TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0c24…8c06

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
103
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NFL, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 59 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.9wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+20.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NFL — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be orange?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be blue?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$50
No Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+66.7%+$80
Big Game: National Anthem O/U 119.5 secondsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$108
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$49.09
Spread: Packers (-6.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+88.7%+$32.07
Bears vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+33.3%+$33.33
LAR vs. Cardinals: O/U 48.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$36.16
Spread: Browns (-3.5)backed Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+92.3%+$33.38
Spread: Ravens (-5.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+100%+$36.16
Spread: Dolphins (-2.5)backed Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+96.1%+$34.74
Bengals vs. Bills: O/U 53.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+85.2%+$30.8
Cowboys vs. Lions: O/U 54.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Giants vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+100%+$35.72
Spread: Broncos (-6.5)backed Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+92.3%+$33
Vikings vs. Seahawks: O/U 41.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+96.1%+$34.35
Spread: Jaguars (-5.5)backed Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+92.3%+$33
Spread: Eagles (-7.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+85.2%+$30.56
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+100%+$35.58
Eagles vs. Giantsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
49ers vs. Ramsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$127.27
All 22 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST1747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$36.29
Bruins vs. Wildbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$36.29
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+44.9%+$16.3
Utah vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$36.29
Canucks vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$36.29
Kraken vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+58.7%+$21.33
Blackhawks vs. Bluesbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$36.32
Wild vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Blue Jackets vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Devils vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
Blackhawks vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Senators vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Islanders vs. Penguinsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Flyers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+62.6%+$31.3
Canadiens vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Kings vs. Golden Knightsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$185.71
Blackhawks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$36.31
Spread: 76ers (-6.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+85.2%+$30.91
Spread: Warriors (-4.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+92.3%+$20.1
Spread: Mavericks (-7.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+92.3%+$33.5
Spread: Bulls (-2.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+92.3%+$33.5
Spread: Rockets (-9.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$14.52
Spread: Lakers (-7.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+88.7%+$32.14
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$36.24
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$36.12
Spurs vs. Pelicansbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+26.6%+$26.58
Raptors vs. Hornetsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$317
Timberwolves vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Cavaliers vs. Bullsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Nuggets vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
All 16 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MIBR (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Liquid (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$10.33
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26.35
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$79.75
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Lavked - Map 2 Winnerbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Liquid (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Fake do Biru - Map 2 Winnerbacked Marsborne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+53.8%+$53.85
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+38.9%+$28.22
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$36.29
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+83.4%+$113.67
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+81.8%+$29.69
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 12 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Troy vs. Jacksonville Statebacked Jacksonville State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+88.7%+$19.35
Boise State vs. Washington: O/U 52.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$36.29
O/U 38.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+88.7%+$32.18
Spread: Texas A&M (-2.5)backed Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+108.3%+$38.86
San Diego State vs. New Mexicobacked San Diego State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$21.52
Spread: Air Force (-2.5)backed Colorado State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$35.87
UMass vs. Ohio: O/U 53.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+92.3%+$33
Spread: Western Michigan (-6.5)backed Western Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+88.7%+$31.7
Southern Miss vs. Georgia Southernbacked Southern Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Louisiana Tech vs. Kennesaw Statebacked Louisiana Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.98
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+42.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-8.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$36.29
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-3.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+83.4%+$18.35
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-16.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+81.8%+$17.73
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Missouri Tigersbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+28.2%+$28.21
Spread: St. Bonaventure Bonnies (-11.5)backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+88.7%+$18.87
Spread: Kentucky Wildcats (-5.5)backed Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+75.4%+$26.97
All 6 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+143.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Phillies vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$97.06
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$120
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cyprus win on 2025-10-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Will Faroe Islands win on 2025-10-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$37.84
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$60
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Virtus.pro (BO3)backed Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+138.8%+$50.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Chikadze vs. Vallejos (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Vallejos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+31.6%+$11.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$36.29
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.