NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 224.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf860ef22b3a7e5551b99b0eff1cbc761fc6ec58fd0df515db52e320b6b13a8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $335,584
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $357,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $335,584 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 241 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd43c…04e8backed Under | 48c | 33,000$15,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,839.98 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -12.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 30,755$15,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,358.76 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Under | 51c | 22,059$11,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,250.3 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Over | 45c | 21,565$9,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,761.94 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Over | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,799.99 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Over | 54c | 12,926$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,926.33 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Under | 52c | 12,814$6,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,610.75 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…ae61backed Over | 50c | 12,526$6,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,237.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Under | 1c | 12,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 53c | 11,003$5,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,831.71 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 50c | 10,669$5,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,309.13 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 49c | 10,213$4,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,970.8 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4026…bd20backed Over | 50c | 10,110$5,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,096.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Under | 52c | 9,816$5,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,095 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Over | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,803.92 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +6.4wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Over | 49c | 9,502$4,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,845.85 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 50c | 6,342$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,162.06 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1033…d851backed Over | 54c | 5,581$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,581.44 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x208e…5c4fbacked Over | 49c | 4,706$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,406.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c51…60bcbacked Under | 47c | 4,600$2,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,162 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc96…8a0bbacked Over | 53c | 4,600$2,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,162 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb351…5fbfbacked Under | 47c | 4,474$2,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,102.78 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 52c | 4,372$2,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,078.57 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 48c | 4,088$1,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,942.71 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81c2…5ca2backed Under | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8786…982dbacked Under | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1d…1e31backed Over | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…d7d5backed Over | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…103dbacked Over | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb482…e3ecbacked Under | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 73c | 3,777$2,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.3 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed Under | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.5 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Over | 48c | 2,808$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.2 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 36c | 2,750$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.96 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae5…b896backed Under | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 69c | 2,450$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.28 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Under | 45c | 2,287$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.15 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 53c | 2,266$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.02 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Under | 58c | 2,155$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70e9…55ecbacked Over | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.0wins | +0.40per pick | 50cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 2,005$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.39 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Over | 58c | 1,839$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.53 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Over | 49c | 1,786$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.73 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 42c | 1,776$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.86 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 47c | 1,645$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.85 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd65d…a9e6backed Over | 50c | 1,634$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.85 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…48e3backed Under | 52c | 1,624$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 51c | 1,511$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.36 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 50c | 1,500$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.75 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…b232backed Over | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 54c | 1,389$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.89 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 50c | 1,309$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.22 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 37c | 1,182$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.54 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 55c | 1,101$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.97 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 1,018$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.92 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.04 | 271 | 58.3%158 W · 113 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Over | 56c | 1,000$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Over | 50c | 999$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.5 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc4…a439backed Under | 52c | 900$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Under | 52c | 850$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Under | 44c | 812.64$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.56 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306a…0d29backed Over | 53c | 746$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.62 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Over | 50c | 727.8$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.9 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f30abacked Over | 43c | 710$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.7 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 45c | 709.69$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.36 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Over | 50c | 629.46$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.5 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…0e32backed Over | 48c | 620.33$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.33 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b2…6d9dbacked Over | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Over | 71c | 593$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.9 | 156 | 56.4%88 W · 68 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Under | 58c | 517.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 271 | 61.3%166 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 44c | 500.34$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.15 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Over | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x038f…ba58backed Over | 66c | 493.58$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Over | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Over | 54c | 370$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.2 | 217 | 49.3%107 W · 110 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 40c | 358.28$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.55 | 473 | 49%232 W · 241 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…c5dcbacked Over | 44c | 338.18$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.38 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Over | 54c | 333.33$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.33 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…b151backed Over | 55c | 329.64$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.64 | 150 | 56%84 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d53…061cbacked Over | 54c | 326.85$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.62 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 320$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.56 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 52c | 315$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.2 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…1d47backed Over | 65c | 305.61$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.61 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcd…0c9fbacked Over | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Under | 47c | 287$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.89 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 48c | 266$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.68 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Over | 53c | 262.11$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.19 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 46c | 260$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Over | 43c | 250$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 47c | 243.18$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.89 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Over | 47c | 240$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.2 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 52c | 227.02$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.97 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 56c | 221$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.14 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 46c | 213.8$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.49 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 52c | 207.69$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 45c | 179.2$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.64 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 224.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
- Devin Booker: Assists Over 6.5No won
- Devin Booker: Points Over 22.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Thunder won
- Suns vs. ThunderThunder won
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 221.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 223.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.