NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 223.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ea6167381c87ba40c3a1c414ee668c769bffe13a5b9f5694f513a2865a8bff4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,749
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,749 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 13,305$6,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,793.71 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Over | 46c | 10,217$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,517.4 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Under | 49c | 8,578$4,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,203.17 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 55c | 6,500$3,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,574.98 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Over | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 54c | 3,262$1,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,757.76 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Over | 53c | 3,241$1,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.11 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…7253backed Over | 45c | 2,212$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.87 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 48c | 2,010$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.8 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…c98abacked Over | 48c | 1,871$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.83 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc47f…94b4backed Over | 45c | 1,586$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.09 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…3ff3backed Over | 45c | 1,556$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.56 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43c…04e8backed Under | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -12.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Over | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.1 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Over | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 271 | 58.3%158 W · 113 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Over | 51c | 786.92$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.59 | 315 | 38.1%120 W · 195 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f30abacked Over | 45c | 780$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 723.44$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.02 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Over | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3945…2ef2backed Over | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…940abacked Over | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0271…156bbacked Under | 55c | 500$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8702…6304backed Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 90 | 26.7%24 W · 66 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 45c | 477$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.35 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…5cc8backed Over | 48c | 429.57$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.75 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 39c | 415.63$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.01 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Over | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 51c | 340$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.6 | 249 | 55.8%139 W · 110 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Over | 45c | 330$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.5 | 272 | 47.8%130 W · 142 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Under | 54c | 296.3$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -17.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x68a5…f95bbacked Over | 50c | 250.05$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.03 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 50c | 250.05$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.03 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…c5dcbacked Over | 48c | 232.29$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.79 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Over | 53c | 220$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.4 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Over | 56c | 199$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.56 | 473 | 59.2%280 W · 193 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x474b…c5b1backed Over | 46c | 115.8$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.53 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Under | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f7…ff1fbacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…df78backed Over | 52c | 96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…fadabacked Over | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 26c | 81.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 473 | 49%232 W · 241 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd643…9811backed Over | 65c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Over | 52c | 62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 157 | 59.9%94 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Over | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 535 | 39.6%212 W · 323 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7f…9485backed Over | 52c | 55.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +4.6wins | +0.51per pick | 15cpaid | +1,014%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…3e73backed Over | 49c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c3…81e3backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ce…14b4backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8e…1ef0backed Over | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…e152backed Over | 66c | 31.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 136 | 52.9%72 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 53c | 30.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9579…bf68backed Under | 48c | 27.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 44c | 26.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Under | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1156…cd4abacked Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 223.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
- Devin Booker: Assists Over 6.5No won
- Devin Booker: Points Over 22.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Thunder won
- Suns vs. ThunderThunder won
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 221.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 224.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.