09 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c24…8c06backed Under | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Under | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Under | 47c | 397.44$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.46 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0c…6825backed Under | 52c | 383.3$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -12.5wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9827…6c61backed Under | 50c | 351.88$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.94 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 53c | 302$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.94 | 304 | 42.4%129 W · 175 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 234 | 47.9%112 W · 122 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Over | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…129ebacked Under | 49c | 298.29$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 53c | 285$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.95 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.83 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed Under | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb080…5eddbacked Over | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 280 | 47.5%133 W · 147 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 24c | 231.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 356 | 48%171 W · 185 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 55c | 220$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…d699backed Under | 52c | 216.27$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.89 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Under | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 268 | 57.1%153 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 56c | 200$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 182 | 45.6%83 W · 99 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Over | 45c | 182.33$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.8 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 45c | 158.64$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.25 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -11.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fe…5f6fbacked Over | 54c | 157.91$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.91 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…fadabacked Under | 47c | 148.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea7f…85d5backed Over | 56c | 135.59$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.92 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Over | 51c | 134$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 203 | 54.7%111 W · 92 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3f…5c6fbacked Under | 41c | 119.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.81 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Over | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0526…f3a3backed Under | 53c | 103$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…a398backed Under | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb3…05e5backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f4…71f8backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x881f…dfe9backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…774abacked Under | 51c | 93$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6c…ce09backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Over | 48c | 90$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7895…ed15backed Over | 51c | 88.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cowboys vs. Lions: O/U 54.5this page
- 1H Spread: Lions (-1.5)Lions won
- 1H Spread: Lions (-2.5)Lions won
- Cowboys vs. LionsLions won
- Cowboys vs. Lions: 1H MoneylineLions won
- Cowboys vs. Lions: 1H O/U 26.5Over won
- Cowboys vs. Lions: 1H O/U 27.5Over won
- Cowboys vs. Lions: O/U 53.5Over won
- Cowboys vs. Lions: O/U 55.5Over won
- Cowboys vs. Lions: O/U 57.5Over won
- Spread: Lions (-10.5)Lions won
- Spread: Lions (-3.5)Lions won
- Spread: Lions (-4.5)Lions won
- Spread: Lions (-6.5)Lions won
- Spread: Lions (-7.5)Lions won
- Spread: Lions (-8.5)Lions won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.