NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01228a6eb30df6f52fb9529752623dcca2a267300562b86321d115b084f4b2e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,930,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,936,095
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,930,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 241 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82a1…e03abacked Suns | 53c | 1,505,333$794,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794,000 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Thunder | 47c | 500,000$235,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265,000 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Thunder | 47c | 375,852$175,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200,645.92 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Thunder | 47c | 150,000$70,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,500 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Thunder | 49c | 150,000$73,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,499.98 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Thunder | 48c | 97,910$46,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,913.15 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Suns | 53c | 56,113$29,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,739.71 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Thunder | 47c | 55,655$26,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,607.27 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Suns | 52c | 52,504$27,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,221.7 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Thunder | 49c | 51,548$25,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,444.5 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Thunder | 47c | 48,296$22,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,597.1 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…51f0backed Suns | 56c | 42,610$24,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,000 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Thunder | 47c | 40,000$18,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,200 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Suns | 52c | 36,428$18,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,942.73 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Thunder | 49c | 35,000$17,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,966.67 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Thunder | 48c | 27,307$13,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,202.53 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Thunder | 47c | 21,141$10,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,114.34 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Thunder | 48c | 17,944$8,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,404.72 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Thunder | 48c | 16,885$8,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,706.52 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…ae61backed Thunder | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,204.08 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Thunder | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed Suns | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,599.97 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Thunder | 47c | 9,961$4,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,292.25 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf70d…ef69backed Suns | 54c | 9,742$5,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,260.67 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a81…aa82backed Thunder | 46c | 9,742$4,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,260.67 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder | 47c | 9,451$4,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,023.66 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Suns | 10c | 9,249$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.75 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Thunder | 48c | 7,500$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Thunder | 47c | 7,500$3,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,975.11 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Thunder | 49c | 7,145$3,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,665.94 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Thunder | 48c | 7,009$3,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,641.74 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Thunder | 48c | 6,191$2,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,219.26 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Thunder | 47c | 6,100$2,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,204 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Suns | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Thunder | 47c | 5,761$2,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,043.79 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Thunder | 46c | 5,627$2,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060.92 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Suns | 52c | 4,786$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Thunder | 45c | 4,207$1,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,316.1 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf32…e0e7backed Suns | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x71ea…a8eebacked Thunder | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Thunder | 48c | 3,938$1,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030.12 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Thunder | 48c | 3,499$1,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.35 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Thunder | 44c | 3,235$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,811.36 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2195…16f9backed Thunder | 47c | 3,191$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.48 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Suns | 52c | 3,143$1,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,634.26 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Thunder | 48c | 3,087$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,605.09 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Thunder | 48c | 3,006$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.96 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Suns | 54c | 2,776$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.82 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Thunder | 46c | 2,365$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.4 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc49…ffd6backed Thunder | 47c | 2,364$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.83 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Thunder | 47c | 2,294$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.73 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Suns | 55c | 2,078$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.83 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3484…0e64backed Thunder | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Suns | 52c | 1,843$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.88 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Suns | 54c | 1,407$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Suns | 26c | 1,320$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.09 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Thunder | 47c | 1,305$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.64 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Suns | 10c | 1,300$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 289 | 29.4%85 W · 204 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Thunder | 49c | 1,228$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Thunder | 45c | 1,138$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.9 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Thunder | 46c | 1,135$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.11 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Thunder | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Thunder | 45c | 1,031$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.56 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Suns | 55c | 1,031$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.97 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Thunder | 47c | 1,011$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.92 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Suns | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Suns | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Thunder | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Suns | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Thunder | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Thunder | 45c | 999.95$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.97 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c58…8c00backed Thunder | 49c | 912.99$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.46 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Thunder | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.06 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…5909backed Thunder | 48c | 800$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46bd…37e8backed Thunder | 46c | 782.61$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.61 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -20.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Thunder | 44c | 760.97$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.92 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Thunder | 48c | 729.17$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.17 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62d1…c018backed Thunder | 47c | 718.62$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.87 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Thunder | 48c | 697.1$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.49 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Suns | 52c | 690$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.61 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked Thunder | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 230 | 58.7%135 W · 95 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Thunder | 48c | 626$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.24 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397d…794fbacked Suns | 52c | 539.69$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.4 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…79f9backed Suns | 41c | 500.61$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.48 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Thunder | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Thunder | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Suns | 50c | 472.73$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.37 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…923fbacked Suns | 53c | 415.09$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 174 | 58%101 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…822cbacked Thunder | 48c | 406.25$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.25 | 213 | 55.9%119 W · 94 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Thunder | 45c | 399.64$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.8 | 256 | 42.6%109 W · 147 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5d…4c40backed Suns | 52c | 383.02$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Thunder | 44c | 369.22$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.69 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Suns | 54c | 351.71$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.92 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Thunder | 47c | 347$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.91 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…089bbacked Thunder | 49c | 325$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.75 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Thunder | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 236 | 48.7%115 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d56…0ba5backed Thunder | 47c | 310$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.3 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeac8…bca4backed Thunder | 49c | 301.1$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb376…f6a0backed Suns | 50c | 299.21$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.4 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Thunder | 48c | 289.05$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.49 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
- Devin Booker: Assists Over 6.5No won
- Devin Booker: Points Over 22.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Thunder won
- Suns vs. ThunderThunder won
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 221.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 223.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 224.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.